Facebook Posts on economics-2020

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Universal Basic Income and Flat Tax 2020-11-18 22 - 1 economics
Zoom booms! Its gain is their loss though - 2020-09-30 8 - economics
What income inequality? 2020-09-06 15 - economics
Maybe inflation won't be an issue any time soon! 2020-08-25 8 - economics
Craft beer a victory of conservative economics? 2020-08-14 10 - economics
California defined-benefit pension debt 2020-08-11 10 - economics
Why gold is looking good again 2020-08-08 8 - economics
Expanding income inequality vs an expanding middle class 2020-08-06 6 - economics
What's the problem with concentration of power? 2020-08-04 22 2 1 economics
Just-in-time = just-too-late 2020-07-22 15 1 2 5 1 economics
Over-leverage does not just affect businesses 2020-07-19 11 - economics
The economy is not going to snap back before the election, 2020-07-13 38 7 1 3 economics
The end of the small business path to upward mobility 2020-07-12 53 15 1 2 8 economics
What does the future look like in two years? 2020-07-10 8 - 1 economics
the race is not to the swift, nor the battle to the strong, 2020-07-10 41 3 1 11 economics
Calpers hopes for 7% growth every year. 2020-07-09 13 - economics
“Protesters Criticized For Looting Businesses Without 2020-07-02 35 2 1 4 economics
Too many Democrats at Google? 2020-07-01 6 - 1 economics
In the footsteps of Theranos and Enron 2020-07-01 4 - economics
It was going to happen sooner or later - the virus made 2020-06-20 30 1 1 2 economics
Organized tent cities - 2020-05-30 10 - 1 1 economics
Lost economic output is gone forever 2020-05-20 51 5 2 10 economics
Why politicians have so little success changing the 2020-05-18 16 - 1 5 economics
Increasing wealth increases homelessness 2020-05-17 21 2 2 economics
Private equity - here to help you monetize your assets 2020-05-15 8 - 1 economics
Final solution to the small business problem. 2020-05-12 22 1 4 economics
Never waste a good pandemic! 2020-05-10 28 2 3 economics
What economic recovery looks like. 2020-05-05 13 - 2 economics
The stock market is not the economy! 2020-05-02 29 2 economics
Leverage works against you going down. 2020-04-21 19 1 economics
Why are people at the bottom exposed to more of the risk 2020-04-13 30 2 2 3 economics
Goal in sight at last! 2020-04-11 92 22 3 7 38 economics
Small businesses invest in their communities. 2020-04-11 9 - 3 4 economics
Sure there are some problems with the initial rollout - 2020-04-06 52 8 2 2 15 economics
Is Trump for higher oil prices or lower? 2020-04-03 18 1 3 economics
Wouldn't a real billionaire be able to make his payments 2020-04-02 27 3 1 6 economics
Nothing else is working - must be time for Infrastructure 2020-04-02 18 1 1 economics
Local government will be paying for the virus for 2020-03-30 32 3 1 5 economics
If you think pandemics are bad for business, you're just 2020-03-29 51 10 2 3 7 economics
Surprise! Trump signs the law and says he will ignore 2020-03-28 94 29 7 7 34 economics
Why stock buybacks are so popular with major political 2020-03-27 12 - economics
Republicans work diligently to free hard-working Americans 2020-03-26 12 - economics
National security or administration security? 2020-03-26 36 2 1 11 economics
Lesson from the New Deal - let recovery bubble up instead 2020-03-25 13 - economics
Relief for whom? 2020-03-24 23 - 1 6 economics
Insider trading? 2020-03-19 49 7 1 1 2 economics
Why economists and politicians are so worried. 2020-03-17 7 - 1 2 economics
How bailouts work 2020-03-17 13 - economics
Haunted by zombie corporate debt 2020-03-16 13 - economics
True Trumpists! 2020-03-15 19 - economics
When just-in-time is just-too-late to prevent panic buying. 2020-03-15 20 2 1 3 economics
A different kind of foreign economic interference. 2020-03-12 54 5 1 4 15 economics
Corporate debt 2020-03-12 13 - 1 economics
Coronavirus will not CAUSE the next recession. 2020-03-02 20 1 1 economics
The yield curve inverts again 2020-02-27 10 - 2 economics
Trump's plan to boost the economy 2020-02-27 25 3 economics
You can't take credit for the Obama recovery - 2020-02-26 17 1 economics
All bubbles pop eventually 2020-02-25 9 - 1 economics
Fantasy economics! 2020-02-20 46 4 3 economics
Bootstrapping 2020-02-19 56 16 1 6 20 economics
How retailers reduce overhead. 2020-02-18 90 15 2 12 1 economics
Two points of view on deficit spending. 2020-02-18 71 14 1 5 16 economics
Don't distract me with arithmetic! 2020-02-14 190 51 13 11 47 economics
The death of retail. 2020-02-14 12 1 economics
Silicon Valley Syndrome. 2020-02-13 18 - economics
Another way democracy dies 2020-02-11 58 12 1 3 10 economics
Headwinds against the economy from the east. 2020-02-10 15 1 economics
Trump surrenders to simple arithmetic. 2020-02-10 47 7 7 1 economics
What happens when deficits exceed a trillion dollars 2020-01-30 19 - economics
Two cheers for slow growth! 2020-01-28 8 - economics
European solutions to housing crisis 2020-01-27 11 - economics
Raising the minimum wage would be the best single thing 2020-01-10 15 - 1 1 economics
Permanent damage of recessions. 2020-01-06 11 - 1 economics
More victims of automation and trade wars. 2020-01-03 37 6 3 5 economics

Columns of Post Tables

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UPDATED Tue Jul 30 05:04:45 PM PDT 2024

==========


Universal Basic Income and Flat Tax

A vastly simplified flat tax offers many advantages over
the current labyrinthine structure.

 https://www.one-flat-tax.net/

Above a certain fixed amount that is not taxed, all
income from whatever source is taxed at the same rate.
The ideal goal would be a flat tax on discretionary income,
but simplicity and transparency are important aspects of
tax policy, so the zero-bracket amount is fixed.

Andrew Yang and others advocate a Universal Basic Income

 https://www.yang2020.com/what-is-freedom-dividend-faq/

for all Americans to address the worst economic uncertainty
and replace many unrelated ad-hoc assistance programs,
like the covid food lines.  The goal is to make sure
that all Americans can afford non-discretionary expenses
of survival.

How can these ideas be combined?

==

Universal Basic Income

Suppose every adult United States citizen received a basic
income amount every month, untaxed - in lieu of social
security, unemployment, welfare, EITC, and a host of other
uncoordinated Federal, state, and local benefits.  Simple
to administer - no means test.  It should be high enough
for survival non-discretionary expenses, low enough that
going to work still pays off for discretionary expenses.
Though as we've seen during the pandemic, many people who
thought they hated working eventually are desperate to
get back to work.

How much should UBI be?    To replace social security,
it should be at least the maximum social security benefit.
That's 3895/month in 2021 - 46740/year.  A less generous
amount would be the proposed $15/hour minimum wage -
30000/year, 2500/month.     Even less generous is Andrew
Yang's proposed 1000/month.  If the UBI were less than what
Social Security would have provided, then Social Security
would have to continue, covering the difference.

==

Flat Tax

The flat tax proposal mentioned above has a zero-bracket
amount of untaxed income and an additional partial
exemption for W-2 wage income.  All income above those
amounts is taxed at a uniform rate - starting at 30%
for Federal and 10% for state and local and subject
to adjustment by Congress - all replacing the current
Federal, state, and local income, payroll, sales, and
property taxes.

If Universal Basic Income were in place, however, there's
no need for a zero-bracket amount and perhaps the W-2
exemption as well.  All income other than the UBI would
be taxed at the same rate.  That rate would have to be
higher for Federal - perhaps 40% - to pay for the UBI.

But a 50% tax rate sounds outrageous for working people!
It will seem so for one-percenters who are used to working
on paying little or no tax.  But somebody who received the
UBI and also earned an equal amount by working would be
paying an effective tax rate of 25% on the whole amount,
not much different from what they are now - counting
payroll, sales, and property taxes, which are more
important than income taxes for low-end workers.

==

Opposition

Every clause in every tax and benefit law is there because
it has a powerful constituency that put it there and
wants to keep it there.  That constituency will punish
any legislator that wants to simplify tax law.  It will
reward primary candidates that like the status quo.
That's why every tax "simplification" from
Congress makes the internal revenue code longer rather
than shorter.  That's not a mistake - that's part of the
plan - cockroaches love a maze of dark cracks and crevices.

"Money is the mother's milk of politics" and it
take big bucks to run for Congress - big donors are needed.
Not really donors so much as investors - those who donate
enough to be remembered are expecting return on investment,
often in tax law.     The candidates need that complicated
tax law as a vehicle for rewarding donors.  So nothing
is going to change until campaign finance is uncorrupted.
A good start would be ending unlimited dark money

 https://americanpromise.net/

Thus the stock market rallied in anticipation of
divided government being unable to pass any significant
legislation, especially tax or regulatory.  In general,
a do-nothing Congress maintains the status quo and that's
great for you if the status quo is great for you.

 https://www.political-scrapbook.net/2020-congress.html

More at

 https://www.political-scrapbook.net/2020-ubi.html

==

topic economics 1

=====

impact 69
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posted 2020-11-18
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title Universal Basic Income and Flat Tax
topic economics
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words 688
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posted "11/18/2020 01:25:27 PM"
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URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1294800334197816

==========


Zoom booms!    Its gain is their loss though -

 https://www.mercurynews.com/2020/09/28/coronavirus-economy-bay-area-california-hotel-huge-decline-real-estate/

 https://www.chicagotribune.com/business/ct-biz-united-airlines-pilots-avoid-furloughs-20200928-ndoyuquguzccxhgzhknpuflovi-story.html

 https://apnews.com/article/virus-outbreak-california-florida-layoffs-archive-29f917db4ef7e577dfb3d9c033a5fc69

Business travel and office space markets have probably
shrunk permanently.     Too bad for Trump Towers around
the world!

Good news for other industries besides zoom -

 https://apnews.com/article/archive-751e3db7d82e27025b2fd80075342e4a

 https://apnews.com/article/virus-outbreak-archive-consumer-confidence-6dafc5ac3cb8aef90151eab5551b7ba7

The bad news for Trump and then Biden - people who
lost their high-paying jobs and then had to settle for
low-paying jobs will not credit the government for all the
low-paying jobs it created out of the virus.     They'll be
aiming to blame and punish.

==

topic economics

=====

impact 0
impactrate 0
negative 0
posted 2020-09-30
reactrate 0
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title Zoom booms! Its gain is their loss though -
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 84
ID 1253234828354367
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oreach 8
posted "09/30/2020 11:55:06 AM"
reach 8
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URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1253234828354367

==========


What income inequality?

 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-09-04/elon-musk-s-option-haul-swells-to-8-5-billion-with-third-payout

At least his median worker gets 58,500 - that's almost
enough to survive.

Lots of people have to get by on far less -

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/09/03/us/food-pantries-hunger-us.html

and some even less than that -

 https://apnews.com/195893e537c8f9b0680c7655486c1fcb

who don't get any benefit from Trump's $300/week emergency
fund, which will run out in a few weeks anyway, probably
before California can even gear up to offer it -

 https://www.mercurynews.com/2020/09/04/edd-fraud-audit-300-extra-unemployment-payments-job-economy-trump/

At least there's money for what's really important!

 https://apnews.com/a1b2dba95464143358708398df1950ac

==

topic economics 1

=====

impact 0
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posted 2020-09-06
priority 1
reactrate 0
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title What income inequality?
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 76
ID 1232910210386829
impress 30
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oreach 15
posted "09/06/2020 03:48:47 PM"
reach 15
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URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1232910210386829

==========


Maybe inflation won't be an issue any time soon!

 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-08-24/fed-study-finds-virus-is-a-powerful-downward-drag-on-inflation

It would be nice to know we don't have to worry about
stagflation.  ==

topic economics

=====

impact 0
impactrate 0
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posted 2020-08-25
reactrate 0
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title Maybe inflation won't be an issue any time soon!
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 25
ID 1222968168047700
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1222968168047700
impress 13
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oreach 8
posted "08/25/2020 06:48:12 PM"
reach 8
type Link

==========


Craft beer a victory of conservative economics?

To the extent that "conservative" means economic
liberty, maybe...

 https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/08/14/raise-glass-american-craft-brewing-values-it-embodies/

To the extent that "conservative" means unlimited
dark money and minority rule and concentration of economic
power in a few major donors... not a chance.

Trump says he's "conservative".      Need I say
more, squire?

 https://www.liberty-and-justice.net/

==

topic economics

=====

impact 0
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posted 2020-08-14
reactrate 0
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title Craft beer a victory of conservative economics?
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 53
ID 1213963992281451
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1213963992281451
impress 13
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oreach 10
posted "08/14/2020 03:16:50 PM"
reach 10
type Link

==========


California defined-benefit pension debt

The virus has only aggravated the pension crisis by
increasing local government emergency expenses and
decreasing local government revenues.

 https://calmatters.org/commentary/dan-walters/2020/08/california-court-pension-debt-unfunded/

Is the answer really more leverage?       That doesn't
work out so well when the market is heading down.

==

topic economics

=====

impact 0
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posted 2020-08-11
reactrate 0
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title California defined-benefit pension debt
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 44
ID 1211444682533382
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posted "08/11/2020 11:22:03 AM"
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==========


Why gold is looking good again

Zero return is better than bonds that pay less than
inflation - and there are  reasons to expect inflationary
mindset might be not too far in the future.

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/08/08/opinion/gold-investment-coronavirus.html

==

topic economics

=====

impact 0
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posted 2020-08-08
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title Why gold is looking good again
topic economics
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ID 1209067049437812
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posted "08/08/2020 10:04:00 AM"
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type Link

==========


Expanding income inequality vs an expanding middle class

Peace and prosperity?      Trump doesn't know where postwar
prosperity came from, any more than he knows where postwar
peace came from.          He just assumes that they are a
given, without any need for effort on his part or on the
part of the government.          But active government
intervention is required from time to time to prevent
stasis and fossilization of a permanent caste system.
He could ask Theodore Roosevelt about that.

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/08/06/opinion/middle-class-prosperity.html

==

The Black Death had a lot to do with making Western Europe
the world center of innovation, wealth, and conquest, by
increasing the value of labor and fostering development of
technology and the middle class.    But none of that coming
golden age was visible at the height of the pestilence and
for many years afterward.   In contrast, in Eastern Europe,
the ruling classes managed to suppress most of the change.

 https://www.science20.com/science_20/how_bubonic_plague_made_europe_great-29378

 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Consequences_of_the_Black_Death

==

topic economics

=====

impact 0
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posted 2020-08-06
reactrate 0
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title Expanding income inequality vs an expanding middle class
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 153
ID 1207607212917129
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1207607212917129
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posted "08/06/2020 12:46:01 PM"
reach 6
type Link

==========


What's the problem with concentration of power?

Traditional Republicans don't have a problem seeing
the problem of government or labor grown too powerful.
But they tend to overlook the same problem when it's
concentration of power in large corporations.

 https://www.mercurynews.com/2020/08/03/smith-focusing-on-facebook-and-googles-monopoly-misses-the-point/

Monopoly power is the best known abusive pattern,
but whether there is a legal monopoly or not is not as
important as whether a free market does not exist because
there aren't enough competitors to keep it free.

==

topic economics

=====

impact 24
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posted 2020-08-04
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title What's the problem with concentration of power?
topic economics
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==========


Just-in-time = just-too-late

Driving cost out is fine until an emergency arises when
people are desperate enough to pay any price.

Mathematical programming provides algorithms to minimize
cost, but if the cost function doesn't reflect emergencies,
neither will the result.

 https://www.mercurynews.com/2020/07/22/opinion-when-it-comes-to-covid-19-efficiency-isnt-effective/

Of course, managers can always hope to take credit for
cost savings now and let somebody else take blame for
failure to prepare for emergencies later.

==

topic economics

=====

hide 1
impact 62
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posted 2020-07-22
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title Just-in-time = just-too-late
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==========


Over-leverage does not just affect businesses

Individuals that were living month to month will
precipitate a tidal wave of personal bankruptcies if
Congress doesn't act.

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/17/business/personal-bankruptcies-coronavirus.html

"It's only when the tide goes out that you learn
who's been swimming naked"

Of course, just as in the third world, rising wealth and
income inequality means that more and more people are
swimming naked.          Imagine a $15/hour minimum wage -
that's about $30,000/year - can you imagine a justification
for one person earning more than 100 times that amount
($3 million) just because he can get it?

==

Over-leverage and other aspects of an economic expansion
at its end are the cause of the contraction and potential
depression.  The virus was the trigger but not the cause.

The economic contraction is going to continue for years -
ironically giving the Republicans a badly needed, even
if bogus, issue to use against Bidenin 2022 and 2024,
particularly if they refuse to help, as they did with
Obama.

Trump would have been luckier to have been defeated by
Clinton in 2016 and then elected in 2020 at the bottom
of the virus and economic collapse.      You can't beat a
virus, or the business cycle.    You have to hope that they
happen to somebody else, especially if you are incompetent.

 https://www.political-scrapbook.net/theory.html#cycle

Trump was cruisin' for a bruisin' and didn't even know it.
Anyone presiding over a ten-year-old economic expansion is
living on borrowed time.      And the loan has been called.

"The race is not to the swift, nor the battle to
the strong, neither yet bread to the wise, nor yet riches
to men of understanding, nor yet favour to men of skill;
but time and chance happeneth to them all"

==

As for what to do, nothing's getting through the Senate
before January unless it has virus liability relief for
Republican donors

 https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/senate-gop-relief-bill-include-liability-protections-schools/story?id=71848623

The Democrats will probably have to swallow that to get
what they want.  Of course Trump might decide to veto
the final bill anyway, depending on what he heard on Fox
that morning.        And no matter what, starting January,
the surviving Republicans will start blaming the economic
contraction on the Democrats.

==

topic economics

=====

impact 0
impactrate 0
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posted 2020-07-19
reactrate 0
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title Over-leverage does not just affect businesses
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 360
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URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1193946554283195
impress 13
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posted "07/19/2020 08:57:15 AM"
reach 11
type Link

==========


The economy is not going to snap back before the election,
no matter how many executive orders get signed.

 https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/07/14/our-economy-is-crisis-only-one-candidates-realizes-it/

Billionaire tax cuts aren't going to help small business.

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/13/business/small-businesses-coronavirus.html

Vast numbers of people have lost health insurance at a
very inopportune time -

 https://www.familiesusa.org/resources/the-covid-19-pandemic-and-resulting-economic-crash-have-caused-the-greatest-health-insurance-losses-in-american-history/

and of course the Trump administration is still urging
the Supreme Court to give Obamacre the death penalty.

Big banks expect worse, not better -

 https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2020/07/14/big-banks-prepare-protracted-recession-report-drastic-drop-profits/

==

We have no idea how many structural changes will occur
before the virus is controlled.         Even so, the
lackluster economy will probably be the Republicans'
biggest attack issue in 2022.     They'll blame it on
Biden even though everybody knows 1) it was inevitable

 https://www.political-scrapbook.net/theory.html#cycle

and 2) Trump made it even worse than it had to be
by reckless deregulation before the virus and 3)
incompetent administration after the virus - "Too
little Too late" could be Mary Trump's next book.
Three strikes against Republicans which they will attempt
to call against Democrats.

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/13/opinion/us-coronavirus-trump.html

==

English pubs reopen just as California bars close again.
But English pubs will be taking names and addresses for
contact tracing.       Try that in America!

 https://apnews.com/dc4775efdbeaa189ebd919012ad35565

 https://apnews.com/67a750c86a62e8ea3223b91260c6df19

==

topic economics

=====

impact 207
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posted 2020-07-13
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title The economy is not going to snap back before the election,
topic economics
wordrate 0
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ID 1189828698028314
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1189828698028314
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==========


The end of the small business path to upward mobility

 https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/2020/07/09/after-covid-19-giant-corporations-chains-may-be-only-ones-left/

Republican deregulation doesn't help matters - the 1%-ers
fund the Republican Party - though usually discreetly
through dark money.         Theodore Roosevelt recognized
that concentration of economic power was as bad as
concentration of political power - that's why he's on Mt
Rushmore - but his insights had no effect on his Republican
successors.

 https://www.political-scrapbook.net/theory.html#liberty%20and%20equality

==

One bright spot - until recently

 https://www.foodandwine.com/beer/california-breweries-most-america

But independent brewers are failing now due to virus
restrictions on bars and taprooms -

 https://www.sfgate.com/food/article/First-brewery-in-Jack-London-Square-closes-15389189.php

The survivors will be those who can figure out new ways
to market and distribute - who can find a way to serve
outdoors all year long - and who can master food service
as well to become brewpubs.      That's a lot of skills to
master in a short time, when many consumers are rightly
anxious about eating out.      Even some of the younger
consumers are starting to catch on as state and local
health authorities roll back some prematurely opened
businesses -

 https://www.washingtonpost.com/national/young-people-are-driving-a-spike-in-coronavirus-infections-officials-say/2020/06/27/3654638c-b7b4-11ea-a510-55bf26485c93_story.html

==

topic economics 1

=====

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likeimpress 15
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posted 2020-07-12
priority 1
ratio 2
react 26
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shares 2
sharesrate 0
sumclicks 8
title The end of the small business path to upward mobility
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 172
ID 1188592584818592
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1188592584818592
audclicks 8
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posted "07/12/2020 08:16:58 AM"
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==========


What does the future look like in two years?

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/10/opinion/sunday/coronavirus-economy-two-years.html

The biggest changes are in education.      Thus, no more
affirmative action - because no more money to pay for it.

The changes in economic power are pretty drastic too -
depending on who wins the election.      Second tier
shopping malls, like second-tier universities, will have
to find another vocation.

==

topic economics

=====

impact 6
impactrate 0
negative 0
posted 2020-07-10
ratio 8
react 1
reactrate 0
sharesrate 0
sumclicks 1
title What does the future look like in two years?
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 61
ID 1187517581592759
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1187517581592759
audclicks 1
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posted "07/10/2020 10:10:10 PM"
postotherclicks 1
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type Link

==========


the race is not to the swift, nor the battle to the strong,
neither yet bread to the wise, nor yet riches to men of
understanding, nor yet favour to men of skill; but time
and chance happeneth to them all

Trump was cruisin' for a bruisin' and didn't even know it.
Anyone presiding over a ten-year-old bull market is living
on borrowed time.      And the loan has been called.

 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-07-01/hertz-creditors-in-11-billion-standoff-over-494-000-used-cars

Sounds complicated, doesn't it?     Full employment for
accountants and attorneys!

“It’s only when the tide goes out that you learn
who’s been swimming naked.”

The virus was the trigger but not the cause.       The
economic contraction is going to continue for years -
ironically giving the Republicans a badly needed, even if
bogus, issue to use against Biden, particularly if they
refuse to help, as they did with Obama.

The cause of Hertz' demise was over-leverage, which
is a common phenomenon at the end of bull markets as
financiers' and investors' memories of the bear market
hazards of leverage fade.     An aggravating condition for
other industries, not applicable to Hertz though, is the
ongoing transition from brick-and-mortar stores in malls
to online shopping.

Trump would have been luckier to have been defeated by
Clinton in 2016 and then elected in 2020 at the bottom
of the virus and economic collapse.      You can't beat a
virus, or the business cycle.    You have to hope that they
happen to somebody else, especially if you are incompetent.

 https://www.political-scrapbook.net/theory.html#cycle

==

topic economics 1

=====

impact 372
impactrate 0
likeimpress 3
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posted 2020-07-10
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title the race is not to the swift, nor the battle to the strong,
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 248
ID 1187368934940957
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1187368934940957
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posted "07/10/2020 04:32:13 PM"
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reach 41
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type Link

==========


Calpers hopes for 7% growth every year.

 https://calmatters.org/commentary/2020/06/california-pension-risky-borrow-scheme-investment/

==

topic economics

=====

impact 0
impactrate 0
negative 0
posted 2020-07-09
reactrate 0
sharesrate 0
title Calpers hopes for 7% growth every year.
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 10
ID 1186788184999032
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1186788184999032
impress 19
likeuimpress 14
likeuusers 12
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oreach 13
posted "07/09/2020 10:29:15 PM"
reach 13
type Link

==========


“Protesters Criticized For Looting Businesses Without
Forming Private Equity Firm First”

Private equity and deregulation and carried interest -
no wonder the people at the top do better and the people
at the bottom do worse.

An over-leveraged economy will crash eventually for one
reason or another - right now, the reason is a virus - and
those firms are not coming back no matter what Trump says.
But the biggest losers are the former employees of the
former firms, not the former owners.

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/02/opinion/private-equity-inequality.html

==

topic economics 1

=====

impact 62
impactrate 0
likeimpress 2
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posted 2020-07-02
priority 1
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title “Protesters Criticized For Looting Businesses Without
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 88
ID 1181077288903455
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1181077288903455
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oreach 35
posted "07/02/2020 06:47:15 AM"
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reach 35
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==========


Too many Democrats at Google?

Concentrations of economic power don't bother Republicans
unless the concentrations vote and donate Democratic!

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/25/technology/barr-google-investigation.html

==

topic economics 1

=====

impact 2
impactrate 0
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posted 2020-07-01
priority 1
ratio 6
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title Too many Democrats at Google?
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 23
ID 1180382852306232
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1180382852306232
audclicks 1
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oreach 6
posted "07/01/2020 09:32:33 AM"
postlinkclicks 1
reach 6
type Link

==========


In the footsteps of Theranos and Enron

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/26/business/wirecard-collapse-markus-braun.html

==

topic economics

=====

impact 0
impactrate 0
negative 0
posted 2020-07-01
reactrate 0
sharesrate 0
title In the footsteps of Theranos and Enron
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 10
ID 1180381355639715
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1180381355639715
impress 10
likeuimpress 3
likeuusers 3
oimpress 10
oreach 4
posted "07/01/2020 09:30:20 AM"
reach 4
type Link

==========


It was going to happen sooner or later - the virus made
it sooner.

Leveraged buyouts, private equity, hedge funds - the
bubble was going to burst.      Too bad about the timing,
Mr. Trump.

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/18/business/corporate-bankruptcy-coronavirus.html

Cutting off trade with China, if it were actually possible,
would make some winners but a lot of losers -

 https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-trade-china-trump/trump-renews-threat-to-cut-ties-with-china-idUSKBN23P3JS

One set of winners seems to be would-be homeowners with
secure jobs and enough savings for a down payment -

 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-06-18/u-s-mortgage-rates-drop-to-a-record-low-3-13-for-30-year-loans

Correspondingly, one set of losers is people and
organizations dependent on interest income.

How much do you remember about deflation?

 https://www.investopedia.com/articles/personal-finance/030915/why-deflation-bad-economy.asp

==

topic economics

=====

comments 1
impact 39
impactrate 0
likeimpress 1
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posted 2020-06-20
ratio 7
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sumclicks 2
title It was going to happen sooner or later - the virus made
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 97
ID 1171479759863208
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1171479759863208
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oreach 30
posted "06/20/2020 06:19:11 AM"
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type Link

==========


Organized tent cities -

A temporary solution for the involuntary homeless.

 https://www.mercurynews.com/2020/05/26/amid-coronavirus-are-sanctioned-tent-cities-the-answer-to-homelessness/

They have facilities and rules enforced by the residents.

But that won't address the problem of the voluntary
homeless, many with chemical or mental challenges,  who
refuse to accept any restrictions on their behavior by
anybody, and so will remain along creeks and underpasses.

==

topic economics

=====

impact 12
impactrate 0
negative 0
posted 2020-05-30
ratio 5
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sumclicks 1
title Organized tent cities -
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 58
ID 1155413031469881
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1155413031469881
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oreach 10
posted "05/30/2020 09:28:56 AM"
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==========


Lost economic output is gone forever

"No amount of government aid is going to persuade
many people to buy work clothes they don’t need, eat at
a recently shuttered restaurant, enjoy an exercise class
wearing a mask or take a long trip. That spending hasn’t
been replaced by alternatives; it’s just gone."

 https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/were-all-poorer-now-nothing-the-government-does-can-fix-that/2020/05/19/f1fa50b0-99e6-11ea-89fd-28fb313d1886_story.html

And the people near the bottom that barely survived
economically - this time - might in the future put more
of their income into savings for the next unexpected
catastrophe.   In the long run it might be better for more
of our national debt to be held by Americans rather than
foreigners, but in the short run it means the return to
mindless consumption might be less of an economic boost
than the Republicans hope, and in any event too late to
help with their election prospects.

Mass psychology is hard to direct, as every president
during a recession has rediscovered.

 http://www.political-scrapbook.net/theory.html#cycle

==

topic economics 1

=====

impact 267
impactrate 0
likeimpress 5
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posted 2020-05-20
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sumclicks 10
title Lost economic output is gone forever
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 157
ID 1147967502214434
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1147967502214434
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oreach 51
posted "05/20/2020 07:39:30 AM"
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type Link

==========


Why politicians have so little success changing the
business cycle

 https://isr.umich.edu/news-events/news-releases/richard-curtin-pandemics-impact-on-economic-behavior/

It's all about mass psychology, especially the emotional
part.     It's always permanently changed by mass trauma,
and finds a new normal rather than returning to the
old normal.

 http://www.political-scrapbook.net/theory.html#cycle

==

topic economics

=====

impact 25
impactrate 0
negative 0
posted 2020-05-18
ratio 2
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title Why politicians have so little success changing the
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 41
ID 1146292652381919
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1146292652381919
audclicks 5
audreach 1
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oreach 16
posted "05/18/2020 06:28:06 AM"
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==========


Increasing wealth increases homelessness

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/15/opinion/homeless-crisis-affordable-housing-cities.html

==

topic economics

=====

impact 3
impactrate 0
likeimpress 2
negative 0
posted 2020-05-17
ratio 5
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sumclicks 2
title Increasing wealth increases homelessness
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 7
ID 1145870385757479
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1145870385757479
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oreach 21
posted "05/17/2020 05:03:50 PM"
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reach 21
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==========


Private equity - here to help you monetize your assets
before you waste them on employees.

All that commercial real estate must have some higher use!

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/14/business/coronavirus-retail-bankruptcies-private-equity.html

==

topic economics

=====

impact 3
impactrate 0
negative 0
posted 2020-05-15
ratio 8
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sumclicks 1
title Private equity - here to help you monetize your assets
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 29
ID 1143979419279909
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1143979419279909
audclicks 1
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matchedotherclicks 1
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oreach 8
posted "05/15/2020 07:52:29 AM"
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==========


Final solution to the small business problem.

It's much easier to get campaigns funded by a few large
corporations than by a host of small businesses.

 https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2020/05/12/small-business-used-define-americas-economy-pandemic-could-end-that-forever/

==

topic economics 1

=====

impact 15
impactrate 0
likeimpress 1
negative 0
posted 2020-05-12
priority 1
ratio 4
react 5
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sharesrate 0
sumclicks 4
title Final solution to the small business problem.
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 30
ID 1142168732794311
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1142168732794311
audclicks 4
audreach 2
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likeuusers 21
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oimpress 27
oreach 22
posted "05/12/2020 10:10:14 PM"
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==========


Never waste a good pandemic!

Add union busting and journalism suppression to the list of
uses of a pandemic - along with environmental deregulation
and billionaire tax cuts.

 https://www.inquirer.com/opinion/world-press-freedom-reporters-without-borders-china-trump-20200505.html

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/08/fashion/coronavirus-garment-workers-asia-unions.html

==

topic economics

=====

impact 16
impactrate 0
likeimpress 2
negative 0
posted 2020-05-10
ratio 5
react 5
reactrate 0
sharesrate 0
sumclicks 3
title Never waste a good pandemic!
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 31
ID 1140379476306570
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1140379476306570
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oreach 28
posted "05/10/2020 12:03:33 PM"
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==========


What economic recovery looks like.

"Happens once, shame on you; happens twice, shame
on me."

What happens when China's factories restore inventory
to pre-virus levels but consumers don't buy anything?
Will there be a second wave of recession at that point,
even if the virus disappears?

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/28/business/china-coronavirus-economy.html

Chinese millenial consumers have re-discovered the wisdom
of their ancestors - living paycheck to paycheck is very
high risk.     Better save some for emergencies in an
uncertain future!      What is certain is that there will
be surprise global perils in the future.

Why would American millenials be any different?     If no
consumers are buying, manufacturers and vendors are not
going to bribe instagram influencers - and that whole
cohort might have to find a more productive living.

It's hard to change the mass psychology of the business
cycle -

 http://www.political-scrapbook.net/theory.html#cycle

==

topic economics 1

=====

impact 28
impactrate 0
negative 0
posted 2020-05-05
priority 1
ratio 6
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sumclicks 2
title What economic recovery looks like.
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 139
ID 1136308186713699
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1136308186713699
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oreach 13
posted "05/05/2020 09:28:42 AM"
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==========


The stock market is not the economy!

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/30/opinion/economy-stock-market-coronavirus.html

==

topic economics

=====

impact 2
impactrate 0
likeimpress 2
negative 0
posted 2020-05-02
ratio 14
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sharesrate 0
title The stock market is not the economy!
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 10
ID 1134329623578222
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1134329623578222
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oreach 29
posted "05/02/2020 05:47:59 PM"
reach 29
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==========


Leverage works against you going down.

Just as the virus is worst for people who are already sick,
it's going to kill businesses that were already leveraged
and in trouble.        Most department stores are unlikely
to survive, at least in their traditional form, and the
malls that depend on them and the developers of those
malls are also in big trouble, not to mention the people
who worked there.  There were troubles before the virus
- the internet was already destroying the traditional
business model - and the virus is probably the last nail
in the coffin.

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/21/business/coronavirus-department-stores-neiman-marcus.html

==

topic economics

=====

impact 10
impactrate 0
likeimpress 1
negative 0
posted 2020-04-21
ratio 19
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sharesrate 0
title Leverage works against you going down.
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 100
ID 1126122554398929
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oreach 19
posted "04/21/2020 05:36:36 PM"
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Why are people at the bottom exposed to more of the risk
for less of the reward?

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/13/opinion/covid-workers-healthcare-fairness.html

 https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2020/04/12/grocery-worker-fear-death-coronavirus/

==

topic economics

=====

impact 14
impactrate 0
likeimpress 2
negative 0
posted 2020-04-13
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sharesrate 0
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title Why are people at the bottom exposed to more of the risk
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 20
ID 1119417388402779
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1119417388402779
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oreach 30
posted "04/13/2020 05:54:59 AM"
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==========


Goal in sight at last!

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/14/opinion/usps-coronavirus.html

(Urban) conservatives have always wanted to privatize the
post office.   After all, anonymous Wall Street bureaucrats
subject to stockholders will make better decisions for
you than anonymous DC bureaucrats subject to Congress.
The postal service actually has to pay for future employee
benefits, unlike a private corporation that can agree to
anything now and let the future take care of itself -
by passing unfunded defined benefit liabilities to the
taxpayers.

Trump is on board with privatization in order to punish 1)
Bezos, 2) postal employees who are mostly union Democrats.

 https://www.latimes.com/business/story/2020-04-09/trump-postal-service-lies

And it's a good way to kill vote-by-mail - and Trump thinks
disabling voting by mail would enhance his re-election
prospects.

 https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2020/04/11/post-office-bailout-trump/

But Trump should check with rural Republican senators and
congressmen.         Their constituents have a different
point of view.        Without USPS competition, Fedex
and UPS will charge what it actually costs to serve rural
customers. Abolishing rural post offices right before an
election might not be Trump's best move.

==

topic economics 1

=====

comments 3
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likeimpress 22
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posted 2020-04-11
priority 1
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title Goal in sight at last!
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 169
ID 1118230048521513
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oimpress 110
oreach 92
posted "04/11/2020 05:53:23 PM"
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type Link

==========


Small businesses invest in their communities.

Big businesses invest in their politicians.

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/10/opinion/coronavirus-small-businesses.html

==

topic economics

=====

impact 11
impactrate 0
negative 0
posted 2020-04-11
ratio 1
react 7
reactrate 0
shares 3
sharesrate 0
sumclicks 4
title Small businesses invest in their communities.
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 15
ID 1118128395198345
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1118128395198345
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oreach 9
posted "04/11/2020 02:28:16 PM"
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==========


Sure there are some problems with the initial rollout -

 https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2020/04/05/americans-hit-by-economic-shocks-confusion-stumbles-undermine-trumps-stimulus-effort/

and help may come too late for many individuals and small
businesses.           But don't be negative - just look
what's already being planned for the next step!    Just
because Treasury was understaffed before this started -

 https://www.bloombergquint.com/politics/mnuchin-s-empty-jobs-stretch-treasury-team-thin-in-global-crisis

doesn't mean the great ideas don't keep coming!

"a payroll-tax cut, a capital-gains tax cut, creating
50-year Treasury bonds to lock in low interest rates,
and a waiver that would clear businesses of liability from
employees who contract the coronavirus on the job"

A cut on the capital gains tax!     50-year bonds!
Employers off the occupational safety hook!  Help is never
too late for big Republican donors!

Why doesn't the mainstream media ever give Trump credit
for all the good that he does - for good donors?

==

topic economics 1

=====

comments 2
impact 370
impactrate 0
likeimpress 8
negative 0
posted 2020-04-06
priority 1
ratio 1
react 27
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shares 2
sharesrate 0
sumclicks 15
title Sure there are some problems with the initial rollout -
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 137
ID 1114060422271809
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1114060422271809
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posted "04/06/2020 06:59:00 AM"
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sharesimpress 2
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type Link

==========


Is Trump for higher oil prices or lower?

Looks like either way, he loses.

A worldwide depression is bad news for North Dakota and
the Permian Basin - bad enough to make them stay home on
election day?     Low gas prices don't help if nobody is
allowed to go anywhere and nobody can afford to buy even
cheap gas.

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/02/us/politics/trump-russia-saudi-arabia-oil.html

But now Trump is talking about a tariff on imported oil to
support the domestic US oil industry.     Remember that
a tariff is a tax collected from American consumers.
American oil companies who import oil don't like that idea.

 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-04-04/trump-says-he-d-use-tariffs-if-needed-to-protect-oil-industry

It undoubtedly occurred to Saudi Arabia and Russia that an
oil price war right now might protect their market share
from each other, but would certainly eliminate a major
part of the US domestic oil industry, which would benefit
oil exporters when the economy recovers.

==

topic economics 1

=====

impact 59
impactrate 0
likeimpress 1
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posted 2020-04-03
priority 1
ratio 4
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sumclicks 3
title Is Trump for higher oil prices or lower?
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 147
ID 1111864059158112
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1111864059158112
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posted "04/03/2020 06:38:46 AM"
postotherclicks 3
reach 18
type Link

==========


Wouldn't a real billionaire be able to make his payments
when due?

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/02/business/economy/coronavirus-trump-company-finances.html

Oh wait, it's all about using other people's money.

==

topic economics

=====

impact 24
impactrate 0
likeimpress 3
negative 0
posted 2020-04-02
ratio 2
react 10
reactrate 0
shares 1
sharesrate 0
sumclicks 6
title Wouldn't a real billionaire be able to make his payments
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 24
ID 1111578449186673
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1111578449186673
audclicks 6
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oreach 27
posted "04/02/2020 08:40:20 PM"
postotherclicks 4
reach 27
sharesimpress 1
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type Link

==========


Nothing else is working - must be time for Infrastructure
Week!

As long as nothing is spent on Green New Deal projects!

Not sure who does child care for the workers, or how
social distancing works.        It just sounds like
another way to sneak in a future benefit for his donors
while nobody's looking.

All his previous proposals failed in the Senate anyway.
Nobody wants to raise the gas tax prior to an election,
even if gas prices are plummeting.     But the Republican
senators all seem to be immunized and ready to embrace
deficit spending now, so maybe they can just print
money.          Dirksen used to say "a billion here,
and billion there, and pretty soon you're talking about
real money."       Now the ante is a trillion here,
a trillion there.

 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-03-31/trump-calls-for-2-trillion-infrastructure-bill-to-create-jobs

==

topic economics 1

=====

impact 27
impactrate 0
likeimpress 1
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posted 2020-04-02
priority 1
ratio 9
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sumclicks 1
title Nothing else is working - must be time for Infrastructure
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 135
ID 1111144069230111
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1111144069230111
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posted "04/02/2020 07:35:10 AM"
postotherclicks 1
reach 18
type Link

==========


Local government will be paying for the virus for
generations.

 https://www.mercurynews.com/2020/03/28/borenstein-calpers-unprepared-for-the-coronavirus-recession/

Unlike the Feds, state and local governments can't print
money.

 http://www.political-scrapbook.net/controversial.html#defined%20benefit

==

topic economics

=====

impact 21
impactrate 0
likeimpress 3
negative 0
posted 2020-03-30
ratio 3
react 9
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sharesrate 0
sumclicks 5
title Local government will be paying for the virus for
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 23
ID 1108911909453327
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1108911909453327
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oreach 32
posted "03/30/2020 07:14:10 AM"
postlinkclicks 2
postotherclicks 3
reach 32
sharesimpress 1
sharesusers 1
type Link

==========


If you think pandemics are bad for business, you're just
in the wrong business.

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/28/us/politics/coronavirus-money-lobbyists.html

Trump just signed a $2 trillion
full-employment-for-lobbyists bill.

==

topic economics 1

=====

comments 2
impact 57
impactrate 0
likeimpress 10
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posted 2020-03-29
priority 1
ratio 2
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sharesrate 0
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title If you think pandemics are bad for business, you're just
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 26
ID 1108466609497857
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1108466609497857
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oreach 51
posted "03/29/2020 04:17:39 PM"
postlinkclicks 1
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sharesimpress 3
sharesusers 3
type Link

==========


Surprise!    Trump signs the law and says he will ignore
the parts he doesn't like.

 https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2020/03/27/trump-coronavirus-inspector-general/

Here's how Schumer got the parts Trump doesn't like into
the law -

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/26/us/coronavirus-senate-stimulus-package.html

==

But how can Trump use the law to reward his campaign donors
if an inspector general is sticking his nose everywhere?

"The administration agreed to create the new inspector
general's office in response to Democratic lawmakers who
balked at giving the Treasury Department wide latitude
to disburse more than $400 billion in emergency loans to
corporations, cities and states.

Trump has signaled he wants certain industries, such
as hotels and cruise ships, to have access to the
taxpayer-backed funding.   The Treasury Department has
not said so far how it will decide who receives money and
what the terms will be.   Trump said Friday night that his
aides would be consulting with top Wall Street executives
to make some of the decisions."

But of course.    Bailouts are for big corporate donors,
not little people!         The little people should
be grateful to get cash to cover... one week's rent.
Boeing gets a lot more than a week's worth!

==

topic economics 1

=====

comments 7
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likeimpress 29
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posted 2020-03-28
priority 1
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title Surprise! Trump signs the law and says he will ignore
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 189
ID 1107507952927056
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1107507952927056
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oreach 94
posted "03/28/2020 10:42:30 AM"
postlinkclicks 3
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reach 94
sharesimpress 7
sharesusers 7
type Link

==========


Why stock buybacks are so popular with major political
donors.

 https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/stock-buybacks-gouged-workers-the-measure-stopping-them-comes-too-late/2020/03/27/d6170752-6fcb-11ea-b148-e4ce3fbd85b5_story.html

Buybacks were illegal before the Reagan administration.

==

topic economics

=====

impact 0
impactrate 0
negative 0
posted 2020-03-27
reactrate 0
sharesrate 0
title Why stock buybacks are so popular with major political
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 20
ID 1107082616302923
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1107082616302923
impress 18
likeuimpress 12
likeuusers 11
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oreach 12
posted "03/27/2020 10:03:15 PM"
reach 12
type Link

==========


Republicans work diligently to free hard-working Americans
from an entangling social safety net.

EXCEPT right before an election.

 https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2020/03/25/trillion-dollar-stimulus-checks/

After the election crisis passes, they'll get back with
the program.

==

topic economics

=====

impact 0
impactrate 0
negative 0
posted 2020-03-26
reactrate 0
sharesrate 0
title Republicans work diligently to free hard-working Americans
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 32
ID 1105757403102111
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1105757403102111
impress 21
likeuimpress 12
likeuusers 10
oimpress 21
oreach 12
posted "03/26/2020 07:43:40 AM"
reach 12
type Link

==========


National security or administration security?

 https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2020/03/25/boeing-bailout-coronavirus/

But in an unexpected positive development, government
leaders might get no benefit!

 https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/stimulus-bill-prevents-trump-and-his-family-from-benefiting-from-loan-programs/2020/03/25/414a9400-6e8f-11ea-a3ec-70d7479d83f0_story.html

==

topic economics

=====

comments 1
impact 28
impactrate 0
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posted 2020-03-26
ratio 2
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title National security or administration security?
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 20
ID 1105747533103098
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1105747533103098
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oreach 36
posted "03/26/2020 07:29:44 AM"
postotherclicks 4
reach 36
type Link

==========


Lesson from the New Deal - let recovery bubble up instead
of trickle down.

 https://www.latimes.com/business/story/2020-03-23/new-deal-lessons-coronavirus-hiltzik-column

==

topic economics

=====

impact 0
impactrate 0
negative 0
posted 2020-03-25
reactrate 0
sharesrate 0
title Lesson from the New Deal - let recovery bubble up instead
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 17
ID 1105153219829196
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1105153219829196
impress 23
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likeuusers 11
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oreach 13
posted "03/25/2020 12:48:47 PM"
reach 13
type Link

==========


Relief for whom?

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/23/opinion/republicans-coronavirus.html

==

topic economics

=====

impact 4
impactrate 0
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posted 2020-03-24
ratio 3
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title Relief for whom?
topic economics
wordrate 0
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URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1104274423250409
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oreach 23
posted "03/24/2020 10:05:35 AM"
postlinkclicks 3
postotherclicks 1
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sharesimpress 1
sharesusers 1
type Link

==========


Insider trading?

Government officials shouldn't hold individual stocks -
it looks bad when they sell.

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/19/us/politics/richard-burr-stocks-sold-coronavirus.html

==

topic economics 1

=====

comments 1
impact 21
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posted 2020-03-19
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title Insider trading?
topic economics
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oreach 49
posted "03/19/2020 10:00:48 PM"
postlinkclicks 1
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sharesimpress 1
sharesusers 1
type Link

==========


Why economists and politicians are so worried.

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/17/business/economy/coronavirus-layoffs.html

One person's spending is another person's income.
No spending, no income.      Then that other person's
not spending, and somebody else is getting no income.
That's how economies contract into recession or worse.

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/17/upshot/coronavirus-economy-crisis-demand-shock.html

==

topic economics

=====

impact 13
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posted 2020-03-17
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title Why economists and politicians are so worried.
topic economics
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oreach 7
posted "03/17/2020 07:21:40 AM"
postotherclicks 1
reach 7
sharesimpress 1
sharesusers 1
type Link

==========


How bailouts work

 https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2020/03/17/bailout-recession-economy-pearlstein/

There's no way to help the deserving without also helping
the undeserving.         But government should at least
try -

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/17/upshot/coronavirus-economy-crisis-demand-shock.html

==

topic economics 1

=====

impact 0
impactrate 0
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posted 2020-03-17
priority 1
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title How bailouts work
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 26
ID 1098562290488289
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impress 19
likeuimpress 12
likeuusers 12
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oreach 13
posted "03/17/2020 06:27:01 AM"
reach 13
type Link

==========


Haunted by zombie corporate debt

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/16/opinion/coronavirus-economy-debt.html

Will the zombies consume all the credit of the living?

We knew the corporate debt bubble would pop sooner
or later.    And sooner or later is now.

 https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/09/opinion/corporate-debt-bubble-next-recession.html

So what's the government's response?      Encourage more
of the same corporate behavior?     Surprise!

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/16/opinion/airlines-bailout.html

 https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/business/wp/2020/03/16/u-s-airlines-seek-more-than-50-billion-from-the-government-to-deal-with-coronavirus-fallout/

==

topic economics

=====

impact 0
impactrate 0
negative 0
posted 2020-03-16
reactrate 0
sharesrate 0
title Haunted by zombie corporate debt
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 48
ID 1097973947213790
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1097973947213790
impress 19
likeuimpress 12
likeuusers 12
oimpress 19
oreach 13
posted "03/16/2020 10:20:52 AM"
reach 13
type Status

==========


True Trumpists!

They don't mind if his policies drive them into bankruptcy.

 https://www.washingtonpost.com/national/in-tobacco-country-trumps-tariffs-hit-hard-for-growers-and-communities/2020/03/14/8d29dfd6-5ff1-11ea-9055-5fa12981bbbf_story.html

==

topic economics

=====

impact 0
impactrate 0
negative 0
posted 2020-03-15
reactrate 0
sharesrate 0
title True Trumpists!
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 15
ID 1097529993924852
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1097529993924852
impress 25
likeuimpress 17
likeuusers 17
oimpress 25
oreach 19
posted "03/15/2020 08:04:14 PM"
reach 19
type Link

==========


When just-in-time is just-too-late to prevent panic buying.

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/15/business/coronavirus-food-shortages.html

There is a whole science - operations research - devoted
to minimizing cost.    Cost savings are relatively easy
to quantify, so fits well with the paradigm of management
by objectives.

But excess capacity is just a cost, with a seldom-tangible
and always-unpredictable benefit, so one way to meet
your objectives of cost reduction is to eliminate excess
capacity.     That's the whole point of just-in-time
manufacturing and logistics.

After all, paying for rare events that are unlikely
to arise on your watch is all pain for no gain, so why
jeopardize your career advancement?

This is an instance where market forces fail and the
coercive power of government is necessary.

==

topic economics

=====

impact 72
impactrate 0
likeimpress 2
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posted 2020-03-15
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sharesrate 0
sumclicks 3
title When just-in-time is just-too-late to prevent panic buying.
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 120
ID 1097419923935859
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1097419923935859
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oreach 20
posted "03/15/2020 04:07:17 PM"
postotherclicks 3
reach 20
sharesimpress 1
sharesusers 1
type Link

==========


A different kind of foreign economic interference.

 https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/03/12/us-biggest-financial-threat-china-might-not-be-coronavirus/

As passive index funds get larger, it's harder to find
securities to buy.

==

topic economics

=====

comments 1
impact 58
impactrate 0
likeimpress 5
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posted 2020-03-12
ratio 2
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sharesrate 0
sumclicks 15
title A different kind of foreign economic interference.
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 23
ID 1095213657489819
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1095213657489819
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oreach 54
posted "03/12/2020 04:00:57 PM"
postlinkclicks 7
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sharesimpress 4
sharesusers 4
type Link

==========


Corporate debt

 https://apnews.com/7cd0108d79c6b4f1ee2e6ec5fc3a2275

When Treasury bonds lose liquidity, that's a CRISIS!

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/12/business/economy/wall-street-funding-troubles-fed.html

Something is happening here, and you don't know what it is,
do you, Mr. Jones?

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/12/upshot/markets-weird-coronavirus.html

==

We knew the corporate debt bubble would pop sooner
or later.    And sooner or later is now.

 https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/09/opinion/corporate-debt-bubble-next-recession.html

This affects, for starters, everybody who works at an
over-leveraged corporation.    Or works for a supplier for
such a corporation.      The layoffs are already starting.

 https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2020/03/11/layoffs-coronavirus/

==

topic economics 1

=====

impact 7
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posted 2020-03-12
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title Corporate debt
topic economics
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ID 1095134757497709
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posted "03/12/2020 01:12:37 PM"
postlinkclicks 1
reach 13
type Link

==========


Coronavirus will not CAUSE the next recession.

But coronavirus might TRIGGER the next recession.

 https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/the-coronavirus-gores-trumps-bull-market/2020/03/01/4e7a49b2-5a72-11ea-9b35-def5a027d470_story.html

Like snow avalanches, major market turns have deep
underlying causes and superficial triggering events that
aren't much related.

 http://www.political-scrapbook.net/theory.html#cycle

==

topic economics

=====

impact 7
impactrate 0
likeimpress 1
negative 0
posted 2020-03-02
ratio 10
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shares 1
sharesrate 0
title Coronavirus will not CAUSE the next recession.
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 35
ID 1087615324916319
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engaged 2
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oreach 20
posted "03/02/2020 08:00:41 AM"
reach 20
sharesimpress 1
sharesusers 1
type Link

==========


The yield curve inverts again

 https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/recession-indicator-yield-curve-inversion-lowest-point-since-october-coronavirus-2020-2-1028933077

But is it still a reliable indicator of negative
psychology?

 https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-yield-curve-may-be-losing-its-predictive-power-because-its-too-closely-watched-says-former-fed-official-2020-02-25

==

topic economics

=====

impact 4
impactrate 0
negative 0
posted 2020-02-27
ratio 5
react 2
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sumclicks 2
title The yield curve inverts again
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 18
ID 1084849581859560
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oreach 10
posted "02/27/2020 01:19:12 PM"
postlinkclicks 2
reach 10
type Link

==========


Trump's plan to boost the economy

Trump's plan was the same as Obama's - deficit spending.
But the Obama recovery was slow because the Republicans
opposed it at every step of the way.       They forgot
all their objections as soon as Trump was president.
But their deficit spending was ill-directed toward the
wealthy, who pay for Republican campaigns, and so economic
growth continues at about the same rate as under Obama.

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/24/opinion/trump-2020-debt.html

Until coronavirus hit.       If there is a real recession
then there will be a real need for deficit spending.
But if there is a real recession the Republicans will
lose control of the White House and will have to go back
to opposing everything proposed by the president.

There is a real cost to making future generations pay
for present consumption.       Yet that form of deficit
spending seems to appeal to Republicans much more than
making future generations pay for capital improvements that
will benefit them - such as infrastructure and education.

==

topic economics

=====

impact 50
impactrate 0
likeimpress 3
negative 0
posted 2020-02-27
ratio 8
react 3
reactrate 0
sharesrate 0
title Trump's plan to boost the economy
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 166
ID 1084772468533938
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1084772468533938
engaged 3
impress 29
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likeimpress 3
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likeusers 3
likeuusers 24
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oreach 25
posted "02/27/2020 10:41:41 AM"
reach 25
type Link

==========


You can't take credit for the Obama recovery -

without taking blame for the Xi recession!

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/26/upshot/coronavirus-trump-stock-market.html

It's best not to tie your administration too closely to
the stock market.

 http://www.political-scrapbook.net/theory.html#cycle

==

topic economics

=====

impact 3
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posted 2020-02-26
ratio 17
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title You can't take credit for the Obama recovery -
topic economics
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oreach 17
posted "02/26/2020 07:36:32 PM"
reach 17
type Link

==========


All bubbles pop eventually

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/24/technology/tech-start-up-boom-deflate.html

Bad luck for Trump that this particular deflation coincided
with the coronavirus collapse.        But negative
psychology can be as contagious as positive psychology,
and like other viruses they just have to run their courses,
through Republican and Democratic administrations alike.

 http://www.political-scrapbook.net/theory.html#cycle

==

topic economics

=====

impact 5
impactrate 0
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posted 2020-02-25
ratio 9
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title All bubbles pop eventually
topic economics
wordrate 0
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ID 1083344195343432
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1083344195343432
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posted "02/25/2020 11:39:59 AM"
postotherclicks 1
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type Link

==========


Fantasy economics!

There's nobody left willing and able to do the work
required to increase growth.

 https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2020/02/20/white-house-economists-predict-growth-wont-hit-trumps-3-percent-target-unless-big-changes-occur/

Unless immigration is drastically increased.  Mulvaney says
we need more immigrant labor -

 https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/mulvaney-says-us-is-desperate-for-more-legal-immigrants/2020/02/20/946292b2-5401-11ea-87b2-101dc5477dd7_story.html

But there's another approach - use robots to harvest food
and care for nursing home patients, and serve and clean
up in the hospitality business!

 https://apnews.com/f3a13e26b8eba124f8fb4afc40969641

==

Oddly enough, Mulvaney remembers when Republicans were
concerned about deficits - when Obama was president.

 https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/in-speech-mulvaney-admits-republicans-are-hypocritical-on-deficits/2020/02/19/28546c84-5385-11ea-9e47-59804be1dcfb_story.html

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/20/us/politics/mulvaney-trump.html

The Republicans will recall their traditional wisdom as
soon as they lose the White House -

 https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/02/20/dont-let-republicans-sabotage-economy-under-next-democratic-president/

==

topic economics 1

=====

impact 63
impactrate 0
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posted 2020-02-20
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title Fantasy economics!
topic economics
wordrate 0
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posted "02/20/2020 08:48:29 AM"
postotherclicks 1
reach 46
type Link

==========


Bootstrapping

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/19/opinion/economic-mobility.html

==

topic economics

=====

comments 1
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title Bootstrapping
topic economics
wordrate 0
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ID 1079043482440170
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posted "02/19/2020 09:08:26 PM"
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type Link

==========


How retailers reduce overhead.

 https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/economy/walmart-employees-say-theyre-preparing-for-job-cuts-as-retailer-rolls-out-its-great-workplaces-program/2020/02/14/d8f4ea1c-4f63-11ea-9b5c-eac5b16dafaa_story.html

==

topic economics

=====

hide 1
impact 21
impactrate 0
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posted 2020-02-18
ratio 3
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title How retailers reduce overhead.
topic economics
wordrate 0
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ID 1078077382536780
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posted "02/18/2020 02:12:30 PM"
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sharesimpress 2
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type Link

==========


Two points of view on deficit spending.

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/18/opinion/trump-budget.html

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/17/opinion/bloomberg-buttigieg-economy.html

Investing for the future makes sense.         Taxing future
generations for current consumption does not.

 http://www.political-scrapbook.net/theory.html#bipartisanship

==

topic economics

=====

comments 1
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posted 2020-02-18
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title Two points of view on deficit spending.
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ID 1077877355890116
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posted "02/18/2020 08:01:19 AM"
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sharesimpress 5
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type Link

==========


Don't distract me with arithmetic!

 https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-trump-budget-mnuchin/despite-1-trillion-deficits-trump-tax-cuts-will-still-pay-for-themselves-mnuchin-idUSKBN20634K

If there's still a deficit, it must be because of the
Democrats.

==

topic economics 1

=====

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posted "02/14/2020 05:09:57 PM"
postlinkclicks 5
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sharesimpress 11
sharesusers 11
type Link

==========


The death of retail.

It's because of Amazon, right?

Wrong - it's because of income inequality.

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/13/business/not-internet-really-killing-malls.html

==

topic economics

=====

impact 2
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posted 2020-02-14
ratio 12
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title The death of retail.
topic economics
wordrate 0
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oreach 12
posted "02/14/2020 04:11:04 PM"
reach 12
type Link

==========


Silicon Valley Syndrome.

 https://www.mercurynews.com/2020/02/06/venture-capital-helped-fuel-silicon-valley-is-it-also-destroying-it/

The people at the bottom who keep life comfortable for the
people at the top need to organize to get a fair slice of
the pie.

==

topic economics

=====

impact 0
impactrate 0
negative 0
posted 2020-02-13
reactrate 0
sharesrate 0
title Silicon Valley Syndrome.
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 32
ID 1074030682941450
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impress 22
likeuimpress 18
likeuusers 17
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oreach 18
posted "02/13/2020 01:01:04 PM"
reach 18
type Link

==========


Another way democracy dies

 https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2020/02/11/income-inequality-un-destabilizing/

==

topic economics 1

=====

comments 1
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topic economics
wordrate 0
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ID 1072786033065915
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posted "02/11/2020 09:32:45 PM"
postotherclicks 9
reach 58
sharesimpress 3
sharesusers 3
type Link

==========


Headwinds against the economy from the east.

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/10/business/china-coronavirus-economy.html

The Fed is worried

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/11/business/economy/jerome-powell-federal-reserve-coronavirus.html

and also worried about the deficit.

The Europeans are already in recession -

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/11/business/coronavirus-europe-economy-daimler.html

All these might affect the psychology of the American
election.

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/10/business/coronavirus-japan-cruise-ship.html

Fortunately, Trump has years of experience telling other
people how to manage epidemics.

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/10/us/politics/trump-coronavirus-epidemic.html

But in economics, if you want to take credit for the Obama
expansion, you have to take blame for the Trump recession
happening right before elections.

==

topic economics

=====

impact 8
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likeimpress 1
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posted 2020-02-10
ratio 15
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title Headwinds against the economy from the east.
topic economics
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ID 1072014899809695
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oreach 15
posted "02/10/2020 07:40:26 PM"
reach 15
type Link

==========


Trump surrenders to simple arithmetic.

Cutting taxes increases the deficit after all.

You can't reduce the deficit without dealing with
entitlements.

You can't increase economic growth rates with an aging
population and reduced immigration.

So just like every other politician, Trump will just print
money and let some more courageous politician of the future
deliver the bad news - all your income will go to paying
for the consumption of previous generations.

 https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/paloma/the-finance-202/2020/02/10/the-finance-202-trump-s-budget-previews-his-2020-economic-pitch-more-spending-on-tax-cuts-and-the-wall/5e408ff3602ff14f8aac1753/

Trump is not going to cut Medicare - just remove half a
trillion dollars in wasteful Medicare spending.

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/09/us/politics/trump-border-wall-budget.html

 https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/02/10/trumps-budget-reveals-tremendous-fraud/

When push comes to shove - Trump is just another Republican
favoring his wealthy investors.

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/10/opinion/trump-budget-2020.html

==

topic economics

=====

hide 1
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title Trump surrenders to simple arithmetic.
topic economics
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ID 1071663853178133
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posted "02/10/2020 07:51:33 AM"
postotherclicks 6
reach 47
type Link

==========


What happens when deficits exceed a trillion dollars
a year?

We're all going to find out!

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/28/business/trillion-budget-deficit-cbo.html

==

topic economics

=====

impact 0
impactrate 0
negative 0
posted 2020-01-30
reactrate 0
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title What happens when deficits exceed a trillion dollars
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 19
ID 1063559267321925
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impress 23
likeuimpress 18
likeuusers 18
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oreach 19
posted "01/30/2020 07:43:59 AM"
reach 19
type Link

==========


Two cheers for slow growth!

 https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/lets-celebrate-slow-economic-growth/2020/01/27/13eea206-412d-11ea-b5fc-eefa848cde99_story.html

6% growth rates just aren't possible in an advanced
economy.  Especially if you reduce immigration.

 http://www.liberty-and-justice.net/

==

topic economics

=====

impact 0
impactrate 0
negative 0
posted 2020-01-28
reactrate 0
sharesrate 0
title Two cheers for slow growth!
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 23
ID 1062106327467219
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1062106327467219
impress 10
likeuimpress 7
likeuusers 7
oimpress 10
oreach 8
posted "01/28/2020 07:11:20 AM"
reach 8
type Link

==========


European solutions to housing crisis

 https://www.mercurynews.com/2020/01/26/opinion-california-needs-more-social-housing-to-solve-crisis/

Another approach is for workers to organize and demand a
living wage.

But in the long term it's hard to overcome the laws
of supply and demand.       Scarce resources just get
allocated by some other means than price.

The fastest way to lower Silicon Valley housing prices
would be a really big earthquake.    Or a North Korean
missile strike.

==

topic economics

=====

impact 0
impactrate 0
negative 0
posted 2020-01-27
reactrate 0
sharesrate 0
title European solutions to housing crisis
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 67
ID 1061463574198161
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1061463574198161
impress 14
likeuimpress 10
likeuusers 10
oimpress 14
oreach 11
posted "01/27/2020 09:31:58 AM"
reach 11
type Link

==========


Raising the minimum wage would be the best single thing
to do to improve the lives of Trump voters.

But Trump donors make sure the Trumpist politicians in
red states will never do any such thing.

 https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/01/09/want-help-red-america-increase-minimum-wage/

And the Trump voters go along with it because they're
willing to be distracted with guns, right-to-life,
immigration, etc - all the things that big Trump donors
don't really care about.

And not everybody gets minimum wage!

 https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/09/us/minimum-wage-tips-au-pair.html

==

topic economics 1

=====

impact 15
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title Raising the minimum wage would be the best single thing
topic economics
wordrate 0
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ID 1047081418969710
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1047081418969710
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oreach 15
posted "01/10/2020 07:49:11 AM"
postotherclicks 1
reach 15
sharesimpress 1
sharesusers 1
type Status

==========


Permanent damage of recessions.

 https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/dont-root-for-a-recession-to-knock-out-trump/2020/01/06/eb1e2a40-30c9-11ea-9313-6cba89b1b9fb_story.html

But nobody has found a way to defeat the business cycle.

==

topic economics

=====

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impact 2
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negative 1
posted 2020-01-06
ratio 11
react 1
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title Permanent damage of recessions.
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 18
ID 1043737409304111
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1043737409304111
hideclicks 1
hideclicksusers 1
impress 14
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negclicks 1
negusers 1
oimpress 14
oreach 11
posted "01/06/2020 05:33:25 PM"
reach 11
type Link

==========


More victims of automation and trade wars.

Trump doesn't talk about railroad workers.  Is deregulation
a factor?

 https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/economy/railroads-are-slashing-workers-cheered-on-by-wall-street-to-stay-profitable-amid-trumps-trade-war/2020/01/02/dc757ed4-1603-11ea-a659-7d69641c6ff7_story.html

==

topic economics

=====

impact 28
impactrate 0
likeimpress 6
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posted 2020-01-03
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title More victims of automation and trade wars.
topic economics
wordrate 0
words 20
ID 1041019532909232
URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/1041019532909232
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oreach 37
posted "01/03/2020 09:24:15 PM"
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