The table above has these entries. Post entries with just one line for Reach were not boosted. Boosted posts have two lines for Reach and several other items. The upper line reflects all interactions, the bottom line just those resulting from paid ads.
For the emoticon table only, Love Haha Wow Sad Angry are listed separately.
========== Repeating mistakes Wars aren't over when you tweet that they are over. There needs to be some objective reality - as Trump evidently understood at one point - and has since forgotten - as one of his usual cheerleaders points out - https://www.foxnews.com/opinion/marc-thiessen-trump-is-about-to-repeat-obamas-mistake-in-the-middle-east What are the Republicans going to do about it? Some kind of intervention is needed - https://www.nytimes.com/2018/12/24/opinion/impeach-fire-president-trump.html but in a way that doesn't offend the hard-core Trump base enough to support him as a third-party candidate in 2020 - which will really make the Republicans wish they'd promoted ranked-choice voting while they had the chance. And doesn't push traditional Republicans into supporting a more rational centrist third party. The timing and tone will be very hard to get right. But they asked for it. https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/772890319722156 Bizarrely, somebody is finding it worthwhile to rewrite conservative commentary - https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/someone-put-a-fake-headline-on-one-of-my-columns-trump-supporters-bought-it-and-blasted-me/2018/12/23/3f403e52-06ef-11e9-a3f0-71c95106d96a_story.html One wonders what the mother tongue of that forger might be? Of course the hard cores kept re-tweeting it even after the forgery was proven. And if all that that weren't enough, the economy is overdue for a recession - https://www.nytimes.com/2018/12/24/opinion/trump-economy-stock-market.html It seems impossible to avoid over the next couple of years, no matter who is in charge and no matter what policies they adopt. The business cycle will get you if you don't watch out - and it will get you if you do, sooner or later. Three possible causes of the next recession - https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2018/11/stocks-are-nosediving-recession-coming/576568/ But maybe there won't be a specific identifiable cause. Investors might collectively run out of optimism, and the markets will run out of buyers. http://www.political-scrapbook.net/theory.html#cycle If Trump is in charge, voters will blame him anyway. The unTrumpist Republicans will too, as if they had nothing to do with it. == topic election 1 ===== impact 198 impactrate 0 likeimpress 3 negative 0 posted 2018-12-24 priority 1 ratio 7 react 7 reactrate 0 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 4 title Repeating mistakes topic election wordrate 0 words 283 ID 775514442793077 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/775514442793077 audclicks 4 audreach 3 engaged 4 impress 97 likeclickusers 4 likeimpress 3 likeuimpress 59 likeusers 3 likeuusers 50 matchedotherclicks 4 oimpress 97 oreach 53 posted "12/24/2018 06:47:49 AM" postotherclicks 3 reach 53 type Link ========== Aim at the middle Even when they are not numerous, the people in the middle who might vote either way have an outsized influence in elections. You don't get their votes by preaching to the choir. https://www.nytimes.com/2018/12/16/opinion/democrats-2020-election-economic-populism.html https://wthh.dataforprogress.org/exploring-vote-switchers-in-2018/ https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2017/05/30/why-trumps-plan-to-slash-food-stamps-and-medicaid-could-cost-him-crucial-supporters/ http://www.political-scrapbook.net/trump.html#First%20Trump%20Constituency == topic election 1 ===== impact 40 impactrate 0 likeimpress 3 negative 0 posted 2018-12-17 priority 1 ratio 7 react 10 reactrate 0 shares 1 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 6 title Aim at the middle topic election wordrate 0 words 40 ID 771299143214607 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/771299143214607 audclicks 6 audreach 3 engaged 3 impress 116 likeclickusers 3 likeimpress 3 likeuimpress 62 likeusers 2 likeuusers 49 matchedlinkclicks 2 matchedotherclicks 4 oimpress 116 oreach 70 posted "12/17/2018 06:59:25 AM" postlinkclicks 2 postotherclicks 2 reach 70 sharesimpress 1 sharesusers 1 type Link ========== Another referendum on Trump tomorrow -- Trump will be in Mississippi today campaigning for a Republican who proudly supports Trump 100%. In fact that seems to be her answer for every question - she's found that deviating from that message just gets her into trouble. https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/paloma/daily-202/2018/11/26/daily-202-trump-s-rescue-mission-to-mississippi-may-drag-cindy-hyde-smith-across-the-finish-line/5bfb669c1b326b60d128001d == topic election ===== comments 3 hide 1 impact 106 impactrate 0 likeimpress 4 negative 1 posted 2018-11-26 ratio 3 react 22 reactrate 0 shares 1 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 13 title Another referendum on Trump tomorrow -- topic election wordrate 0 words 48 ID 758090784535443 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/758090784535443 audclicks 13 audreach 8 commentsimpress 3 commentsusers 3 engaged 9 hideclicks 1 hideclicksusers 1 impress 93 likeclickusers 9 likeimpress 4 likeuimpress 80 likeusers 3 likeuusers 69 matchedlinkclicks 2 matchedotherclicks 11 negclicks 1 negusers 1 oimpress 93 oreach 74 posted "11/26/2018 08:59:31 AM" postlinkclicks 2 postotherclicks 6 reach 74 sharesimpress 1 sharesusers 1 type Link ========== Lessons for Democrats - don't keep preaching to the choir especially if the choir is shrinking! Is the future of the Trumpist party already being written in California? https://calmatters.org/articles/commentary/the-trump-effect-worked-well-for-democrats/ The California Republican party is currently in third place behind unpartied voters, and headed further down rather than up. Even a reliable Trump cheerleader like Mark Thiessen can see where this is going - https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/opinion/columnists/2018/11/20/thiessen-donald-trump-needs-do-avoid-being-one-term-president/2070166002/ Trump's less prescient sycophants indulge his fantasy that there's some deep conspiracy undoing all his good works - https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/new-book-by-trump-advisers-calls-out-the-presidents-embedded-enemies/2018/11/24/afcbd0fc-ede3-11e8-baac-2a674e91502b_story.html But Trump being Trump means holding more and more campaign rallies for his shrinking base, leading lock-her-up chants and bragging about the big beautiful wall. Even when the rally is nominally to support somebody else. Trump just can't seem to make the transition from the excitement of campaigning to the hard drudgery of governing. That recalls a Twilight Zone episode from the 1950's - astronauts land on a planet and find that it's actually Heaven - all the departed are there, each frozen for all eternity in the greatest moment of his life - and sure enough, one of them was a politician addressing a cheering campaign rally. The only moving creature there was The Caretaker, who walked around with a little brush dusting everybody off. And Democratic impeachment enthusiasts should consider this - giving President Pence a year to push reactionary legislation through Congress far more skillfully than Trump could imagine, and time to reconcile with former Republicans disgusted with Trumpism, could leave the Republicans in a far stronger position in 2020. And that's a powerful argument against pursuing impeachment prior to the 2020 primary campaign season. == topic election ===== hide 3 impact 650 impactrate 0 likeimpress 1 negative 3 posted 2018-11-25 ratio 2 react 24 reactrate 0 shares 3 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 17 title Lessons for Democrats - don't keep preaching to the choir topic election wordrate 0 words 271 ID 757425467935308 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/757425467935308 audclicks 17 audreach 14 engaged 15 hideclicks 3 hideclicksusers 3 impress 91 likeclickusers 13 likeimpress 1 likeuimpress 71 likeusers 1 likeuusers 56 matchedlinkclicks 5 matchedotherclicks 12 negclicks 3 negusers 3 oimpress 91 oreach 67 posted "11/25/2018 07:47:57 AM" postlinkclicks 5 postotherclicks 10 reach 67 sharesimpress 3 sharesusers 3 type Link ========== MS runoff - very fine people, on both sides? https://www.newsweek.com/mississippi-history-its-best-senator-cindy-hyde-smith-posed-confederate-1225959 Yes, there were some very fine people on the Confederate side - in other ways. But the words of their leaders confirm they were fighting for slavery first and foremost, even when coded as "states rights." Worse, it was a "rich man's war and a poor man's fight" - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Twenty_Negro_Law In short, there's really no good reason to impute any heroism to defense of American feudalism. Better to look to the future than to the past. But without the Klan, Nazis, crackpot conspiracy theorists, etc., the Republicans don't have a winning margin in many places. So all Trumpists and most other Republicans never disavow those supporters and always try to subtly encourage them, rather than dishearten them, lest they stay home on election day. Without that winning margin, the Republicans don't control the government, can't enact their billionaire Republican donors' agenda, and won't get any more donations from them. == There's more at https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/754717688206086 https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/753202291690959 https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/753165165028005 https://www.facebook.com/pg/politicalscrapbooknet/posts http://www.political-scrapbook.net/facebook.html http://www.political-theses.net/ http://www.political-scrapbook.net == topic election 2 ===== comments 78 hide 3 impact 6270 impactrate 1 likeimpress 46 negative 3 posted 2018-11-23 priority 2 ratio 10 react 380 reactrate 0 shares 16 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 237 title MS runoff - very fine people, on both sides? topic election wordrate 0 words 165 ID 756079351403253 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/756079351403253 audclicks 237 audreach 197 bimpress 4154 blikeimpress 1 blikeusers 1 breach 3076 commentsimpress 78 commentsusers 42 engaged 270 hideclicks 3 hideclicksusers 3 impress 5096 likeclickusers 22 likeimpress 46 likeuimpress 128 likeusers 46 likeuusers 103 matchedlinkclicks 155 matchedotherclicks 82 negclicks 3 negusers 3 oimpress 942 oreach 731 posted "11/23/2018 09:14:23 AM" postlinkclicks 144 postotherclicks 61 reach 3860 sharesimpress 16 sharesusers 15 type Link budget 100 budgettype Lifetime cadname "Post: ""MS runoff - very fine people, on both sides?""" ccleantitle MS runoff - very fine people, on both sides? cclicksall 686 cclickslink 133 ccpcall 0.14577259 ccpclink 0.7518797 cdelivery not_delivering cend 2018-12-31 cimpressions 4154 clicksunique 127 conversionrank - cost 0.75187969924812 cpm 24.07318247 creach 3026 cstart 2018-10-01 ctrall 16.51420318 ctrlink 3.2017332691382 ecomments 26 ecpclink 0.7518797 ends 2018-11-26 engagedrank - ereact 31 eshares 12 frequency 1.3727693324521 indicator actions:link_click qualityrank - results 133 spent 100 ========== very fine people, on both sides? https://www.newsweek.com/mississippi-history-its-best-senator-cindy-hyde-smith-posed-confederate-1225959 Yes, there were some very fine people on the Confederate side - in other ways. But the words of their leaders confirm they were fighting for slavery first and foremost, even when coded as "states rights." Worse, it was a "rich man's war and a poor man's fight" - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Twenty_Negro_Law In short, there's really no good reason to impute any heroism to defense of American feudalism. Better to look to the future than to the past. But without the Klan, Nazis, crackpot conspiracy theorists, etc., the Republicans don't have a winning margin in many places. So all Trumpists and most other Republicans never disavow those supporters and always try to subtly encourage them, rather than dishearten them, lest they stay home on election day. Without that winning margin, the Republicans don't control the government, can't enact their billionaire Republican donors' agenda, and won't get any more donations from them. == There's more at https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/754717688206086 https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/753202291690959 https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/753165165028005 https://www.facebook.com/pg/politicalscrapbooknet/posts http://www.political-scrapbook.net/facebook.html http://www.political-theses.net/ http://www.political-scrapbook.net == topic election ===== comments 1 hide 1 impact 242 impactrate 0 likeimpress 5 negative 1 posted 2018-11-23 ratio 4 react 15 reactrate 0 shares 1 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 7 title very fine people, on both sides? topic election wordrate 0 words 161 ID 756039011407287 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/756039011407287 audclicks 7 audreach 6 commentsimpress 1 commentsusers 1 engaged 9 hideclicks 1 hideclicksusers 1 impress 75 likeclickusers 9 likeimpress 5 likeuimpress 62 likeusers 5 likeuusers 59 matchedlinkclicks 2 matchedotherclicks 5 negclicks 1 negusers 1 oimpress 75 oreach 65 posted "11/23/2018 07:41:42 AM" postlinkclicks 2 postotherclicks 4 reach 65 sharesimpress 1 sharesusers 1 type Link ========== John Delaney for President? He's already running. https://www.marylandmatters.org/blog/delaneys-presidential-bid-gets-the-george-will-treatment/ https://www.nytimes.com/2018/11/10/us/politics/john-delaney-2020-iowa.html https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/want-to-topple-trump-take-john-delaney-seriously/2018/11/16/d34346ee-e90d-11e8-a939-9469f1166f9d_story.html == topic election ===== impact 2 impactrate 0 negative 0 posted 2018-11-22 ratio 17 react 2 reactrate 0 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 2 title John Delaney for President? topic election wordrate 0 words 10 ID 755329861478202 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/755329861478202 audclicks 2 audreach 2 engaged 2 impress 52 likeclickusers 2 likeuimpress 40 likeuusers 33 matchedlinkclicks 1 matchedotherclicks 1 oimpress 52 oreach 34 posted "11/22/2018 06:56:57 AM" postlinkclicks 1 postotherclicks 1 reach 34 type Link ========== Remember the Republicans knew this was coming a year ago https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/right-turn/wp/2017/12/08/journalists-forget-the-rust-belt-diners-head-for-the-suburban-yoga-classes/ https://www.nytimes.com/2017/12/18/us/politics/house-control-2018-suburbs-trump-republicans-democrats.html https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/556514674693056 But it's bigger than that now - https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/post-partisan/wp/2018/11/19/the-end-of-trump Who's going to make the most of it? https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/opinions/wp/2018/11/20/driving-toward-2020-a-pile-up-in-the-left-lane == topic election ===== comments 1 hide 1 impact 22 impactrate 0 likeimpress 1 negative 1 posted 2018-11-21 ratio 5 react 8 reactrate 0 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 5 title Remember the Republicans knew this was coming a year ago topic election wordrate 0 words 28 ID 754958818181973 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/754958818181973 audclicks 5 audreach 4 commentsimpress 1 commentsusers 1 engaged 4 hideclicks 1 hideclicksusers 1 impress 61 likeclickusers 4 likeimpress 1 likeuimpress 47 likeusers 1 likeuusers 37 matchedlinkclicks 2 matchedotherclicks 3 negclicks 1 negusers 1 oimpress 61 oreach 40 posted "11/21/2018 04:42:42 PM" postlinkclicks 2 postotherclicks 3 reach 40 type Link ========== MS runoff - it's not just about Trump The Republican candidate is Trumpier than Trump, saying right out loud what he only hints at. https://www.foxnews.com/politics/walmart-asks-for-contribution-back-from-mississippi-gop-sen-hyde-smith-after-controversial-comments https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/democrat-espy-charges-debate-sen-hyde-smith-s-public-hanging-n938751 == There's more at https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/753165165028005 https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/753202291690959 https://www.facebook.com/pg/politicalscrapbooknet/posts http://www.political-scrapbook.net/facebook.html http://www.political-theses.net/ http://www.political-scrapbook.net == topic election 2 ===== comments 87 hideall 1 impact 1747 impactrate 0 likeimpress 66 negative 1 posted 2018-11-21 priority 2 ratio 6 react 546 reactrate 0 shares 15 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 377 title MS runoff - it's not just about Trump topic election wordrate 0 words 32 ID 754717688206086 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/754717688206086 audclicks 377 audreach 347 bimpress 5122 blikeimpress 1 blikeusers 1 breach 3182 commentsimpress 87 commentsusers 53 engaged 424 hideallclicks 1 hideallclicksusers 1 impress 5901 likeclickusers 9 likeimpress 66 likeuimpress 70 likeusers 64 likeuusers 52 matchedlinkclicks 313 matchedotherclicks 64 negclicks 1 negusers 1 oimpress 779 oreach 581 posted "11/21/2018 07:33:21 AM" postlinkclicks 299 postotherclicks 53 reach 3672 sharesimpress 15 sharesusers 13 type Link budget 100 budgettype Lifetime cadname "Post: ""MS runoff - it's not just about Trump""" ccleantitle MS runoff - it's not just about Trump cclicksall 842 cclickslink 301 ccpcall 0.11876485 ccpclink 0.33222591 cdelivery not_delivering cend 2018-12-31 cimpressions 5122 clicksunique 287 conversionrank - cost 0.33222591362126 cpm 19.52362358 creach 3121 cstart 2018-10-01 ctrall 16.43889106 ctrlink 5.8766106989457 ecomments 37 ecpclink 0.33222591 ends 2018-11-26 engagedrank - ereact 43 eshares 13 frequency 1.6411406600449 indicator actions:link_click qualityrank - results 301 spent 100 ========== It wasn't just suburban educated women https://www.nytimes.com/2018/11/17/opinion/sunday/trump-is-beginning-to-lose-his-grip.html?action=click&module=Opinion&pgtype=Homepage ===== comments 1 impact 13 impactrate 0 likeimpress 7 negative 0 posted 2018-11-18 ratio 3 react 21 reactrate 0 shares 2 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 11 title It wasn't just suburban educated women topic election wordrate 0 words 6 ID 753371915007330 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/753371915007330 audclicks 11 audreach 6 commentsimpress 1 commentsusers 1 engaged 12 impress 90 likeclickusers 11 likeimpress 7 likeuimpress 67 likeusers 7 likeuusers 54 matchedlinkclicks 2 matchedotherclicks 9 oimpress 90 oreach 65 posted "11/18/2018 10:39:41 PM" postlinkclicks 2 postotherclicks 5 reach 65 sharesimpress 2 sharesusers 1 type Link ========== Evolution of Republican Identity - for MS runoff voters Be sure to vote on November 27! The whole world is watching. == Why were these Republicans voting for Democrats? https://www.cnn.com/2018/10/30/politics/chesley-sullenberger-washington-post-op-ed/index.html https://www.marketwatch.com/story/vote-against-every-single-republican-columnist-urges-senate-candidates-dodge-on-trumps-birthright-citizenship-plan-2018-11-01 https://thehill.com/opinion/campaign/394377-george-will-is-right-vote-the-gop-out https://washingtonmonthly.com/2018/08/10/you-cant-save-the-gop-by-electing-republican-senators/ They hold many traditional conservative Republican points of view, and they aren't going to become Democrats, but they are voting Democratic this time. What happens to them after the election? They'll have to decide based on the results of the election and how the remaining Republicans react to those results. If the GOP decides that it lost the House because it wasn't Trumpist enough, then it will be truly a lost cause. Democrats will continue to figure out how to attract back those who voted for Obama and then Trump. The Democrats will be glad to leave the racists, anti-semites, and fascists to the Trumpists, so they can follow the path of the American Independent Party to oblivion - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/American_Independent_Party == The Obama voters that voted for Trump are voting Democratic again - https://www.nytimes.com/2018/11/01/opinion/when-trump-voters-go-for-democrats.html http://www.political-scrapbook.net/trump.html#First%20Trump%20Constituency This constituency is desperate - for something to be hopeful about. But it sounds like the change that they are hoping for can't come from Trumpists. Meanwhile, in another universe, another faithful Republican constituency is getting driven away - https://www.nytimes.com/2018/11/01/us/politics/republicans-trump-house.html http://www.political-scrapbook.net/trump.html#Third%20Trump%20Constituency This constituency is disgusted. What about that other Trump constituency that comes to his campaign rallies - even though they're either two years late or two years early. They're with Trump forever, because nobody else will will admit to wanting them - http://www.political-scrapbook.net/trump.html#Second%20Trump%20Constituency Trump accepts the second constituency's unconditional love at his campaign rallies, which Trump craves like a junkie his junk. In return he offers them all the words and chants they want. And not much else. In fact, probably less... Consider the history of the social safety net. Social security - Republicans mostly voted in favor - https://www.ssa.gov/history/tally.html Medicare - Republicans opposed in the Senate, split in the House - https://www.ssa.gov/history/tally65.html Obamacare - No Republican votes https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Patient_Protection_and_Affordable_Care_Act#Legislative_history even though it was based on Mitt Romney's popular Masscare - http://www.nbcnews.com/id/44854320/ns/politics-decision_2012/t/white-house-used-mitt-romney-health-care-law-blueprint-federal-law If you want to see how it adds up - https://www.usgovernmentspending.com/federal_budget_detail_2017bs22017n_0010 Seeing how it adds up, McConnell's regretfully come to a sad conclusion - we'll have to reduce the social safety net to pay for billionaire tax cuts. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-10-16/mcconnell-blames-entitlements-not-gop-for-rising-deficits But he wants the Democrats to take the lead on fiscal responsibility because the Trumpists reject the notion out of hand. But wait, there's more! According to Trump advisor Kudlow, a minimum wage is a terrible idea, when we could be passing more billionaire tax cuts instead - https://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/larry-kudlow-federal-minimum-wage_us_5bdb1c94e4b0da7bfc17d59a == So how did we get here? Consider the evolution of the Republican Party - from liberation to identity politics. The Republican Party defeated the Confederacy, freed the slaves, and then got stuck in the House trying to decide the Hayes-Tilden election of 1876. So the Corrupt Bargain was struck - the Republican Hayes became President, and withdrew Federal troops from the South, ending Reconstruction and giving the unrepentant southern Democrats a free hand for 80 years - https://historyengine.richmond.edu/episodes/view/317 until the Supreme Court finally struck down "separate but equal" and the Republican President Eisenhower enforced it with Federal troops - http://www.americaslibrary.gov/aa/eisenhower/aa_eisenhower_littlerock_1.html leading to founding of the John Birch Society with their "Impeach Earl Warren" campaign and claims that Eisenhower was a Communist traitor - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Birch_Society Goldwater and William Buckley and many other Republican leaders kept their distance from the Birchers, and in 1964 Goldwater lost by a landslide to LBJ. Goldwater was too far right, but of course the lunatic fringe thought he was not far right ENOUGH. But Goldwater opposed the Civil Rights Act of 1964 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Civil_Rights_Act_of_1964 and the Voting Rights Act of 1965 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Voting_Rights_Act_of_1965 and that encouraged many Dixiecrats to abandon the Democratic Party, led by Strom Thurmond https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_United_States_Senators_who_switched_parties and Albert Watson https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_United_States_Representatives_who_switched_parties Their racism made many traditional Republicans nervous, but Richard Nixon had been rebuilding a political organization for another run for President. Nixon realized that, properly handled, the former Dixiecrats were an asset rather than a liability. According to Haldeman, "Nixon emphasized that you have to face the fact that the whole problem is really the blacks. The key is to devise a system that recognized this while not appearing to." https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Southern_strategy Although the RNC chair apologized for the Southern Strategy in 2005, he was speaking too soon. In 2009, Obama was elected President, and the Tea Party was born https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tea_Party_movement Since Obama's politics were not much different from Bill Clinton's, it's hard to escape the conclusion that racism was an important factor in the rise of the Tea Party. It was not explicitly racist, but it was part of the oppose-Obama-on-everything movement within the Republican party https://www.politico.com/story/2010/10/the-gops-no-compromise-pledge-044311 which certainly appealed to all the racists. Trump's great insight was that by signaling (subtly at first, blatantly later) to the racists and and anti-semites and fascists, they'd stick with him forever, and by other means he could also attract the Obama voters who were hoping for a change for the better. Of course, the reason there hadn't been as much change for the better as hoped, is that the Republicans were blocking Obama on everything. Even so, Obamacare passed and the economy as a whole has been recovering since 2009. But the Republicans cleverly convinced enough voters that they were against Obamacare, even though polls asking about any specific aspect of Obamacare, but without mentioning "Obamacare", such as affordable coverage for pre-existing conditions, found quite widespread support. Trump could easily promise to repeal Obamacare and come up with better coverage for more people at lower cost. And while the economy as a whole has been recovering, the recovery has been uneven, especially in industries undone by technological advance or their environmental costs. Trump could easily promise to turn back the tide of technology and and the tide of rising oceans and environmental degradation. And that's how Trump barely won. Since then he has done a great job of keeping the racists, anti-semites, fascists, and anti-intellectuals in his camp, but those who had voted for Obama and then Trump have noticed that he hasn't really done anything for them after all. http://www.political-scrapbook.net/trump.html#First%20Trump%20Constituency So now he has to create distractions of foreign menace of impoverished peasant invasions, and somehow avoid the distractions of domestic menace by his hard-core followers who took him too literally and too seriously. http://www.political-scrapbook.net/trump.html#Second%20Trump%20Constituency https://www.usatoday.com/in-depth/news/nation/2018/10/31/george-soros-and-migrant-caravan-how-lie-multiplied-online/1824633002/ https://www.economist.com/united-states/2018/11/03/the-republican-party-and-white-identity But sticking too close to his white-identity-politics hard-core base may be his undoing. Cults of personality have not lasted long in American politics. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cult_of_personality The Trumpist Party has no fixed ideology beyond the whims and prejudices of the leader, who owes nothing to the past or to the future, but mutually supports and abets other personality cults all over the world. Don't like it? The 2018 election is a national referendum on ideas vs personality cults. For this one specific moment in history, voters interested in ideas need to vote for ideas and against personality cults. That means in almost every instance, a vote for Republicans, Libertarians, Greens, independents, or staying home because it doesn't matter - is a vote for personality cults. An astonishing number of House and even Senate seats and Governorships are too close too call this year - meaning individual votes count as never before. In almost every instance, at this specific moment, the only effective vote against personality cults is to vote Democratic. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cult_of_personality America was founded on ideas rather than personalities- We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness. A new nation, conceived in Liberty, and dedicated to the proposition that all men are created equal. Traditional Republicans who think of themselves as part of the party of Lincoln and Theodore Roosevelt should think about what it means when a party of ideas becomes a personality cult - which is the tendency of populist and fascist movements. == A president who wants to build a legacy needs a tent large enough to weather various kinds of crises among sub-constituencies. Trump seems uninterested and unable to do so. He's indeed a great disrupter, as claimed, but not a great builder, which also was claimed. https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2018/10/trump-is-still-blaming-the-far-left-media-for-americas-divisiveness/ The nation will recover eventually, as it has from other fundamental crises. The outlook for the Republican Party is not so certain, and recalls the fate of the Whigs - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Whig_Party_(United_States)#Decline The Republicans might split into a hard-core identitarian Trumpist party and one espousing more traditional Republican values. Hard to guess which one will retain the Republican name! Trump certainly likes to see his name in gold on everything he touches. It would be good for the Republicans to finally excise their cancer of racism, anti-semitism, and fascism. After years of berating the Democrats for identity politics, it's time for the Republicans to take the same medicine. The Democrats could go the same factional route if success went to their heads and they got too far ahead of the middle of the electorate. That might eventually lead to a new majority coalition in the middle for a while. If the Democrats are smart, they will become the new majority coalition somewhat left of the middle, far enough left to have ideals and goals, yet close enough to the middle and the left to keep both in the tent. No small task. http://www.political-scrapbook.net/theory.html#conservative == Title: The case against Trump: character Trump might be impeached in the new House but not convicted in the Senate. It's hard to imagine what new high crimes and misdemeanors could be so shocking, compared to what we already know, that they would change the minds of 15-20 Republican Senators necessary for conviction amd removal, who have already fully committed to Trump - and would thus admit that they were either fools or co-conspirators all along. Of course, as self-serving opportunists like Trump, they'd turn on him overnight if they thought it in their interest. There is no love lost between them; he's insulted them all at one point or another. But Fox is there to make sure they don't flip on Trump. John Dean says Nixon might have survived if Fox had been there to protect him - https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2018/01/02/john-dean-nixon-might-have-survived-if-thered-been-a-fox-news-216207 Likewise it's hard to imagine Pence and the Trump cabinet invoking the 25th Amendment - that would tell as much about them as about Trump. The case against Trump - and by extension his enablers - comes down to something more serious - CHARACTER. 1) Trump is a salesman first and foremost. He tells his supporters what they want to hear and what he wants them to hear, not what they need to hear. Would you buy a used car, a penny stock, a cable or cell phone plan based on Trump's promises? Trust him alone with your daughter? 2) Trump addresses the feelings of his supporters by telling the truth about his own feelings. The only truth he cares about is the truth of his feelings. Like other authoritarians and would-be authoritarians, he rejects out of hand the idea that there is an external objective reality against which his feelings might be compared. He never admits to being wrong and never apologizes for mistakes, which means he never learns anything, even when he changes course 180 degrees. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-46061646 3) Trump can't move beyond his shrinking base and doesn't even want to. He'd much rather have an exciting rally with his permanent supporters than reach out to former supporters and potential supporters. He's not interested in the widest possible Republican tent, only the most enthusiastic Trumpist tent. That means, to support their continuing minority rule, the rest of the Republicans have to double down on voter suppression, gerrymandering, big dark campaign money, and creating a politicized Federal judiciary to support those efforts. 4) Trump promises his supporters one thing and delivers another. His talking points are for the forgotten Americans, but his actions are for the billionaire Republican donors, on deregulation relief, taxation relief, and immigration non-reform. He talked about e-verify on the campaign trail but dropped it when he learned how his donors feel. He imposes tariffs that transfer wealth from one set of Americans to another more favored one - that's called Welfare. And whatever happened to the massive infrastructure plan that the Democrats were so eager to cooperate on? 5) Trump recognizes no debt to the past or to his predecessors, nor to the future or his successors. "One sows and another reaps" - Trump takes credit for the economic recovery begun in 2009 against all Republican obstacles. Does anybody believe he will accept any responsibility for the inevitable recession that follows every recovery, or for the inflation caused by deficit spending at the top of a recovery, or for the debt service cost later? Not his problem as long as it happens after 2020. 6) Trump attracts self-serving opportunists to government service. A self-serving opportunist at the top sets the tone all the way down. He can't keep up with the pressure to fill appointed positions, or to refill positions vacated by his cronies who just can't seem to master government ethics, or just don't care, or expect to be pardoned if caught. 7) Trump claims that there's nothing to be learned from his tax returns or audited financials or investigation of his campaign's Russian contacts. And so he refuses to release any information about his financials and threatens to shut down Mueller's investigation - just what one would expect if there IS something to be learned. In contrast, Mike Pence's tax returns have been public since before the 2016 election and, sure enough, there is nothing to learn and nothing to talk about there. == What happens after the election? 1) There will be even more reorg than usual in the Trump administration. Anybody that has thwarted his impulses is apt to be relieved of their duties, starting with Sessions, Rosenstein, and Mueller. 2) The final results of the Mueller investigation will probably come to light anyway, with more indictments for Trump campaigners - Roger Stone looks like a particularly good bet. Trump might respond that they had little role or none in his campaign, but might pardon any of them that can keep their mouths shut. 3) Most interesting is whether anything comes of the income and estate tax investigations by New York state and New York city. https://www.nytimes.com/2018/10/04/us/politics/donald-trump-fred-trump-tax-schemes.html The New York Times reported criminally fraudulent behavior in the estate planning of Fred Trump for his heirs. The Federal criminal statute of limitations has expired for that time period, but New York law for criminal and civil investigations might be different, and the same threads might be followed into more recent years for which the statute of limitations has not expired. Trump might respond that his lawyers and accountants were responsible, not him, but he can't pardon them for civil matters nor state criminal offenses. == As for the future, there are a lot of structural reforms needed - getting dark money out of politics, encouraging voter registration and turnout instead of suppressing, ending gerrymandering, adopting ranked-choice voting and multi-member districts, changing the way Congress runs itself - that will increase voter choices by making independent and ideological candidates more feasible. https://www.fairvote.org/ https://www.nolabels.org/ https://www.uniteamerica.org/ http://www.americanpromise.net/ But those efforts will take years to come to fruition. Now is the time for short-term action. == There's more at https://www.facebook.com/pg/politicalscrapbooknet/posts http://www.political-scrapbook.net/facebook.html http://www.political-theses.net/ http://www.political-scrapbook.net == topic election 2 ===== comments 16 hide 1 impact 84062 impactrate 5 likeimpress 81 negative 1 posted 2018-11-18 priority 2 ratio 7 react 332 reactrate 0 shares 25 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 209 title Evolution of Republican Identity - for MS runoff voters topic election wordrate 0 words 2532 ID 753202291690959 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/753202291690959 audclicks 209 audreach 181 bimpress 4266 breach 2019 commentsimpress 16 commentsusers 11 engaged 241 hideclicks 1 hideclicksusers 1 impress 5001 likeclickusers 8 likeimpress 81 likeuimpress 62 likeusers 78 likeuusers 43 matchedlinkclicks 186 matchedotherclicks 23 negclicks 1 negusers 1 oimpress 735 oreach 535 posted "11/18/2018 02:55:22 PM" postlinkclicks 163 postotherclicks 21 reach 2573 sharesimpress 25 sharesusers 23 type Link budget 100 budgettype Lifetime cadname "Post: ""Evolution of Republican Identity - for MS runoff...""" ccleantitle Evolution of Republican Identity - for MS runoff cclicksall 511 cclickslink 182 ccpcall 0.19569472 ccpclink 0.54945055 cdelivery not_delivering cend 2018-12-31 cimpressions 4266 clicksunique 157 conversionrank - cost 0.54945054945055 cpm 23.44116268 creach 2052 cstart 2018-10-01 ctrall 11.97843413 ctrlink 4.2662916080638 ecomments 9 ecpclink 0.54945055 ends 2018-11-26 engagedrank - ereact 55 eshares 17 frequency 2.0789473684211 indicator actions:link_click qualityrank - results 182 spent 100 ========== Words from Washington to McCain -for MS runoff voters Be sure to vote on November 27! The whole world is watching. == John McCain https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/arizona/2018/08/27/mccain-letter-final-words-americas-politics-and-partisanship/1112268002/ We are citizens of the world's greatest republic, a nation of ideals, not blood and soil. We are blessed and are a blessing to humanity when we uphold and advance those ideals at home and in the world. == Katharine Lee Bates https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/America_the_Beautiful O beautiful for spacious skies, For amber waves of grain, For purple mountain majesties Above the fruited plain! America! America! God shed His grace on thee And crown thy good with brotherhood From sea to shining sea! O beautiful for pilgrim feet, Whose stern, impassioned stress A thoroughfare for freedom beat Across the wilderness! America! America! God mend thine every flaw, Confirm thy soul in self-control, Thy liberty in law! O beautiful for heroes proved In liberating strife, Who more than self their country loved And mercy more than life! America! America! May God thy gold refine, Till all success be nobleness, And every gain divine! O beautiful for patriot dream That sees beyond the years Thine alabaster cities gleam Undimmed by human tears! America! America! God shed His grace on thee And crown thy good with brotherhood From sea to shining sea! === William Jennings Bryan - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cross_of_Gold_speech There are two ideas of government. There are those who believe that, if you will only legislate to make the well-to-do prosperous, their prosperity will leak through on those below. The Democratic idea, however, has been that if you legislate to make the masses prosperous, their prosperity will find its way up through every class which rests upon them... You shall not press down upon the brow of labor this crown of thorns; you shall not crucify mankind upon a cross of gold. But there are other ideas of populism, though - https://www.forbes.com/sites/eriksherman/2018/11/01/no-minimum-wage-increases-anywhere-says-trump-advisor-corporate-tax-cuts-are-enough/#29cd38de4351 https://www.newsweek.com/trump-tax-cuts-rich-americans-republicans-1133372 https://www.stltoday.com/opinion/editorial/editorial-predictably-republicans-hint-that-tax-plan-deficit-justifies-entitlement/article_a5e74a11-49aa-51e0-a8e0-9d6ee7859732.html == Josiah Gilbert Holland http://www.theotherpages.org/poems/holland1.html GOD, give us men! A time like this demands Strong minds, great hearts, true faith and ready hands; Men whom the lust of office does not kill; Men whom the spoils of office can not buy; Men who possess opinions and a will; Men who have honor; men who will not lie; Men who can stand before a demagogue And damn his treacherous flatteries without winking! Tall men, sun-crowned, who live above the fog In public duty, and in private thinking; For while the rabble, with their thumb-worn creeds, Their large professions and their little deeds, Mingle in selfish strife, lo! Freedom weeps, Wrong rules the land and waiting Justice sleeps. == George Washington https://en.wikisource.org/wiki/Washington%27s_Farewell_Address It is important, likewise, that the habits of thinking in a free country should inspire caution, in those intrusted with its administration, to confine themselves within their respective constitutional spheres, avoiding in the exercise of the powers of one department to encroach upon another. The spirit of encroachment tends to consolidate the powers of all the departments in one, and thus to create, whatever the form of government, a real despotism. A just estimate of that love of power, and proneness to abuse it, which predominates in the human heart, is sufficient to satisfy us of the truth of this position. The necessity of reciprocal checks in the exercise of political power, by dividing and distributing it into different depositories, and constituting each the Guardian of the Public Weal against invasions by the others, has been evinced by experiments ancient and modern; some of them in our country and under our own eyes. To preserve them must be as necessary as to institute them. If, in the opinion of the people, the distribution or modification of the constitutional powers be in any particular wrong, let it be corrected by an amendment in the way, which the constitution designates. But let there be no change by usurpation; for, though this, in one instance, may be the instrument of good, it is the customary weapon by which free governments are destroyed. The precedent must always greatly overbalance in permanent evil any partial or transient benefit, which the use can at any time yield. But there are other ideas of executive power - https://www.axios.com/trump-birthright-citizenship-executive-order-0cf4285a-16c6-48f2-a933-bd71fd72ea82.html == So how are you going to vote? There's more at https://www.facebook.com/pg/politicalscrapbooknet/posts http://www.political-scrapbook.net/facebook.html http://www.political-theses.net/ http://www.political-scrapbook.net == topic election 2 ===== comments 51 hideall 1 impact 25723 impactrate 1 likeimpress 69 negative 1 posted 2018-11-18 priority 2 ratio 7 react 368 reactrate 0 shares 20 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 227 title Words from Washington to McCain -for MS runoff voters topic election wordrate 0 words 699 ID 753165165028005 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/753165165028005 audclicks 227 audreach 195 bimpress 3708 blikeimpress 1 blikeusers 1 breach 2152 commentsimpress 51 commentsusers 27 engaged 263 hideallclicks 1 hideallclicksusers 1 impress 4422 likeclickusers 12 likeimpress 69 likeuimpress 94 likeusers 67 likeuusers 78 matchedlinkclicks 183 matchedotherclicks 44 negclicks 1 negusers 1 oimpress 714 oreach 546 posted "11/18/2018 01:50:46 PM" postlinkclicks 169 postotherclicks 34 reach 2623 sharesimpress 20 sharesusers 18 type Link budget 100 budgettype Lifetime cadname "Post: ""Words from Washington to McCain -for MS runoff...""" ccleantitle Words from Washington to McCain -for MS runoff cclicksall 553 cclickslink 178 ccpcall 0.18083183 ccpclink 0.56179775 cdelivery not_delivering cend 2018-12-31 cimpressions 3708 clicksunique 159 conversionrank - cost 0.56179775280899 cpm 26.96871629 creach 2154 cstart 2018-10-01 ctrall 14.91370011 ctrlink 4.8004314994606 ecomments 15 ecpclink 0.56179775 ends 2018-11-26 engagedrank - ereact 48 eshares 18 frequency 1.7214484679666 indicator actions:link_click qualityrank - results 178 spent 100 ========== Pelosi and McCarthy - good for California? It seems doubtful that there will be any special benefit for California if two of its representatives were the party leaders in Congress. That's about as likely as high speed rail ever getting finished between San Francisco and Bakersfield. But similar in this way - if it ever DID happen, people would say why didn't they do this sooner. https://www.eastbaytimes.com/2018/11/02/nancy-pelosi-kevin-mccarthy-california-house-leader-bakersfield-san-francisco/ https://www.mercurynews.com/2018/11/04/dont-tell-bay-area-voters-this-is-no-battleground-anger-and-enthusiasm-near-all-time-highs/ == topic election ===== impact 7 impactrate 0 negative 0 posted 2018-11-06 ratio 27 react 1 reactrate 0 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 1 title Pelosi and McCarthy - good for California? topic election wordrate 0 words 69 ID 745849632426225 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/745849632426225 audclicks 1 audreach 1 engaged 1 impress 47 likeclickusers 1 likeuimpress 32 likeuusers 24 matchedotherclicks 1 oimpress 47 oreach 27 posted "11/06/2018 07:32:30 AM" postotherclicks 1 reach 27 type Link ========== There is no immigration strategy in the middle https://www.voanews.com/a/comprehensive-us-immigration-reform-elusive/4332393.html Trying to reduce illegal immigration in the middle is at best a tactical move and at worst a strategic blunder, by making it more difficult and hence more profitable for organized crime. == One way to reduce illegal immigration AT THE SOURCE is to improve economic conditions and political conditions at the source. That's what public foreign aid is for. Instead the Trumpists want to cut what little there is - except probably that spent on military assistance that supports corrupt regimes. Foreign non-military aid is much less expensive than building a wall or deploying the army to the border - https://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-45933845 Even more expensive than a wall is sending in the Marines to troubled countries , which was done repeatedly and ineffectively for many years and finally led to FDR's Good Neighbor Policy - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Good_Neighbor_policy Improving economic and political conditions is also what private foreign aid is for. Instead the Trumpists vilify the Soros Open Society Foundation - https://www.opensocietyfoundations.org/press-releases/guatemala-must-continue-its-commitment-combat-corruption-and-impunity https://www.opensocietyfoundations.org/about/programs/latin-america-program == One way to reduce illegal immigration AT THE DESTINATION is to require e-verify for everbody, starting with all the employees of the Trump organizations and Trump licensees. https://www.cnn.com/2018/01/12/politics/daca-e-verify-internal-enforcement/index.html But that's a non-starter in Congress; it would damage American agriculture, the hospitality business, and many other industries which depend on exploitable cheap labor. == In short, the Trump administration has no long-term strategy, only election-year tactics, that raise the question of whether they really want to solve the problem with comprehensive immigration reform. https://www.voanews.com/a/comprehensive-us-immigration-reform-elusive/4332393.html In the even longer term, all the Western democracies have to import labor at all skill levels to maintain their standard of living with the declining birth rate that's common to all advanced economies, where children are expensive liabilities rather than valuable labor assets. http://www.liberty-and-justice.net/ == There's more at https://www.facebook.com/pg/politicalscrapbooknet/posts http://www.political-scrapbook.net/facebook.html http://www.political-theses.net/ http://www.political-scrapbook.net == topic election 2 ===== comments 107 hide 1 hideall 2 impact 11691 impactrate 1 likeimpress 70 negative 3 posted 2018-11-05 priority 2 ratio 14 react 391 reactrate 0 shares 21 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 190 title There is no immigration strategy in the middle topic election wordrate 0 words 299 ID 745363152474873 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/745363152474873 audclicks 207 audreach 186 bimpress 6332 blikeimpress 6 blikeusers 6 breach 5489 commentsimpress 107 commentsusers 67 engaged 310 hideallclicks 2 hideallclicksusers 2 hideclicks 1 hideclicksusers 1 impress 6741 likeclickusers 7 likeimpress 70 likeuimpress 82 likeusers 68 likeuusers 65 matchedlinkclicks 164 matchedotherclicks 26 negclicks 3 negusers 3 oimpress 409 oreach 319 posted "11/05/2018 10:18:57 AM" postlinkclicks 154 postotherclicks 20 reach 5694 sharesimpress 21 sharesusers 20 type Link budget 100 budgettype Lifetime cadname "Post: ""There is no immigration strategy in the middle""" ccleantitle There is no immigration strategy in the middle cclicksall 841 cclickslink 173 ccpcall 0.11890606 ccpclink 0.57803468 cdelivery not_delivering cend 2018-12-31 cimpressions 6332 clicksunique 165 conversionrank - cost 0.57803468208092 cpm 15.79279848 creach 5366 cstart 2018-10-01 ctrall 13.28174352 ctrlink 2.7321541377132 ecomments 40 ecpclink 0.57803468 ends 2018-11-06 engagedrank - ereact 47 eshares 10 frequency 1.1800223630265 indicator actions:link_click qualityrank - results 173 spent 100 ========== A Cross of Gilt https://www.forbes.com/sites/eriksherman/2018/11/01/no-minimum-wage-increases-anywhere-says-trump-advisor-corporate-tax-cuts-are-enough/#29cd38de4351 https://www.newsweek.com/trump-tax-cuts-rich-americans-republicans-1133372 https://www.stltoday.com/opinion/editorial/editorial-predictably-republicans-hint-that-tax-plan-deficit-justifies-entitlement/article_a5e74a11-49aa-51e0-a8e0-9d6ee7859732.html That's the Trumpist idea of populist government. == Not all populists are the same, though - https://www.nytimes.com/2018/11/02/opinion/sunday/the-democrats-next-job-bury-supply-side-economics.html William Jennings Bryan - There are two ideas of government. There are those who believe that, if you will only legislate to make the well-to-do prosperous, their prosperity will leak through on those below. The Democratic idea, however, has been that if you legislate to make the masses prosperous, their prosperity will find its way up through every class which rests upon them... You shall not press down upon the brow of labor this crown of thorns; you shall not crucify mankind upon a cross of gold. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cross_of_Gold_speech == So how are you going to vote? Trickle down or trickle up? There's more at https://www.facebook.com/pg/politicalscrapbooknet/posts http://www.political-scrapbook.net/facebook.html http://www.political-theses.net/ http://www.political-scrapbook.net == topic election 2 ===== comments 28 impact 6553 impactrate 1 likeimpress 89 negative 0 posted 2018-11-05 priority 2 ratio 15 react 516 reactrate 0 shares 46 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 353 title A Cross of Gilt topic election wordrate 0 words 127 ID 745336589144196 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/745336589144196 audclicks 743 audreach 672 bimpress 7696 breach 7040 commentsimpress 28 commentsusers 21 engaged 753 impress 8657 likeclickusers 36 likeimpress 89 likeuimpress 180 likeusers 89 likeuusers 134 matchedlinkclicks 296 matchedotherclicks 57 oimpress 961 oreach 730 posted "11/05/2018 09:11:57 AM" postlinkclicks 285 postotherclicks 32 reach 7779 sharesimpress 46 sharesusers 42 type Link budget 100 budgettype Lifetime cadname "Post: ""A Cross of Gilt""" ccleantitle A Cross of Gilt cclicksall 1010 cclickslink 644 ccpcall 0.0990099 ccpclink 0.1552795 cdelivery not_delivering cend 2018-12-31 cimpressions 7696 clicksunique 635 conversionrank - cost 0.15527950310559 cpm 12.99376299 creach 7018 cstart 2018-10-01 ctrall 13.12370062 ctrlink 8.3679833679834 ecomments 12 ecpclink 0.1552795 ends 2018-11-06 engagedrank - ereact 40 eshares 23 frequency 1.0966087204332 indicator actions:link_click qualityrank - results 644 spent 100 ========== Wrong rules the land and waiting Justice sleeps GOD, give us men! A time like this demands Strong minds, great hearts, true faith and ready hands; Men whom the lust of office does not kill; Men whom the spoils of office can not buy; Men who possess opinions and a will; Men who have honor; men who will not lie; Men who can stand before a demagogue And damn his treacherous flatteries without winking! Tall men, sun-crowned, who live above the fog In public duty, and in private thinking; For while the rabble, with their thumb-worn creeds, Their large professions and their little deeds, Mingle in selfish strife, lo! Freedom weeps, Wrong rules the land and waiting Justice sleeps. Josiah Gilbert Holland http://www.theotherpages.org/poems/holland1.html == Things haven't changed that much. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Josiah_Gilbert_Holland How are you going to vote? There's more at https://www.facebook.com/pg/politicalscrapbooknet/posts http://www.political-scrapbook.net/facebook.html http://www.political-theses.net/ http://www.political-scrapbook.net == topic election 2 ===== comments 14 hide 1 impact 3384 impactrate 0 likeimpress 73 negative 2 posted 2018-11-05 priority 2 ratio 38 react 240 reactrate 0 shares 37 sharesrate 0 spam 1 sumclicks 114 title Wrong rules the land and waiting Justice sleeps topic election wordrate 0 words 141 ID 745276029150252 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/745276029150252 audclicks 123 audreach 111 bimpress 9180 blikeimpress 10 blikeusers 8 breach 8473 commentsimpress 14 commentsusers 12 engaged 202 hideclicks 1 hideclicksusers 1 impress 9988 likeclickusers 9 likeimpress 73 likeuimpress 83 likeusers 72 likeuusers 69 matchedlinkclicks 75 matchedotherclicks 39 negclicks 2 negusers 2 oimpress 808 oreach 621 posted "11/05/2018 06:46:37 AM" postlinkclicks 75 postotherclicks 30 reach 9185 sharesimpress 37 sharesusers 35 spamclicks 1 spamclicksusers 1 type Link budget 100 budgettype Lifetime cadname "Post: ""Wrong rules the land and waiting Justice sleeps""" ccleantitle Wrong rules the land and waiting Justice sleeps cclicksall 575 cclickslink 84 ccpcall 0.17389565 ccpclink 1.19035714 cdelivery not_delivering cend 2018-12-31 cimpressions 9180 clicksunique 84 conversionrank - cost 1.1903571428571 cpm 10.89215686 creach 8588 cstart 2018-10-01 ctrall 6.26361656 ctrlink 0.91503267973856 ecomments 9 ecpclink 1.19035714 ends 2018-11-06 engagedrank - ereact 60 eshares 31 frequency 1.0689333954355 indicator actions:link_click qualityrank - results 84 spent 99.99 ========== Could losing the House be a Trumpist plot? https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2018/11/04/could-losing-house-actually-help-trump/ Probably not, but it could be advantageous to Trump in 2020 if his base gets tired of immigration. One could hope that a closely divided House might be an incentive for cooperation to get things done, but McConnell is not going to let anything through the Senate that he doesn't like, whether he's majority or minority leader. ===== comments 2 impact 98 impactrate 0 negative 0 posted 2018-11-04 ratio 4 react 15 reactrate 0 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 13 title Could losing the House be a Trumpist plot? topic election wordrate 0 words 65 ID 744897725854749 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/744897725854749 audclicks 13 audreach 10 commentsimpress 2 commentsusers 2 engaged 11 impress 90 likeclickusers 10 likeuimpress 64 likeuusers 52 matchedlinkclicks 1 matchedotherclicks 12 oimpress 90 oreach 63 posted "11/04/2018 03:40:12 PM" postlinkclicks 1 postotherclicks 9 reach 63 type Link ========== Sample ballots Organizing For Action has a new tool with sample ballots for every community in the U.S., so you can see what you'll be voting on - https://www.ofa.us/lets-get-ready-to-vote/ Here's another - https://www.ballotready.org/ or for California http://votersedge.org/ca Look out for fair redistricting ballot measures if you live in one of ndrc's target or watch list states - - Colorado: Amendments Y and Z - Michigan: Proposal 2 - Missouri: Amendment 1 - Utah: Proposition 4 Thanks to NDRC for pointing out the new tool - http://www.democraticredistricting.com More at http://www.political-scrapbook.net/democracy.html#redistricting == election ===== impact 17 impactrate 0 negative 0 posted 2018-11-04 ratio 14 react 2 reactrate 0 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 2 title Sample ballots topic election wordrate 0 words 86 ID 744888415855680 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/744888415855680 audclicks 2 audreach 1 engaged 1 impress 54 likeclickusers 1 likeuimpress 29 likeuusers 20 matchedlinkclicks 2 oimpress 54 oreach 29 posted "11/04/2018 03:18:45 PM" postlinkclicks 1 reach 29 type Link ========== Should leaders be role models for youth? If celebrity entertainers and athletes think they can get away with anything, they'll carry the same mindset if they should happen to be elected to high office. Now a bomber has asserted a modern version of the mythical Dan White Twinkie Defense - who else is going to try that? https://af.reuters.com/article/topNews/idAFKCN1N50TY-OZATP It's even gone international - https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/nigerian-army-donald-trump-shia-muslim-islamic-movement-migrant-caravan-shooting-a8615281.html 50 years ago, polls showed that most American women would like it if their sons became President, but most American women would not like it if their sons became politicians. Those moms were unclear on the concept of the President's jobs. Even so, one wonders how many women would like their sons to grow up to be just like Trump. Some at least - https://www.nytimes.com/2018/11/03/us/politics/trump-women.html == The midterm election is a referendum on Trump He says so himself - https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/first-read/midterms-are-referendum-trump-he-s-embracing-it-n920086 == Trump always tells the truth - when he can He says so himself - https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/wall-people-trump-defends-military-presence-border/story?id=58878290 Must be the mainstream media that are forcing him to lie constantly - https://www.nytimes.com/2018/11/01/opinion/republican-party-lies.html == Trump's genius is focusing on problems with no simple solutions Those kinds of problems will still be around next year and in 2020. That's one kind of recycling he endorses! The last thing he'd want to do is solve them, if he knew how. https://www.nytimes.com/2018/11/02/opinion/democrats-midterms-winning-trump.html Republicans in contested elections want him to talk about the economy. Trump will have none of it. https://www.nytimes.com/2018/11/02/us/politics/immigration-economy-republicans-trump-midterms.html Perhaps he's aware that a recession is overdue and he wants to keep the conversation focussed elsewhere. https://www.nytimes.com/2018/11/02/upshot/the-job-market-is-firing-on-all-cylinders-three-questions-will-determine-how-long-it-can-last.html Perhaps he understands that income inequality breeds resentment and racism. From that point of view, maintaining or even exacerbating income inequality feeds his larger purpose. https://www.nytimes.com/2018/11/02/opinion/trump-voters-inequality-racism.html == Who needs a caravan right now? The Trumpists have discarded their losing talking points about repealing Obamacare and billionaire tax cuts in favor of creating hysteria about illegal immigration - https://www.nytimes.com/2018/11/03/us/politics/republicans-house-races-caravan-voters.html But as usual, the Trumpists only want to talk about illegal immigration, they don't really want to do anything about it. Their politicians need the issue, and their donors need the supply of cheap exploitable labor to do jobs that Americans won't touch at the wages they want to pay, especially with full employment. So they block any actual solutions, whether bipartisan efforts at comprehensive immigration reform at home, or aid to the the troubled countries whence the migrants flee. http://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/news/columnists/michael-smolens/sd-me-smolens-immigration-20180627-story.html So who really has a vested interest in promoting publicity about immigrant caravans? They've been going on for a while - as protection against criminals and corrupt cops along the way - but they weren't such a big deal until Trump gave them worldwide publicity and actually ended up encouraging them. And if anybody actually were paying migrants to participate - wouldn't it be somebody with an interest is having a big show right before the election? Some dirty trickster, some foreign power with an interest in promoting Trumpism and disruption? https://www.nytimes.com/2018/11/01/us/politics/roger-stone-trump-campaign-mueller-wikileaks.html "Luck comes to the skillful" - and just like the DNC emails, Trump always seems to get lucky help just when he needs it - leaving only the question of who provides the skill. == Why are several prominent Republicans voting Democratic this time? https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news/413756-pilot-sully-sullenberger-this-is-not-the-america-i-know-and https://www.nytimes.com/2018/11/01/books/review/max-boot-the-corrosion-of-conservatism.html https://www.nytimes.com/2018/10/26/opinion/never-trump-republicans-midterms-democrats.html https://www.nytimes.com/2018/10/20/opinion/sunday/congress-republicans-democrats-conservatives.html The statements by Max Boot, Michael Gerson, Chesley Sullenberger, and George Will may be found in the Washington Post opinions and blogs/post-partisan sections, or linked from https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/743068179371037 They hold many traditional conservative Republican points of view, and they aren't going to become Democrats, but they are voting Democratic this time. What happens to them after the election? They'll have to decide based on the results of the election and how the remaining Republicans react to those results. If the GOP loses control of Congress and decides that it lost because it wasn't Trumpy enough, then it will be truly a lost cause. Democrats will continue to figure out how to attract back those who voted for Obama and then Trump. The Democrats will be glad to leave the racists, anti-semites, and fascists to the Trumpists. They can follow the path of the American Independent Party to oblivion - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/American_Independent_Party == How did the GOP fall into this dark hole? https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2018/10/destroy-the-republican-party-max-boot-calls-for-a-clean-start/ It's actually older than Nixon's Southern Strategy. The Democrats traded the racists to the Republicans in 1964. LBJ got the Civil Rights Act and Voting Rights Act. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Civil_Rights_Act_of_1964 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Voting_Rights_Act_of_1965 ( but see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shelby_County_v._Holder ) The Republicans got Strom Thurmond, Jesse Helms, Albert Watson, and their supporters and, in the fullness of time, they've gotten David Duke, Richard Spencer, and Alex Jones. These guys never wavered in the Trump support from the beginning to the end - thea know Trump is really with them and glad to have them on board. Other Republicans have wavered in their Trumpiness, at least at first. == Still believe in leaders as character role models? The 2018 election is a national referendum on leadership character, among other things. For this one specific moment in history, voters interested in character need to vote for character. That means in almost every instance, a vote for Republicans, Libertarians, Greens, independents, or staying home because it doesn't matter - is a vote that character doesn't matter. An astonishing number of House and even Senate seats and Governorships are too close too call this year - meaning individual votes count as never before. In almost every instance, at this specific moment, the only effective vote for character is to vote Democratic. Are your favorite candidates role models for youth? Does those candidates consider Trump to be a role model for youth? Third party affiliation in a two-party system is a self-indulgent luxury - http://www.political-scrapbook.net/theory.html#registration The fix to that is electoral reforms that enable third parties and independents to gain traction - ranked-choice voting and multimember districts - https://www.fairvote.org/ Maybe someday a conservative-progressive or progressive-conservative party will gain such traction - http://www.political-scrapbook.net/theory.html#conservative == There's more at https://www.facebook.com/pg/politicalscrapbooknet/posts http://www.political-scrapbook.net/facebook.html http://www.political-theses.net/ http://www.political-scrapbook.net == topic election 2 ===== comments 315 hideall 3 impact 235996 impactrate 10 likeimpress 282 negative 5 posted 2018-11-04 priority 2 ratio 7 react 2466 reactrate 0 shares 62 sharesrate 0 spam 2 sumclicks 1802 title Should leaders be role models for youth? topic election wordrate 0 words 957 ID 744858812525307 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/744858812525307 audclicks 1842 audreach 1709 bimpress 22791 blikeimpress 15 blikeusers 12 breach 17220 commentsimpress 315 commentsusers 153 engaged 1998 hideallclicks 3 hideallclicksusers 3 impress 24733 likeclickusers 23 likeimpress 282 likeuimpress 170 likeusers 273 likeuusers 115 matchedlinkclicks 1674 matchedotherclicks 128 negclicks 5 negusers 5 oimpress 1942 oreach 1426 posted "11/04/2018 01:44:59 PM" postlinkclicks 1604 postotherclicks 86 reach 18570 sharesimpress 62 sharesusers 62 spamclicks 2 spamclicksusers 2 type Link budget 400 budgettype Lifetime cadname "Post: ""Should leaders be role models for youth?""" ccleantitle Should leaders be role models for youth? cclicksall 5052 cclickslink 1635 ccpcall 0.07917656 ccpclink 0.24464832 cdelivery not_delivering cend 2018-12-31 cimpressions 22791 clicksunique 1576 conversionrank - cost 0.24464831804281 cpm 17.55078759 creach 16992 cstart 2018-10-01 ctrall 22.16664473 ctrlink 7.1738844280637 ecomments 94 ecpclink 0.24464832 ends 2018-11-06 engagedrank - ereact 204 eshares 46 frequency 1.3412782485876 indicator actions:link_click qualityrank - results 1635 spent 400 ========== Why are these Republicans voting for Democrats? They hold many traditional conservative Republican points of view, and they aren't going to become Democrats, but they are voting Democratic this time. https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/miracle-on-the-hudson-pilot-comes-out-against-gop-this-is-not-the-america-i-love https://www.marketwatch.com/story/vote-against-every-single-republican-columnist-urges-senate-candidates-dodge-on-trumps-birthright-citizenship-plan-2018-11-01 https://thehill.com/opinion/campaign/394377-george-will-is-right-vote-the-gop-out https://washingtonmonthly.com/2018/08/10/you-cant-save-the-gop-by-electing-republican-senators/ What happens to them after the election? They'll have to decide based on the results of the election and how the remaining Republicans react to those results. If the GOP loses control of Congress and decides that it lost because it wasn't Trumpist enough, then it will be truly a lost cause. Democrats will continue to figure out how to attract back those who voted for Obama and then Trump. The Democrats will be glad to leave the racists, anti-semites, and fascists to the Trumpists, so they can follow the path of the American Independent Party to oblivion - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/American_Independent_Party So how are you going to vote? == The Obama voters that voted for Trump are voting Democratic again - https://www.nytimes.com/2018/11/01/opinion/when-trump-voters-go-for-democrats.html http://www.political-scrapbook.net/trump.html#First%20Trump%20Constituency This constituency is desperate - for something to be hopeful about. But it sounds like the change that they are hoping for can't come from Trumpists. Meanwhile, in another universe, another faithful Republican constituency is getting driven away - https://www.nytimes.com/2018/11/01/us/politics/republicans-trump-house.html http://www.political-scrapbook.net/trump.html#Third%20Trump%20Constituency This constituency is disgusted. What about that other Trump constituency that comes to his campaign rallies - even though they're either two years late or two years early. They're with Trump forever, because nobody else will will admit to wanting them - http://www.political-scrapbook.net/trump.html#Second%20Trump%20Constituency Trump accepts the second constituency's unconditional love at his campaign rallies, which Trump craves like a junkie his junk. In return he offers them all the words and chants they want. And not much else. In fact, probably less... Consider the history of the social safety net. Social security - Republicans mostly voted in favor - https://www.ssa.gov/history/tally.html Medicare - Republicans opposed in the Senate, split in the House - https://www.ssa.gov/history/tally65.html Obamacare - No Republican votes https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Patient_Protection_and_Affordable_Care_Act#Legislative_history even though it was based on Mitt Romney's popular Masscare - http://www.nbcnews.com/id/44854320/ns/politics-decision_2012/t/white-house-used-mitt-romney-health-care-law-blueprint-federal-law If you want to see how it adds up - https://www.usgovernmentspending.com/federal_budget_detail_2017bs22017n_0010 Seeing how it adds up, McConnell's regretfully come to a sad conclusion - we'll have to reduce the social safety net to pay for billionaire tax cuts. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-10-16/mcconnell-blames-entitlements-not-gop-for-rising-deficits But he wants the Democrats to take the lead on fiscal responsibility because the Trumpists reject the notion out of hand. But wait, there's more! According to Trump advisor Kudlow, a minimum wage is a terrible idea, when we could be passing more billionaire tax cuts instead - https://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/larry-kudlow-federal-minimum-wage_us_5bdb1c94e4b0da7bfc17d59a == So how did we get here? Consider the evolution of the Republican Party - from liberation to identity politics. The Republican Party defeated the Confederacy, freed the slaves, and then got stuck in the House trying to decide the Hayes-Tilden election of 1876. So the Corrupt Bargain was struck - the Republican Hayes became President, and withdrew Federal troops from the South, ending Reconstruction and giving the unrepentant southern Democrats a free hand for 80 years - https://historyengine.richmond.edu/episodes/view/317 until the Supreme Court finally struck down "separate but equal" and the Republican President Eisenhower enforced it with Federal troops - http://www.americaslibrary.gov/aa/eisenhower/aa_eisenhower_littlerock_1.html leading to founding of the John Birch Society with their "Impeach Earl Warren" campaign and claims that Eisenhower was a Communist traitor - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Birch_Society Goldwater and William Buckley and many other Republican leaders kept their distance from the Birchers, and in 1964 Goldwater lost by a landslide to LBJ. Goldwater was too far right, but of course the lunatic fringe thought he was not far right ENOUGH. But Goldwater opposed the Civil Rights Act of 1964 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Civil_Rights_Act_of_1964 and the Voting Rights Act of 1965 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Voting_Rights_Act_of_1965 and that encouraged many Dixiecrats to abandon the Democratic Party, led by Strom Thurmond https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_United_States_Senators_who_switched_parties and Albert Watson https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_United_States_Representatives_who_switched_parties Their racism made many traditional Republicans nervous, but Richard Nixon had been rebuilding a political organization for another run for President. Nixon realized that, properly handled, the former Dixiecrats were an asset rather than a liability. According to Haldeman, "Nixon emphasized that you have to face the fact that the whole problem is really the blacks. The key is to devise a system that recognized this while not appearing to." https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Southern_strategy Although the RNC chair apologized for the Southern Strategy in 2005, he was speaking too soon. In 2009, Obama was elected President, and the Tea Party was born https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tea_Party_movement Since Obama's politics were not much different from Bill Clinton's, it's hard to escape the conclusion that racism was an important factor in the rise of the Tea Party. It was not explicitly racist, but it was part of the oppose-Obama-on-everything movement within the Republican party https://www.politico.com/story/2010/10/the-gops-no-compromise-pledge-044311 which certainly appealed to all the racists. Trump's great insight was that by signaling (subtly at first, blatantly later) to the racists and and anti-semites and fascists, they'd stick with him forever, and by other means he could also attract the Obama voters who were hoping for a change for the better. Of course, the reason there hadn't been as much change for the better as hoped, is that the Republicans were blocking Obama on everything. Even so, Obamacare passed and the economy as a whole has been recovering since 2009. But the Republicans cleverly convinced enough voters that they were against Obamacare, even though polls asking about any specific aspect of Obamacare, but without mentioning "Obamacare", such as affordable coverage for pre-existing conditions, found quite widespread support. Trump could easily promise to repeal Obamacare and come up with better coverage for more people at lower cost. And while the economy as a whole has been recovering, the recovery has been uneven, especially in industries undone by technological advance or their environmental costs. Trump could easily promise to turn back the tide of technology and and the tide of rising oceans and environmental degradation. And that's how Trump barely won. Since then he has done a great job of keeping the racists, anti-semites, fascists, and anti-intellectuals in his camp, but those who had voted for Obama and then Trump have noticed that he hasn't really done anything for them after all. http://www.political-scrapbook.net/trump.html#First%20Trump%20Constituency So now he has to create distractions of foreign menace of impoverished peasant invasions, and somehow avoid the distractions of domestic menace by his hard-core followers who took him too literally and too seriously. http://www.political-scrapbook.net/trump.html#Second%20Trump%20Constituency https://www.usatoday.com/in-depth/news/nation/2018/10/31/george-soros-and-migrant-caravan-how-lie-multiplied-online/1824633002/ https://www.economist.com/united-states/2018/11/03/the-republican-party-and-white-identity But sticking too close to his white-identity-politics hard-core base may be his undoing. Cults of personality have not lasted long in American politics. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cult_of_personality The Trumpist Party has no fixed ideology beyond the whims and prejudices of the leader, who owes nothing to the past or to the future, but mutually supports and abets other personality cults all over the world. Don't like it? The 2018 election is a national referendum on ideas vs personality cults. For this one specific moment in history, voters interested in ideas need to vote for ideas and against personality cults. That means in almost every instance, a vote for Republicans, Libertarians, Greens, independents, or staying home because it doesn't matter - is a vote for personality cults. An astonishing number of House and even Senate seats and Governorships are too close too call this year - meaning individual votes count as never before. In almost every instance, at this specific moment, the only effective vote against personality cults is to vote Democratic. == A president who wants to build a legacy needs a tent large enough to weather various kinds of crises among sub-constituencies. Trump seems uninterested and unable to do so. He's indeed a great disrupter, as claimed, but not a great builder, which also was claimed. https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2018/10/trump-is-still-blaming-the-far-left-media-for-americas-divisiveness/ The nation will recover eventually, as it has from other fundamental crises. The outlook for the Republican Party is not so certain, and recalls the fate of the Whigs - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Whig_Party_(United_States)#Decline The Republicans might split into a hard-core identitarian Trumpist party and one espousing more traditional Republican values. Hard to guess which one will retain the Republican name! Trump certainly likes to see his name in gold on everything he touches. It would be good for the Republicans to finally excise their cancer of racism, anti-semitism, and fascism. After years of berating the Democrats for identity politics, it's time for the Republicans to take the same medicine. The Democrats could go the same factional route if success went to their heads and they got too far ahead of the middle of the electorate. That might eventually lead to a new majority coalition in the middle for a while. If the Democrats are smart, they will become the new majority coalition somewhat left of the middle, far enough left to have ideals and goals, yet close enough to the middle and the left to keep both in the tent. No small task. http://www.political-scrapbook.net/theory.html#conservative == So how are you going to vote? There's more at https://www.facebook.com/pg/politicalscrapbooknet/posts http://www.political-scrapbook.net/facebook.html http://www.political-theses.net/ http://www.political-scrapbook.net == topic election 2 ===== comments 269 hide 1 hideall 4 impact 366244 impactrate 15 likeimpress 537 negative 6 posted 2018-11-02 priority 2 ratio 6 react 2554 reactrate 0 shares 167 sharesrate 0 spam 1 sumclicks 1575 title Why are these Republicans voting for Democrats? topic election wordrate 0 words 1434 ID 743866825957839 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/743866825957839 audclicks 1609 audreach 1358 bimpress 17079 blikeimpress 10 blikeusers 8 breach 13204 commentsimpress 269 commentsusers 139 engaged 1943 hideallclicks 4 hideallclicksusers 4 hideclicks 1 hideclicksusers 1 impress 20962 likeclickusers 51 likeimpress 537 likeuimpress 193 likeusers 535 likeuusers 135 matchedlinkclicks 1279 matchedotherclicks 296 negclicks 6 negusers 6 oimpress 3883 oreach 2719 posted "11/02/2018 09:41:10 PM" postlinkclicks 1141 postotherclicks 214 reach 15805 sharesimpress 167 sharesusers 162 spamclicks 1 spamclicksusers 1 type Link budget 400 budgettype Lifetime cadname "Post: ""Why are these Republicans voting for Democrats?""" ccleantitle Why are these Republicans voting for Democrats? cclicksall 4395 cclickslink 1153 ccpcall 0.08222071 ccpclink 0.3134085 cdelivery not_delivering cend 2018-12-31 cimpressions 17079 clicksunique 1090 conversionrank - cost 0.31340849956635 cpm 21.15814743 creach 13048 cstart 2018-10-01 ctrall 25.73335675 ctrlink 6.7509807365771 ecomments 87 ecpclink 0.3134085 ends 2018-11-06 engagedrank - ereact 321 eshares 103 frequency 1.3089362354384 indicator actions:link_click qualityrank - results 1153 spent 361.36 ========== Why are these Republicans voting for Democrats? They hold many traditional conservative Republican points of view, and they aren't going to become Democrats, but they are voting Democratic this time. https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news/413756-pilot-sully-sullenberger-this-is-not-the-america-i-know-and https://www.marketwatch.com/story/vote-against-every-single-republican-columnist-urges-senate-candidates-dodge-on-trumps-birthright-citizenship-plan-2018-11-01 https://thehill.com/opinion/campaign/394377-george-will-is-right-vote-the-gop-out https://washingtonmonthly.com/2018/08/10/you-cant-save-the-gop-by-electing-republican-senators/ What happens to them after the election? They'll have to decide based on the results of the election and how the remaining Republicans react to those results. If the GOP loses control of Congress and decides that it lost because it wasn't Trumpist enough, then it will be truly a lost cause. Democrats will continue to figure out how to attract back those who voted for Obama and then Trump. The Democrats will be glad to leave the racists, anti-semites, and fascists to the Trumpists, so they can follow the path of the American Independent Party to oblivion - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/American_Independent_Party So how are you going to vote? == The Obama voters that voted for Trump are voting Democratic again - https://www.nytimes.com/2018/11/01/opinion/when-trump-voters-go-for-democrats.html http://www.political-scrapbook.net/trump.html#First%20Trump%20Constituency This constituency is desperate - for something to be hopeful about. But it sounds like the change that they are hoping for can't come from Trumpists. Meanwhile, in another universe, another faithful Republican constituency is getting driven away - https://www.nytimes.com/2018/11/01/us/politics/republicans-trump-house.html http://www.political-scrapbook.net/trump.html#Third%20Trump%20Constituency This constituency is disgusted. What about that other Trump constituency that comes to his campaign rallies - even though they're either two years late or two years early. They're with Trump forever, because nobody else will will admit to wanting them - http://www.political-scrapbook.net/trump.html#Second%20Trump%20Constituency Trump accepts the second constituency's unconditional love at his campaign rallies, which Trump craves like a junkie his junk. In return he offers them all the words and chants they want. And not much else. In fact, probably less... Consider the history of the social safety net. Social security - Republicans mostly voted in favor - https://www.ssa.gov/history/tally.html Medicare - Republicans opposed in the Senate, split in the House - https://www.ssa.gov/history/tally65.html Obamacare - No Republican votes https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Patient_Protection_and_Affordable_Care_Act#Legislative_history even though it was based on Mitt Romney's popular Masscare - http://www.nbcnews.com/id/44854320/ns/politics-decision_2012/t/white-house-used-mitt-romney-health-care-law-blueprint-federal-law/#.W9fGV5xRf0M If you want to see how it adds up - https://www.usgovernmentspending.com/federal_budget_detail_2017bs22017n_0010 Seeing how it adds up, McConnell's regretfully come to a sad conclusion - we'll have to reduce the social safety net to pay for billionaire tax cuts. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-10-16/mcconnell-blames-entitlements-not-gop-for-rising-deficits But he wants the Democrats to take the lead on fiscal responsibility because the Trumpists reject the notion out of hand. But wait, there's more! According to Trump advisor Kudlow, a minimum wage is a terrible idea, when we could be passing more billionaire tax cuts instead - https://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/larry-kudlow-federal-minimum-wage_us_5bdb1c94e4b0da7bfc17d59a == So how did we get here? Consider the evolution of the Republican Party - from liberation to identity politics. The Republican Party defeated the Confederacy, freed the slaves, and then got stuck in the House trying to decide the Hayes-Tilden election of 1876. So the Corrupt Bargain was struck - the Republican Hayes became President, and withdrew Federal troops from the South, ending Reconstruction and giving the unrepentant southern Democrats a free hand for 80 years - https://historyengine.richmond.edu/episodes/view/317 until the Supreme Court finally struck down "separate but equal" and the Republican President Eisenhower enforced it with Federal troops - http://www.americaslibrary.gov/aa/eisenhower/aa_eisenhower_littlerock_1.html leading to founding of the John Birch Society with their "Impeach Earl Warren" campaign and claims that Eisenhower was a Communist traitor - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Birch_Society Goldwater and William Buckley and many other Republican leaders kept their distance from the Birchers, and in 1964 Goldwater lost by a landslide to LBJ. Goldwater was too far right, but of course the lunatic fringe thought he was not far right ENOUGH. But Goldwater opposed the Civil Rights Act of 1964 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Civil_Rights_Act_of_1964 and the Voting Rights Act of 1965 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Voting_Rights_Act_of_1965 and that encouraged many Dixiecrats to abandon the Democratic Party, led by Strom Thurmond https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_United_States_Senators_who_switched_parties and Albert Watson https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_United_States_Representatives_who_switched_parties Their racism made many traditional Republicans nervous, but Richard Nixon had been rebuilding a political organization for another run for President. Nixon realized that, properly handled, the former Dixiecrats were an asset rather than a liability. According to Haldeman, "Nixon emphasized that you have to face the fact that the whole problem is really the blacks. The key is to devise a system that recognized this while not appearing to." https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Southern_strategy Although the RNC chair apologized for the Southern Strategy in 2005, he was speaking too soon. In 2009, Obama was elected President, and the Tea Party was born https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tea_Party_movement Since Obama's politics were not much different from Bill Clinton's, it's hard to escape the conclusion that racism was an important factor in the rise of the Tea Party. It was not explicitly racist, but it was part of the oppose-Obama-on-everything movement within the Republican party https://www.politico.com/story/2010/10/the-gops-no-compromise-pledge-044311 which certainly appealed to all the racists. Trump's great insight was that by signaling (subtly at first, blatantly later) to the racists and and anti-semites and fascists, they'd stick with him forever, and by other means he could also attract the Obama voters who were hoping for a change for the better. Of course, the reason there hadn't been as much change for the better as hoped, is that the Republicans were blocking Obama on everything. Even so, Obamacare passed and the economy as a whole has been recovering since 2009. But the Republicans cleverly convinced enough voters that they were against Obamacare, even though polls asking about any specific aspect of Obamacare, but without mentioning "Obamacare", such as affordable coverage for pre-existing conditions, found quite widespread support. Trump could easily promise to repeal Obamacare and come up with better coverage for more people at lower cost. And while the economy as a whole has been recovering, the recovery has been uneven, especially in industries undone by technological advance or their environmental costs. Trump could easily promise to turn back the tide of technology and and the tide of rising oceans and environmental degradation. And that's how Trump barely won. Since then he has done a great job of keeping the racists, anti-semites, fascists, and anti-intellectuals in his camp, but those who had voted for Obama and then Trump have noticed that he hasn't really done anything for them after all. http://www.political-scrapbook.net/trump.html#First%20Trump%20Constituency So now he has to create distractions of foreign menace of impoverished peasant invasions, and somehow avoid the distractions of domestic menace by his hard-core followers who took him too literally and too seriously. http://www.political-scrapbook.net/trump.html#Second%20Trump%20Constituency https://www.usatoday.com/in-depth/news/nation/2018/10/31/george-soros-and-migrant-caravan-how-lie-multiplied-online/1824633002/ https://www.economist.com/united-states/2018/11/03/the-republican-party-and-white-identity But sticking too close to his white-identity-politics hard-core base may be his undoing. Cults of personality have not lasted long in American politics. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cult_of_personality The Trumpist Party has no fixed ideology beyond the whims and prejudices of the leader, who owes nothing to the past or to the future, but mutually supports and abets other personality cults all over the world. Don't like it? The 2018 election is a national referendum on ideas vs personality cults. For this one specific moment in history, voters interested in ideas need to vote for ideas and against personality cults. That means in almost every instance, a vote for Republicans, Libertarians, Greens, independents, or staying home because it doesn't matter - is a vote for personality cults. An astonishing number of House and even Senate seats and Governorships are too close too call this year - meaning individual votes count as never before. In almost every instance, at this specific moment, the only effective vote against personality cults is to vote Democratic. == A president who wants to build a legacy needs a tent large enough to weather various kinds of crises among sub-constituencies. Trump seems uninterested and unable to do so. He's indeed a great disrupter, as claimed, but not a great builder, which also was claimed. https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2018/10/trump-is-still-blaming-the-far-left-media-for-americas-divisiveness/ The nation will recover eventually, as it has from other fundamental crises. The outlook for the Republican Party is not so certain, and recalls the fate of the Whigs - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Whig_Party_(United_States)#Decline The Republicans might split into a hard-core identitarian Trumpist party and one espousing more traditional Republican values. Hard to guess which one will retain the Republican name! Trump certainly likes to see his name in gold on everything he touches. It would be good for the Republicans to finally excise their cancer of racism, anti-semitism, and fascism. After years of berating the Democrats for identity politics, it's time for the Republicans to take the same medicine. The Democrats could go the same factional route if success went to their heads and they got too far ahead of the middle of the electorate. That might eventually lead to a new majority coalition in the middle for a while. If the Democrats are smart, they will become the new majority coalition somewhat left of the middle, far enough left to have ideals and goals, yet close enough to the middle and the left to keep both in the tent. No small task. http://www.political-scrapbook.net/theory.html#conservative == So how are you going to vote? There's more at https://www.facebook.com/pg/politicalscrapbooknet/posts http://www.political-scrapbook.net/facebook.html http://www.political-theses.net/ http://www.political-scrapbook.net == topic election 2 ===== comments 3 impact 5449 impactrate 0 likeimpress 12 negative 0 posted 2018-11-02 priority 2 ratio 2 react 38 reactrate 0 shares 5 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 18 title Why are these Republicans voting for Democrats? topic election wordrate 0 words 1434 ID 743772142633974 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/743772142633974 audclicks 18 audreach 10 commentsimpress 3 commentsusers 3 engaged 18 impress 120 likeclickusers 16 likeimpress 12 likeuimpress 73 likeusers 12 likeuusers 60 matchedlinkclicks 1 matchedotherclicks 17 oimpress 120 oreach 82 posted "11/02/2018 06:26:10 PM" postlinkclicks 1 postotherclicks 9 reach 82 sharesimpress 5 sharesusers 4 type Link ========== Every vote counts! Texas edition - https://www.nytimes.com/2018/11/02/opinion/cruz-might-win-the-senate-but-the-democrats-are-winning-texas.html https://www.nytimes.com/2018/11/02/us/politics/beto-cruz-elections.html NY edition - https://www.nytimes.com/2018/11/02/opinion/midterms-new-york-new-jersey.html California edition - https://www.fightbackca.com/ topic election ===== comments 2 impact 63 impactrate 0 likeimpress 12 negative 0 posted 2018-11-02 ratio 2 react 45 reactrate 0 shares 3 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 28 title Every vote counts! topic election wordrate 0 words 14 ID 743620229315832 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/743620229315832 audclicks 28 audreach 13 commentsimpress 2 commentsusers 2 engaged 23 impress 184 likeclickusers 20 likeimpress 12 likeuimpress 121 likeusers 12 likeuusers 95 matchedlinkclicks 7 matchedotherclicks 21 oimpress 184 oreach 118 posted "11/02/2018 12:55:10 PM" postlinkclicks 6 postotherclicks 7 reach 118 sharesimpress 3 sharesusers 2 type Link ========== What happens after the election Making the most plausible guesses at this time - that leaning districts will end up the way they are leaning now, and that tossup districts will be decided on the basis of local factors unique to each district, and so about half will go one way and half the other - Democrats will gain a narrow majority in the House and the Republicans will retain a narrow majority in the Senate. Even the most optimistic Democratic projections do not foresee enough votes to get around a McConnell filibuster in the Senate. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/us/elections/house-race-ratings.html https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/us/elections/senate-race-ratings.html So then what happens? It's hard to imagine Mueller coming up with anything that isn't already known or assumed that would suddenly convince a third of the Republican Senators to admit that they've been completely wrong all along, and to vote for impeachment, no matter how much they'd rather deal with a President Pence. So that seems to be a dead end right now. As a campaign maneuver, the timing would seem to be best for a Democratic House vote for impeachment in the spring of 2020, during the primaries, while the Republican Senators are campaigning for re-election, and perhaps subtly for higher office, before the Republican presidential convention. The idea is to force the Senators to take a stand that will either cost them base support in the primaries or will cost them independent support in the general election. They will mightily resist that. Meanwhile the Democrats should perhaps study the people that have been most successful in getting Trump to do their bidding - foreign dictators. Take a Democratic proposal, make some very minor policy concessions to Trump, then put his name on it in gold letters and present it for signing at an enormous photo-up, preferably with a big parade. Or devise a compromise deal to pass some psychologically important policy of minor actual significance, as a package with something that is really important to Democrats. Alas, a more likely outcome is that the Senate and the House will pass bills that are always DOA in the other chamber. And so Congress will do nothing bad for two years. And nothing good. Figuring out how to get Trump to sign what little might emerge will be the least of the challenges. All of which is not to say that the 2018 election doesn't matter. If the Republicans retain control of both houses, Trump will be fully unleashed to be fully Trump. So get out and vote. https://www.nytimes.com/2018/11/01/opinion/republican-party-lies.html ===== comments 1 hide 1 impact 2490 impactrate 0 likeimpress 2 negative 1 posted 2018-11-01 ratio 1 react 60 reactrate 0 shares 3 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 53 title What happens after the election topic election wordrate 0 words 415 ID 743084762702712 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/743084762702712 audclicks 53 audreach 10 commentsimpress 1 commentsusers 1 engaged 11 hideclicks 1 hideclicksusers 1 impress 120 likeclickusers 10 likeimpress 2 likeuimpress 64 likeusers 2 likeuusers 52 matchedlinkclicks 4 matchedotherclicks 49 negclicks 1 negusers 1 oimpress 120 oreach 74 posted "11/01/2018 03:51:58 PM" postlinkclicks 4 postotherclicks 8 reach 74 sharesimpress 3 sharesusers 3 type Link ========== Former Republicans chime in - They hold many traditional conservative Republican points of view, and they aren't going to become Democrats, but they are voting Democratic this time. What happens to them after the election? They'll have to decide based on the results of the election and how the remaining Republicans react to those results. https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/we-saved-155-lives-on-the-hudson-now-lets-vote-for-leaders-wholl-protect-us-all/2018/10/29/554fd0e6-d87c-11e8-a10f-b51546b10756_story.html https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/global-opinions/sick-and-tired-of-trump-heres-what-to-do/2018/10/31/72d9021e-dd26-11e8-b3f0-62607289efee_story.html https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/vote-against-the-gop-this-november/2018/06/22/a6378306-7575-11e8-b4b7-308400242c2e_story.html https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/the-only-way-to-save-the-gop-is-to-defeat-it/2018/08/09/dc70b75a-9c10-11e8-b60b-1c897f17e185_story.html If the GOP loses control of Congress and decides that it lost because it wasn't Trumpy enough, then it will be truly a lost cause. Democrats will continue to figure out how to attract back those who voted for Obama and then Trump. The Democrats will be glad to leave the racists, anti-semites, and fascists to the Trumpists. They can follow the path of the American Independent Party to oblivion - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/American_Independent_Party ===== comments 9 hide 2 impact 2381 impactrate 0 likeimpress 15 negative 2 posted 2018-11-01 ratio 0 react 189 reactrate 0 shares 1 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 162 title Former Republicans chime in - topic election wordrate 0 words 126 ID 743068179371037 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/743068179371037 audclicks 162 audreach 28 commentsimpress 9 commentsusers 5 engaged 36 hideclicks 2 hideclicksusers 2 impress 230 likeclickusers 23 likeimpress 15 likeuimpress 114 likeusers 15 likeuusers 76 matchedlinkclicks 12 matchedotherclicks 150 negclicks 2 negusers 2 oimpress 230 oreach 130 posted "11/01/2018 03:06:23 PM" postlinkclicks 12 postotherclicks 21 reach 130 sharesimpress 1 sharesusers 1 type Link ========== Dirty tricksters alive and well https://www.nytimes.com/2018/10/30/us/disinfo-text-messages-mailers.html In short, "free" campaign information in paper mail, email, newspaper/radio/TV ads, phone texts, or anywhere on the internet has to be presumed guilty until proven innocent. Courts rulings mean that there is no effective penalty or remedy for deceptive campaigning. ===== comments 1 impact 86 impactrate 0 likeimpress 5 negative 0 posted 2018-11-01 ratio 3 react 19 reactrate 0 shares 1 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 12 title Dirty tricksters alive and well topic election wordrate 0 words 45 ID 742890282722160 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/742890282722160 audclicks 12 audreach 7 commentsimpress 1 commentsusers 1 engaged 9 impress 99 likeclickusers 8 likeimpress 5 likeuimpress 65 likeusers 5 likeuusers 56 matchedlinkclicks 1 matchedotherclicks 11 oimpress 99 oreach 63 posted "11/01/2018 07:49:43 AM" postlinkclicks 1 postotherclicks 6 reach 63 sharesimpress 1 sharesusers 1 type Link ========== The Obama voters that voted for Trump are voting Democratic again - https://www.nytimes.com/2018/11/01/opinion/when-trump-voters-go-for-democrats.html https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/for-a-groundbreaking-candidate-in-west-virginia-big-money-and-attention-come-with-downsides/2018/10/31/84e0f4f8-d6d2-11e8-aeb7-ddcad4a0a54e_story.html But it sounds like the change that they are hoping for can't come from Washington. http://www.political-scrapbook.net/trump.html#First%20Trump%20Constituency This first constituency is desperate. Meanwhile, in another universe, another faithful Republican constituency is getting driven away - https://www.nytimes.com/2018/11/01/us/politics/republicans-trump-house.html Think of it as the third Trump constituency - http://www.political-scrapbook.net/trump.html#Third%20Trump%20Constituency This third constituency is disgusted. What about the second constituency? They're with Trump forever, because nobody else will offer them such unconditional love - http://www.political-scrapbook.net/trump.html#Second%20Trump%20Constituency Of course, Trump doesn't really offer anybody unconditional anything, but he certainly accepts the second constituency's unconditional love at his campaign rallies, which Trump craves like a junkie his junk. ===== impact 302 impactrate 0 likeimpress 9 negative 0 posted 2018-11-01 priority 1 ratio 2 react 28 reactrate 0 shares 6 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 13 title The Obama voters that voted for Trump are voting Democratic topic election wordrate 0 words 108 ID 742885859389269 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/742885859389269 audclicks 13 audreach 7 engaged 13 impress 112 likeclickusers 10 likeimpress 9 likeuimpress 53 likeusers 9 likeuusers 44 matchedlinkclicks 1 matchedotherclicks 12 oimpress 112 oreach 76 posted "11/01/2018 07:42:57 AM" postlinkclicks 1 postotherclicks 6 reach 76 sharesimpress 6 sharesusers 5 type Link ========== Each of us, as part of our national defense, should register and vote this November https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/the-midterms-will-be-the-most-secure-elections-weve-ever-held/2018/10/31/e60ff8d6-d930-11e8-9559-712cbf726d1c_story.html The threat of foreign interference is no excuse not to vote. https://www.nytimes.com/2018/11/01/business/midterm-election-russia-cyber.html Nor is a claim that there's no difference between the candidates or the parties. But if you need a lame excuse for leaving your fate to others, you could try one of these - http://nymag.com/intelligencer/2018/10/12-young-people-on-why-they-probably-wont-vote.html ===== comments 1 impact 108 impactrate 0 likeimpress 10 negative 0 posted 2018-10-31 ratio 8 react 18 reactrate 0 shares 3 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 4 title Each of us, as part of our national defense, topic election wordrate 0 words 60 ID 742563722754816 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/742563722754816 audclicks 4 audreach 4 commentsimpress 1 commentsusers 1 engaged 12 impress 233 likeclickusers 9 likeimpress 10 likeuimpress 90 likeusers 10 likeuusers 69 matchedotherclicks 4 oimpress 233 oreach 158 posted "10/31/2018 03:41:03 PM" postotherclicks 4 reach 158 sharesimpress 3 sharesusers 3 type Link ========== There's a bunch of Republican Congressional Representatives looking forward to an early retirement https://www.mercurynews.com/2018/10/30/california-house-races-outside-spending-michael-bloomberg/ The Republican national PAC's aren't even bothering to defend some of the hopeless cases - they're doing triage nationally - https://www.washingtonpost.com/powerpost/gop-scrambles-to-save-suddenly-vulnerable-house-candidates-in-trump-districts/2018/10/29/ddfb0c02-dbc5-11e8-85df-7a6b4d25cfbb_story.html There's still time for you to be part of the problem, or part of the solution, depending on how you look at it - https://www.fightbackca.com/ Longer term, we need a way to undo Citizens United. The Supreme Court caused that problem, and Mitch McConnell continues to do his best to insure that it continues to cause that problem. So another remedy will be required. http://www.americanpromise.net/ https://democracy21.org/ http://www.political-scrapbook.net/democracy.html#corporate%20donations ===== comments 1 impact 96 impactrate 0 likeimpress 2 negative 0 posted 2018-10-30 ratio 3 react 10 reactrate 0 shares 1 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 6 title There's a bunch of Republican Congressional Representatives topic election wordrate 0 words 96 ID 741829726161549 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/741829726161549 audclicks 6 audreach 5 commentsimpress 1 commentsusers 1 engaged 6 impress 70 likeclickusers 6 likeimpress 2 likeuimpress 38 likeusers 2 likeuusers 28 matchedotherclicks 6 oimpress 70 oreach 34 posted "10/30/2018 07:10:04 AM" postotherclicks 5 reach 34 sharesimpress 1 sharesusers 1 type Link ========== Bakersfield deserves better - and so does the rest of the country Billionaire Jews buying the election for Democrats? https://www.jta.org/2018/10/24/top-headlines/house-majority-leader-kevin-mccarthy-deletes-tweet-saying-george-soros-tom-steyer-michael-bloomberg-buying-years-elections Was McCarthy afraid the Democrats have stolen the Republicans strategy book, as if it were a big secret? Or did somebody explain to him how his campaigns are financed? The big secret is the dark money, but what we do know is big enough - https://www.opensecrets.org/overview/topindivs.php Adelson is at the top of this list. Note that the Kochs aren't even on this list - their money, and that of many others, is mostly dark. https://www.marketplace.org/2018/10/23/elections/billionaire-donations-are-driving-midterm-spending As for McCarthy, let's all help him to an early retirement, if not this time, then next time. https://www.fightbackca.com/ Where does he get his tweetable thoughts then? https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/ask-the-questions-about-right-wing-terrorists-that-we-ask-about-islamist-militants/2018/10/28/64403b32-daec-11e8-b3f0-62607289efee_story.html For the bigger picture, it's essential to get the dark money out of politics and the big money too - http://www.americanpromise.net/ https://democracy21.org/ But it will be a long hard road. Mitch McConnell and his supporters have worked long and hard to build a Supreme Court and Federal judiciary that will protect the idea that unlimited dark money is protected free speech. ===== comments 7 impact 761 impactrate 0 likeimpress 7 negative 0 posted 2018-10-29 priority 1 ratio 3 react 43 reactrate 0 shares 4 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 25 title Bakersfield deserves better - and so does the rest of topic election wordrate 0 words 177 ID 741352942875894 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/741352942875894 audclicks 25 audreach 17 commentsimpress 7 commentsusers 7 engaged 20 impress 183 likeclickusers 17 likeimpress 7 likeuimpress 100 likeusers 6 likeuusers 86 matchedlinkclicks 4 matchedotherclicks 21 oimpress 183 oreach 130 posted "10/29/2018 08:30:44 AM" postlinkclicks 4 postotherclicks 14 reach 130 sharesimpress 4 sharesusers 3 type Link ========== A conservative argument for a split Congress https://www.nytimes.com/2018/10/27/opinion/sunday/midterms-elections-2018-senate.html?action=click&module=Opinion&pgtype=Homepage A Republican Senate and a Democratic House seem quite plausible in January - perhaps the most plausible outcome. It sounds like a prescription for two more years of do-nothing Congress, except for installing more reactionary judges who will do their best to institutionalize Republican power. But even if Democrats get a majority in the Senate next month, it still won't be enough to enact anything positive against a Republican filibuster. But it will end the installation of reactionary judges. ===== impact 120 impactrate 0 likeimpress 2 negative 0 posted 2018-10-28 priority 1 ratio 4 react 14 reactrate 0 shares 2 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 10 title A conservative argument for a split Congress topic election wordrate 0 words 86 ID 741089509568904 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/741089509568904 audclicks 10 audreach 7 engaged 7 impress 98 likeclickusers 6 likeimpress 2 likeuimpress 58 likeusers 2 likeuusers 50 matchedotherclicks 10 oimpress 98 oreach 66 posted "10/28/2018 09:00:42 PM" postotherclicks 7 reach 66 sharesimpress 2 sharesusers 2 type Link ========== Nothing new about indicted or convicted criminals running for office - it's been worse - https://www.nytimes.com/2018/10/26/opinion/disaster-candidates-beyond-trump.html What's new is that being a corrupt self-serving opportunist is now considered a positive on your resume rather than a negative. The tone is set from the top. ===== comments 1 impact 60 impactrate 0 likeimpress 3 negative 0 posted 2018-10-27 ratio 4 react 14 reactrate 0 shares 2 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 8 title Nothing new about indicted or convicted criminals running topic election wordrate 0 words 43 ID 740102953000893 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/740102953000893 audclicks 8 audreach 5 commentsimpress 1 commentsusers 1 engaged 7 impress 90 likeclickusers 6 likeimpress 3 likeuimpress 57 likeusers 3 likeuusers 44 matchedlinkclicks 2 matchedotherclicks 6 oimpress 90 oreach 58 posted "10/27/2018 06:41:19 AM" postlinkclicks 2 postotherclicks 3 reach 58 sharesimpress 2 sharesusers 2 type Link ========== Henry Waxman warns Democrats - don't be like Republicans https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/democrats-beware-overzealous-investigations-will-come-back-to-bite-you/2018/10/23/4629820a-d3c8-11e8-b2d2-f397227b43f0_story.html If Democrats regain control of the House, they need to set some good precedents and procedures that they can be proud of and thankful for, no matter what the future holds. https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/kevin-mccarthys-truthful-gaffe/2015/09/30/f12a9fac-67a8-11e5-8325-a42b5a459b1e_story.html If your intentions and actions are honorable, you don't have to worry about accidentally telling the truth. Remember, as always, the next election in 2020 will be decided by the swing votes in the middle, and not by the ideological bases. ===== impact 138 impactrate 0 likeimpress 4 negative 0 posted 2018-10-24 ratio 3 react 17 reactrate 0 shares 1 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 12 title Henry Waxman warns Democrats - don't be like Republicans topic election wordrate 0 words 81 ID 738493156495206 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/738493156495206 audclicks 12 audreach 8 engaged 10 impress 95 likeclickusers 10 likeimpress 4 likeuimpress 62 likeusers 4 likeuusers 49 matchedotherclicks 12 oimpress 95 oreach 60 posted "10/24/2018 06:25:51 AM" postotherclicks 8 reach 60 sharesimpress 1 sharesusers 1 type Link ========== Where the money goes and where it comes from https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2018/politics/whos-getting-outspent/ https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2018/politics/superpac-donors-2018/ One hopes that it's well spent - since there is basically no remedy or penalty for flagrantly false campaign material, you can pretty much ignore anything unsolicited that comes in the mail, email, radio, tv.... and try to find relatively reliable sources of information from real journalism and civic and other organizations that you deem trustworthy. ===== impact 65 impactrate 0 likeimpress 2 negative 0 posted 2018-10-23 ratio 3 react 10 reactrate 0 shares 1 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 7 title Where the money goes and where it comes from topic election wordrate 0 words 65 ID 738156946528827 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/738156946528827 audclicks 7 audreach 3 engaged 5 impress 70 likeclickusers 5 likeimpress 2 likeuimpress 42 likeusers 2 likeuusers 29 matchedlinkclicks 3 matchedotherclicks 4 oimpress 70 oreach 35 posted "10/23/2018 03:57:10 PM" postlinkclicks 2 postotherclicks 2 reach 35 sharesimpress 1 sharesusers 1 type Link ========== Unprecedented interest in midterm election, unprecedented lack of interest in poll work 77% of registered voters plan to vote - https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/battleground-house-districts-remain-close-in-new-poll/2018/10/22/e6c77a32-d63e-11e8-aeb7-ddcad4a0a54e_story.html 1000 more poll workers needed in Silicon Valley - https://www.stanforddaily.com/2018/10/12/bay-area-counties-scrambling-to-find-enough-poll-workers-for-november-elections/ That's what full employment is all about. When was the last time you passed a retail store or restaurant that didn't have a Help Wanted sign? But illegal immigrants can't work at polls, even though they'd be willing to accept the tiny wages. ===== comments 5 impact 367 impactrate 0 likeimpress 5 negative 0 posted 2018-10-23 ratio 8 react 51 reactrate 0 shares 8 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 33 title Unprecedented interest in midterm election, unprecedented topic election wordrate 0 words 72 ID 737965836547938 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/737965836547938 audclicks 35 audreach 17 commentsimpress 5 commentsusers 5 engaged 18 impress 570 likeclickusers 6 likeimpress 5 likeuimpress 57 likeusers 5 likeuusers 52 matchedlinkclicks 6 matchedotherclicks 27 oimpress 573 oreach 409 posted "10/23/2018 07:35:26 AM" postlinkclicks 6 postotherclicks 12 reach 409 sharesimpress 8 sharesusers 3 type Link ========== Negroes for Goldwater Prior to the 1964 election, Newsweek published an interview with the head of an organization with "the exclusive-sounding name of Negroes for Goldwater." Maybe they should have been called "Negro Millionaires for Goldwater." You only need two to make a plural. But they've been matched for exclusive-sounding-ness - https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2018/10/19/pro-trump-group-tells-black-voters-support-republicans-because-white-democrats-will-be-lynching-black-folk-again/ "Black Americans for the President's Agenda" ?? Even the Republican candidate in that district denounced their ad. Came as a big surprise to the SF Giants too - https://www.sfchronicle.com/bayarea/article/SF-Giants-owner-gave-1K-to-PAC-behind-racist-ad-13321897.php ===== comments 7 hide 1 hideall 1 impact 1138 impactrate 0 likeimpress 32 negative 2 posted 2018-10-19 ratio 3 react 144 reactrate 0 shares 12 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 91 title Negroes for Goldwater topic election wordrate 0 words 79 ID 736023813408807 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/736023813408807 audclicks 91 audreach 58 commentsimpress 7 commentsusers 7 engaged 76 hideallclicks 1 hideallclicksusers 1 hideclicks 1 hideclicksusers 1 impress 616 likeclickusers 57 likeimpress 32 likeuimpress 231 likeusers 32 likeuusers 164 matchedlinkclicks 24 matchedotherclicks 67 negclicks 2 negusers 2 oimpress 616 oreach 440 posted "10/19/2018 09:01:47 PM" postlinkclicks 23 postotherclicks 46 reach 440 sharesimpress 12 sharesusers 12 type Link ========== If you are going to be inconsistent - you might as well be consistently inconsistent https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/what-do-republicans-need-to-win-selective-memory-loss/2018/10/19/257aefe0-d3a9-11e8-8c22-fa2ef74bd6d6_story.html ===== comments 3 hide 1 impact 41 impactrate 0 likeimpress 5 negative 1 posted 2018-10-19 ratio 4 react 27 reactrate 0 shares 3 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 15 title If you are going to be inconsistent - you might as well topic election wordrate 0 words 15 ID 735925923418596 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/735925923418596 audclicks 15 audreach 9 commentsimpress 3 commentsusers 3 engaged 11 hideclicks 1 hideclicksusers 1 impress 150 likeclickusers 11 likeimpress 5 likeuimpress 93 likeusers 5 likeuusers 74 matchedlinkclicks 2 matchedotherclicks 13 negclicks 1 negusers 1 oimpress 150 oreach 112 posted "10/19/2018 05:36:19 PM" postlinkclicks 2 postotherclicks 8 reach 112 sharesimpress 3 sharesusers 3 type Link ========== The first Trump constituency is still hoping for something better - https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/in-trump-country-republican-candidates-this-year-fall-flat/2018/10/14/c48e99fe-cd7f-11e8-a3e6-44daa3d35ede_story.html Remember Wisconsin, Michigan, and Ohio? http://www.political-scrapbook.net/trump.html#First%20Trump%20Constituency The second Trump constituency is with him forever, though. http://www.political-scrapbook.net/trump.html#Second%20Trump%20Constituency ===== comments 1 impact 53 impactrate 0 likeimpress 6 negative 0 posted 2018-10-14 ratio 3 react 21 reactrate 0 shares 2 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 12 title The first Trump constituency is still hoping for something topic election wordrate 0 words 25 ID 733368727007649 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/733368727007649 audclicks 12 audreach 9 commentsimpress 1 commentsusers 1 engaged 14 impress 117 likeclickusers 13 likeimpress 6 likeuimpress 79 likeusers 6 likeuusers 61 matchedlinkclicks 3 matchedotherclicks 9 oimpress 117 oreach 77 posted "10/14/2018 06:02:06 PM" postlinkclicks 3 postotherclicks 6 reach 77 sharesimpress 2 sharesusers 2 type Link ========== How safe are your elections? https://apnews.com/337d855367504fa9a96596b6150af37a It's all about the money and the secrecy - unwittingly abetted by some unusual suspects - ACLU, League of Women Voters, National Federation of the Blind. Most technologists understand that open-source systems are inherently more secure than closed-source systems. But election officials are rarely technologists. They make do with what the vendors offer, because of lack of funding to do better, and because of Federal directives. Members of Congress are likewise rarely technologists. There are lots of parties that don't like paper trails. The Russians are just the tip of the iceberg. Understanding the extent of the vulnerabilities, nobody can say that foreign or domestic interference hasn't affected the outcome of elections. There are only a few vendors of American voting machines, and one is a Canadian company! https://www.nytimes.com/2018/09/26/magazine/election-security-crisis-midterms.html ===== impact 40 impactrate 0 negative 0 posted 2018-10-11 priority 1 ratio 13 react 3 reactrate 0 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 3 title How safe are your elections? topic election wordrate 0 words 133 ID 731604217184100 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/731604217184100 audclicks 3 audreach 1 engaged 1 impress 64 likeclickusers 1 likeuimpress 38 likeuusers 33 matchedotherclicks 3 oimpress 64 oreach 39 posted "10/11/2018 07:33:31 AM" postotherclicks 1 reach 39 type Link ========== Where the voters' true interests lie It won't work for racists, but those who voted for Trump for economic reasons want to know what he's actually doing for them https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/heres-where-democrats-are-really-picking-up-trump-voters/2018/10/10/f4970228-ccbf-11e8-920f-dd52e1ae4570_story.html ===== impact 17 impactrate 0 negative 0 posted 2018-10-10 ratio 5 react 6 reactrate 0 shares 1 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 5 title Where the voters' true interests lie topic election wordrate 0 words 29 ID 731273943883794 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/731273943883794 audclicks 5 audreach 3 engaged 3 impress 50 likeclickusers 3 likeuimpress 27 likeuusers 23 matchedlinkclicks 1 matchedotherclicks 4 oimpress 50 oreach 32 posted "10/10/2018 09:41:29 PM" postlinkclicks 1 postotherclicks 2 reach 32 sharesimpress 1 sharesusers 1 type Link ========== political hazards of preaching to the choir With a month until the election, there's time for at least three or four more scandals and crises that might affect Republican or Democratic turnout. Since the middle decides elections, Democratic reaction to these scandals and crises should be targeted at turning out the persuadable independent voters in the middle rather than the ideological base - don't make the same mistake as Trump, putting all his energy into revving up his shrinking base and no energy into expanding it. https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/opinions/wp/2018/10/10/republicans-are-shrinking-their-electoral-map/ The excited Republican base might cool down from its Kavanaugh high if it had time to think about who Trump really is https://www.nytimes.com/2018/10/02/us/politics/donald-trump-wealth-fred-trump.html and what the Republicans really want to do about medical care, taxes, and entitlements. So expect the Republicans to continue to talk about mob rule and whatabout Hillary to keep their base revved up and distracted. ===== comments 2 impact 418 impactrate 0 likeimpress 5 negative 0 posted 2018-10-10 ratio 2 react 29 reactrate 0 shares 3 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 19 title political hazards of preaching to the choir topic election wordrate 0 words 144 ID 731070910570764 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/731070910570764 audclicks 19 audreach 13 commentsimpress 2 commentsusers 2 engaged 17 impress 115 likeclickusers 13 likeimpress 5 likeuimpress 62 likeusers 5 likeuusers 52 matchedlinkclicks 5 matchedotherclicks 14 oimpress 115 oreach 82 posted "10/10/2018 11:15:55 AM" postlinkclicks 4 postotherclicks 10 reach 82 sharesimpress 3 sharesusers 3 type Link ========== How to easily find a 53,000 vote advantage https://www.thestate.com/news/nation-world/national/article219719740.html Voter suppression is one of the pillars of Republican rule. ===== comments 2 impact 45 impactrate 0 likeimpress 9 negative 0 posted 2018-10-10 ratio 2 react 25 reactrate 0 shares 2 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 12 title How to easily find a 53,000 vote advantage topic election wordrate 0 words 18 ID 731015563909632 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/731015563909632 audclicks 12 audreach 8 commentsimpress 2 commentsusers 2 engaged 16 impress 115 likeclickusers 12 likeimpress 9 likeuimpress 63 likeusers 9 likeuusers 49 matchedlinkclicks 7 matchedotherclicks 5 oimpress 115 oreach 74 posted "10/10/2018 08:55:37 AM" postlinkclicks 6 postotherclicks 3 reach 74 sharesimpress 2 sharesusers 2 type Link ========== Irony is dead https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/wp/2018/10/10/lawless-raging-president-fears-the-angry-mob-good-he-should/ ===== comments 18 impact 46 impactrate 0 likeimpress 31 negative 0 posted 2018-10-10 ratio 1 react 154 reactrate 0 shares 6 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 99 title Irony is dead topic election wordrate 0 words 3 ID 731005023910686 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/731005023910686 audclicks 99 audreach 35 commentsimpress 18 commentsusers 12 engaged 49 impress 292 likeclickusers 44 likeimpress 31 likeuimpress 159 likeusers 31 likeuusers 120 matchedlinkclicks 11 matchedotherclicks 88 oimpress 292 oreach 215 posted "10/10/2018 08:26:32 AM" postlinkclicks 11 postotherclicks 30 reach 215 sharesimpress 6 sharesusers 6 type Link ========== Election insecurity - it's all about the money and the secrecy And unwittingly abetted by some unusual suspects - ACLU, League of Women Voters, National Federation of the Blind. Most technologists understand that open-source systems are inherently more secure than closed-source systems. But election officials are rarely technologists. They make do with what the vendors offer, because of lack of funding to do better, and because of Federal directives. Members of Congress are likewise rarely technologists. There are lots of parties that don't like paper trails. The Russians are just the tip of the iceberg. Understanding the extent of the vulnerabilities, nobody can say that foreign or domestic interference hasn't affected the outcome of elections. There are only a few vendors of American voting machines, and one is a Canadian company! https://www.nytimes.com/2018/09/26/magazine/election-security-crisis-midterms.html ===== impact 236 impactrate 0 likeimpress 1 negative 0 posted 2018-09-27 priority 1 ratio 2 react 18 reactrate 0 shares 2 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 15 title Election insecurity - it's all about the money and the topic election wordrate 0 words 131 ID 724340451243810 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/724340451243810 audclicks 15 audreach 3 engaged 3 impress 67 likeclickusers 3 likeimpress 1 likeuimpress 36 likeusers 1 likeuusers 30 matchedotherclicks 15 oimpress 67 oreach 40 posted "09/27/2018 01:06:03 PM" postotherclicks 3 reach 40 sharesimpress 2 sharesusers 2 type Link ========== Feeling anxious? Do something about it - register and vote! https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/young-people-feel-anxious-about-election-poll-finds ===== comments 6 impact 56 impactrate 0 likeimpress 10 negative 0 posted 2018-09-27 ratio 2 react 56 reactrate 0 shares 6 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 34 title Feeling anxious? Do something about it - register topic election wordrate 0 words 10 ID 724220814589107 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/724220814589107 audclicks 34 audreach 10 commentsimpress 6 commentsusers 6 engaged 17 impress 175 likeclickusers 11 likeimpress 10 likeuimpress 79 likeusers 10 likeuusers 64 matchedlinkclicks 1 matchedotherclicks 33 oimpress 175 oreach 126 posted "09/27/2018 07:12:33 AM" postlinkclicks 1 postotherclicks 9 reach 126 sharesimpress 6 sharesusers 6 type Link ========== Who pays for your candidates? https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/wasnt-trumps-gop-supposed-to-represent-the-little-guy-oops/2018/09/26/8a432f70-c1cd-11e8-a1f0-a4051b6ad114_story.html ===== comments 2 impact 23 impactrate 0 likeimpress 4 negative 0 posted 2018-09-26 ratio 1 react 46 reactrate 0 shares 5 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 35 title Who pays for your candidates? topic election wordrate 0 words 5 ID 724001154611073 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/724001154611073 audclicks 35 audreach 9 commentsimpress 2 commentsusers 2 engaged 16 impress 132 likeclickusers 13 likeimpress 4 likeuimpress 68 likeusers 4 likeuusers 44 matchedlinkclicks 6 matchedotherclicks 29 oimpress 132 oreach 84 posted "09/26/2018 07:21:19 PM" postlinkclicks 5 postotherclicks 6 reach 84 sharesimpress 5 sharesusers 5 type Link ========== putting rape culture on the ballot across the country https://www.mercurynews.com/2018/09/24/stanford-law-professor-launches-new-pac-to-target-metoo-abusers/ https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/defending-kavanaugh-trump-laments-metoo-as-very-dangerous-for-powerful-men/2018/09/26/e9116536-c1a4-11e8-97a5-ab1e46bb3bc7_story.html http://enoughisenoughvoter.org/ https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/618745698469953 A man watches women watching Senate testimony and wonders what will happen in November and beyond - https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/wp/2018/09/27/americans-are-not-going-to-forget-this-day-especially-women/ But no matter how this nomination goes, it is going to get more difficult to find nominees willing to endure anything like it in public. Some better way of presoaking to get all the dirt out in private in advance seems necessary, and some better way of dealing with late-breaking news that upholds the dignity of the individuals and the institutions. Maybe more women will be inspired to come forward earlier in the process. Maybe future presidents will be inspired to nominate more qualified women instead of more good old boys from the Federalist Society. Or maybe the public, men and women alike, will become cynical and apathetic - "they're all like that, and we'll never know the truth, so what's the use of caring or voting?" That would be the worst possible outcome, except for the populist-fascist Trumpians, for whom it's the best possible. https://www.nytimes.com/2018/09/27/opinion/blasey-ford-kavanaugh-senate-hearings-.html ===== comments 1 impact 547 impactrate 0 likeimpress 12 negative 0 posted 2018-09-26 priority 1 ratio 3 react 32 reactrate 0 shares 4 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 15 title putting rape culture on the ballot across the country topic election wordrate 0 words 171 ID 723985014612687 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/723985014612687 audclicks 15 audreach 8 commentsimpress 1 commentsusers 1 engaged 13 impress 148 likeclickusers 13 likeimpress 12 likeuimpress 91 likeusers 10 likeuusers 63 matchedlinkclicks 3 matchedotherclicks 12 oimpress 148 oreach 98 posted "09/26/2018 06:30:20 PM" postlinkclicks 3 postotherclicks 6 reach 98 sharesimpress 4 sharesusers 4 type Link ========== Delusion or salesmanship? Just because the polls were slightly wrong in 2016 doesn't mean they will be wrong or wrong in the same way in 2018. https://www.nytimes.com/2018/09/20/us/politics/trump-republicans-midterms.html The hard-core Trump base that comes to his campaign rallies is an electoral minority. He has put a lot of effort into cultivating it, and very little effort into broadening it - https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/716864595324729 ===== comments 5 impact 151 impactrate 0 likeimpress 4 negative 0 posted 2018-09-20 ratio 3 react 26 reactrate 0 shares 2 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 15 title Delusion or salesmanship? topic election wordrate 0 words 58 ID 720922008252321 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/720922008252321 audclicks 15 audreach 11 commentsimpress 5 commentsusers 5 engaged 15 impress 120 likeclickusers 12 likeimpress 4 likeuimpress 80 likeusers 4 likeuusers 63 matchedlinkclicks 3 matchedotherclicks 12 oimpress 120 oreach 82 posted "09/20/2018 09:39:53 PM" postlinkclicks 3 postotherclicks 8 reach 82 sharesimpress 2 sharesusers 2 type Link ========== It's not a good year to get over-confident https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/paloma/the-trailer/2018/09/20/the-trailer-how-texas-republicans-beat-the-blue-wave/5ba4029a1b326b7c8a8d1596/ It's all about turnout, everywhere. ===== comments 1 impact 20 impactrate 0 negative 0 posted 2018-09-20 ratio 2 react 15 reactrate 0 shares 2 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 12 title It's not a good year to get over-confident topic election wordrate 0 words 13 ID 720914018253120 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/720914018253120 audclicks 12 audreach 3 commentsimpress 1 commentsusers 1 engaged 3 impress 51 likeclickusers 3 likeuimpress 32 likeuusers 26 matchedlinkclicks 2 matchedotherclicks 10 oimpress 51 oreach 34 posted "09/20/2018 09:05:45 PM" postlinkclicks 1 postotherclicks 3 reach 34 sharesimpress 2 sharesusers 2 type Link ========== Politics is local as well as national - what works in one time and place for one candidate doesn't work in a different time and place for a different candidate. George Will explains what seems to be working in Texas - https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/in-this-texas-district-the-democrats-seem-serious-about-winning/2018/09/14/cfde3214-b778-11e8-94eb-3bd52dfe917b_story.html Winning parties succeed by maintaining a big enough tent to cover a winning variety of points of view. https://www.nytimes.com/2018/09/15/opinion/sunday/democrats-candidates-victory.html https://www.nytimes.com/2018/09/16/opinion/columnists/democrats-midterms-progressive-left-trump.html ===== comments 2 hide 1 impact 201 impactrate 0 likeimpress 4 negative 1 posted 2018-09-16 ratio 4 react 34 reactrate 0 shares 4 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 23 title Politics is local as well as national - topic election wordrate 0 words 59 ID 718363251841530 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/718363251841530 audclicks 23 audreach 11 commentsimpress 2 commentsusers 2 engaged 13 hideclicks 1 hideclicksusers 1 impress 205 likeclickusers 11 likeimpress 4 likeuimpress 71 likeusers 4 likeuusers 59 matchedlinkclicks 1 matchedotherclicks 22 negclicks 1 negusers 1 oimpress 205 oreach 157 posted "09/16/2018 11:46:05 AM" postlinkclicks 1 postotherclicks 11 reach 157 sharesimpress 4 sharesusers 4 type Link ========== Moving from concerned to active 2018 Active: https://www.nytimes.com/2018/09/15/opinion/sunday/seth-klarman-donations-trump-democrats.html 2017 Concerned: https://www.nytimes.com/2017/02/06/business/dealbook/sorkin-seth-klarman-trump-investors.html ===== impact 20 impactrate 0 likeimpress 4 negative 0 posted 2018-09-16 ratio 3 react 22 reactrate 0 shares 1 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 17 title Moving from concerned to active topic election wordrate 0 words 9 ID 718361248508397 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/718361248508397 audclicks 17 audreach 7 engaged 9 impress 107 likeclickusers 9 likeimpress 4 likeuimpress 92 likeusers 4 likeuusers 66 matchedlinkclicks 2 matchedotherclicks 15 oimpress 107 oreach 70 posted "09/16/2018 11:39:39 AM" postlinkclicks 2 postotherclicks 6 reach 70 sharesimpress 1 sharesusers 1 type Link ========== Want to get hands on talking to a red district from a blue district? The Democrats are looking for volunteers to work their phone banks in SF. https://www.redtobluesf.org/ And if you have more money than time, they'll accept donations too. ===== impact 4 impactrate 0 negative 0 posted 2018-09-14 ratio 33 react 1 reactrate 0 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 1 title Want to get hands on talking to a red district from a topic election wordrate 0 words 39 ID 717488825262306 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/717488825262306 audclicks 1 audreach 1 engaged 1 impress 54 likeclickusers 1 likeuimpress 37 likeuusers 29 matchedlinkclicks 1 oimpress 54 oreach 33 posted "09/14/2018 05:32:00 PM" postlinkclicks 1 reach 33 type Link ========== TRUMP IS THE GREATEST PRESIDENT OF ALL TIME!!! By his own definition - he has dominated the news cycles and TV ratings worldwide unlike any of his predecessors. Isn't that what a "reality TV" star is supposed to do? https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/national/national-politics/election-all-about-trump-not-obama https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/opinions/wp/2018/09/13/republicans-good-luck-getting-trump-out-of-the-news/ But Trump will be Trump, and he won't shut up even to save the careers of the Republicans in Congress. After all, he knows perfectly well that they don't really love him any more than he really loves them - occasional shows of affection are just reality TV. He shows what he really thinks when he starts thinking up pejorative nicknames for other Republicans. He's sure his base will protect him in the elections - even though he's not actually running this year. Just look how they roar at his campaign rallies! But he has no interest in and has put no effort into expanding his base beyond the hard core that support him because nobody else supports them and their base instincts. http://www.political-scrapbook.net/trump.html#Second%20Trump%20Constituency Republicans running this fall - fall into two camps. Those running in districts where Trump is a liability - with educated suburban women in particular - probably secretly wish that the Democrats had succeeded in impeaching and removing him so that they could be running with President Pence instead - while bitterly condemning, with crocodile tears, the Democrats for impeaching Trump. The other camp - whose ONLY claim to electability is "Trumpier than Trump" - know that their careers are finished whenever Trump leaves the scene. Sure, there'll be a Trumpist third party for a while - like the American Independent Party - that will give them a platform for future revenge runs against Republicans - much to the joy of Democrats everywhere. They might even get some Democratic donations to encourage them. If all that happens, then Trump will be remembered not only for revitalizing the Democratic Party and moving it to the left, but for revitalizing the Republican Party and moving it to the left, or at least toward the center, by finally excising the racist cancer of Nixon's Southern Strategy from mainstream American political life. https://www.nytimes.com/2018/09/17/opinion/trump-maga.html Those old enough to remember how Republican Congressional support for Nixon evaporated literally overnight - when they finally all agreed to agree publicly that the emperor had no clothes - wonder if the same instant evaporation will occur again between November and January. Nixon evidently never realized that he had done anything wrong, or perhaps he thought that his only sin was getting caught doing what he thought everybody else did. He supposed that somehow his power base in Congress had mysteriously evaporated. ===== comments 8 impact 2901 impactrate 0 likeimpress 11 negative 0 posted 2018-09-13 ratio 1 react 67 reactrate 0 shares 1 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 47 title TRUMP IS THE GREATEST PRESIDENT OF ALL TIME!!! topic election wordrate 0 words 433 ID 716864595324729 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/716864595324729 audclicks 47 audreach 22 commentsimpress 8 commentsusers 6 engaged 26 impress 150 likeclickusers 23 likeimpress 11 likeuimpress 122 likeusers 11 likeuusers 89 matchedotherclicks 47 oimpress 150 oreach 100 posted "09/13/2018 11:18:05 AM" postotherclicks 22 reach 100 sharesimpress 1 sharesusers 1 type Link ========== Pennsylvania, Florida, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Michigan https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/paloma/daily-202/2018/09/11/daily-202-playing-catch-up-progressive-groups-to-spend-10-million-on-digital-ads-for-state-legislative-races/5b970b121b326b47ec959539/ A worthy cause - if you live in those states, don't forget to vote Democratic straight down the ticket. If you don't live in those states, it is worth your while to support the effort in time or money - https://democraticredistricting.com/ Long term, Federal redistricting should be done at a Federal level. And ranked-choice voting and multimember Congressional districts would also help reduce the benefit of gerrymandering. https://www.fairvote.org/ http://www.political-scrapbook.net/democracy.html#redistricting ===== comments 1 impact 50 impactrate 0 likeimpress 1 negative 0 posted 2018-09-11 ratio 4 react 7 reactrate 0 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 5 title Pennsylvania, Florida, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Michigan topic election wordrate 0 words 71 ID 715723478772174 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/715723478772174 audclicks 5 audreach 5 commentsimpress 1 commentsusers 1 engaged 5 impress 58 likeclickusers 5 likeimpress 1 likeuimpress 35 likeusers 1 likeuusers 27 matchedotherclicks 5 oimpress 58 oreach 29 posted "09/11/2018 12:51:05 PM" postotherclicks 5 reach 29 type Link ========== The Kochs don't like Trump but they want to defend his billionaire tax cuts, billionaire deregulation, and billionaire-supporting reactionary Federal judiciary, so - https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/koch-network-announces-new-super-pac-ahead-of-midterms/2018/09/10/61f56042-b4fd-11e8-a7b5-adaaa5b2a57f_story.html Of course, the Kochs don't want to disclose their donor list, even confidentially - https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/koch-backed-charity-must-reveal-donor-list-to-california-state-officials-appeals-court-rules/2018/09/11/0acf5e06-b5fe-11e8-94eb-3bd52dfe917b_story.html Of course, if Trump were really the billionaire he pretends to be, he could pay for his own re-election and those of all his pals in the Senate and House out of his own pocket, through a PAC. But he'd rather ask his impoverished supporters to pay for their further impoverishment. What can people of lesser means make a difference? Five dollar donations make a big difference when there are enough of them. https://dccc.org/ Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee http://www.dscc.org/ Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee https://democraticredistricting.com/ National Democratic Redistricting Committee - working right now on state governors and legislatures that control redistricting https://www.fightbackca.com/ Fight Back California - California 7 Project - working to retire seven vulnerable Trumpists - lately expanded to include Devin Nunes among others And support reforms to get the dark money out of politics, so we know who is paying for whom - http://www.americanpromise.net/ https://democracy21.org/issues/money-in-politics Voters who think that elections should be decided by people rather than dollars, should support the necessary structural changes to campaign finance laws to make sure that AT LEAST we know who's paying, and better yet to restrict political contributions to registered voters. More at http://www.political-scrapbook.net/democracy.html ===== comments 2 impact 910 impactrate 0 likeimpress 8 negative 0 posted 2018-09-10 ratio 3 react 41 reactrate 0 shares 5 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 26 title The Kochs don't like Trump topic election wordrate 0 words 222 ID 715066972171158 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/715066972171158 audclicks 26 audreach 16 commentsimpress 2 commentsusers 2 engaged 21 impress 228 likeclickusers 14 likeimpress 8 likeuimpress 86 likeusers 7 likeuusers 73 matchedlinkclicks 3 matchedotherclicks 23 oimpress 228 oreach 162 posted "09/10/2018 08:47:03 AM" postlinkclicks 3 postotherclicks 13 reach 162 sharesimpress 5 sharesusers 5 type Link ========== If you can't dig up something - then make up something That's the low road in politics. https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/so-this-is-how-paul-ryan-says-goodbye/2018/09/07/6ad7dccc-b2b3-11e8-9a6a-565d92a3585d_story.html And it works, because you can say anything you want during a political campaign with impunity. ===== comments 1 impact 119 impactrate 0 likeimpress 4 negative 0 posted 2018-09-07 ratio 2 react 36 reactrate 0 shares 3 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 28 title If you can't dig up something - then make up something topic election wordrate 0 words 33 ID 713470855664103 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/713470855664103 audclicks 28 audreach 16 commentsimpress 1 commentsusers 1 engaged 20 impress 139 likeclickusers 18 likeimpress 4 likeuimpress 78 likeusers 4 likeuusers 67 matchedlinkclicks 8 matchedotherclicks 20 oimpress 139 oreach 91 posted "09/07/2018 06:57:26 PM" postlinkclicks 8 postotherclicks 10 reach 91 sharesimpress 3 sharesusers 3 type Link ========== register - inform - think - donate - vote - reform So what are YOU going to do about American politics? https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/former-president-obama-to-warn-of-voter-apathy-ahead-of-the-november-elections/2018/09/07/fad28508-b28f-11e8-9a6a-565d92a3585d_story.html Staying home is a vote for Trump https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/this-is-the-most-important-thing-you-will-do-all-year/2018/09/14/82646534-b77e-11e8-a7b5-adaaa5b2a57f_story.html https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/28/opinion/trump-midterms-shoot-fifth-avenue.html https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/wp/2018/08/28/trump-rage-googles-himself-and-reveals-a-frightening-truth-about-the-midterms/ https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2018/08/28/giulianis-telling-defense-himself-all-that-matters-is-that-mueller-is-undermined/ https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/27/opinion/trump-democrats-midterms-house-oversight.html Why don't YOU REGISTER to vote INFORM yourself about the issues and candidates THINK about short-term tactics and long-term strategy DONATE money or time or both to worthy issues and candidates VOTE by November 6! to fix the short-term problems SUPPORT REFORMS to fix the long-term problems ===== 2018 tactics to fix the short-term problems For 2018, almost everybody who is concerned about the direction the Trumpists want to go should just vote a straight Democratic ticket. Anti-Trump Republicans have been pretty much eliminated in the primaries. Very few independents and third-party candidates have the slightest chance of winning, so in almost all cases a vote for them is a vote for Trumpism, as is a vote for staying home or going fishing. This is no time to indulge in wishful ideological thinking. Likewise for 2018, it's very appropriate to support Democratic politicians even if you've never donated money or time to political causes before. Money is the mother's milk of politics; nobody gets very far without it. You can donate to specific campaigns or, if you're not sure, consider - https://dccc.org/ Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee http://www.dscc.org/ Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee https://democraticredistricting.com/ National Democratic Redistricting Committee - working right now on state governors and legislatures that control redistricting https://www.fightbackca.com/ Fight Back California - California 7 Project - working to retire seven vulnerable Trumpists - lately expanded to include Devin Nunes among others They would all prefer 100 $5 donations to one $500 donation, and they'll put them to work where they will make the greatest difference. Of course, if you are a racist sexist greedy billionaire, you might think you'll get a better return on your investment at https://www.donaldjtrump.com/ and you might be right in the short term; fortunately you're rich enough to be able to afford to lose all your investment when it suddenly goes south sooner or later. In the present climate, the average Democratic candidate is likely to be a better choice than the average Trumpist candidate. But the Democratic candidate has not always been the best choice in all times and places; sometimes it's been hard to tell the difference between Republican and Democratic candidates. Not this year. You did register to vote for the primaries, didn't you? If not, here's a primer - https://www.usa.gov/register-to-vote ===== Reform Strategy to fix the long-term problems Longer-term there are some important ideas that deserve your support - the right structural changes are far more powerful than electing any one candidate in any one election - http://www.fairvote.org/ Ideologically-oriented voters who would like to vote for an independent or third-party candidate, but not throw their vote away or have it become in effect a vote for Trumpists, should support the necessary structural changes to voting laws: ranked-choice voting and multimember districts. http://www.americanpromise.net/ https://democracy21.org/issues/money-in-politics Voters who think that elections should be decided by people rather than dollars, should support the necessary structural changes to campaign finance laws to make sure that AT LEAST we know who's paying, and better yet to restrict political contributions to registered voters. https://www.nolabels.org/ Voters who would like Congress to make choices other than the extreme left or extreme right, should support the necessary structural changes to Congressional rules that inhibit centrist and bipartisan solutions. https://www.uniteamerica.org/ Voters who would like to choose candidates other than the extreme left or extreme right that party primaries tend to produce, should support the necessary structural changes to voting laws that inhibit centrist, independent and third-party candidates. More at http://www.political-scrapbook.net/democracy.html ===== comments 1 impact 1119 impactrate 0 likeimpress 5 negative 0 posted 2018-09-07 ratio 2 react 19 reactrate 0 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 13 title register - inform - think - donate - vote - reform topic election wordrate 0 words 589 ID 713348755676313 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/713348755676313 audclicks 13 audreach 8 commentsimpress 1 commentsusers 1 engaged 12 impress 109 likeclickusers 12 likeimpress 5 likeuimpress 77 likeusers 5 likeuusers 53 matchedlinkclicks 3 matchedotherclicks 10 oimpress 109 oreach 56 posted "09/07/2018 02:43:51 PM" postlinkclicks 3 postotherclicks 6 reach 56 type Link ========== op-ed: a deep state conspiracy Everybody else has a theory about who wrote the anonymous NY Times op-ed, so here's another one: the op-ed was written by a group of traditional Republican mid-level people - think Guccifer 2.0 or N. Bourbaki - carefully crafted ("lodestar") to make it look like it might have been written by somebody else - and transmitted by a senior-level person who could later truthfully say he/she didn't write it. The purpose is three-fold: 1) Get the Democrats fired up to talk about impeachment or 25th Amendment constantly, and thus 2) Get the Republican base fired up to protect Trump by turning out to vote on November 6 instead of staying home despondent over losing control of Congress, and thereby improve Republican chances in November 3) Distract everybody from Kavanaugh's nomination hearings - that accounts for the particular timing - and thus improve chances of confirmation that looks good for Trump and will protect him if he ends up before the Supreme Court. The purpose, as made plain in the op-ed, is to protect traditional Republican gains despite Trump. As for specific allegations, they will be forgotten soon enough whenever the next worse scandal erupts. As usual, Trump knows nothing about the plan, but responded exactly as scripted. This theory is based on no special inside information whatever, but if the President can make up any story he pleases, it's because he wants everybody else to do the same, so nobody believes anything. But you can always ask yourself, "How would Roger Stone create or exploit a situation like this?" https://www.nytimes.com/2018/09/07/opinion/columnists/kavanaugh-trump-kamala-harris-anonymous.html https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/a-never-ending-cycle-some-aides-work-to-slow-walk-or-ignore-trumps-directives/2018/09/06/0ac81f88-b1ee-11e8-a20b-5f4f84429666_story.html https://www.nytimes.com/2018/09/07/us/politics/trump-republicans.html https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/trump-justice-department-should-investigate-anonymous-op-ed-author/2018/09/07/b1eecd80-b2ba-11e8-a20b-5f4f84429666_story.html https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/theres-a-new-sheriff-in-town-trump-uses-official-events-to-wage-campaign-against-press/2018/09/06/8cf4180c-b204-11e8-9a6a-565d92a3585d_story.html ===== comments 6 impact 3379 impactrate 0 likeimpress 21 negative 0 posted 2018-09-07 ratio 2 react 128 reactrate 0 shares 8 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 93 title op-ed: a deep state conspiracy topic election wordrate 0 words 264 ID 713279962349859 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/713279962349859 audclicks 93 audreach 53 commentsimpress 6 commentsusers 5 engaged 63 impress 511 likeclickusers 24 likeimpress 21 likeuimpress 113 likeusers 20 likeuusers 89 matchedlinkclicks 7 matchedotherclicks 86 oimpress 511 oreach 366 posted "09/07/2018 11:16:37 AM" postlinkclicks 4 postotherclicks 50 reach 366 sharesimpress 8 sharesusers 8 type Link ========== What's going to happen in Florida? Will the left-wing Democrat frighten the independents into voting Republican, or will the right-wing Trumpist frighten the independents into voting Democratic? https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2018/08/29/florida-governors-race-is-epitome-politics-trump-era/ https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/wp/2018/08/29/a-new-way-to-slay-trumpism-shocking-florida-outcome-sets-up-a-big-test/ If Florida had ranked-choice-voting, centrist independent candidates could run without worrying about whether they are paving the way for the worst outcome. http://www.fairvote.org/ ===== comments 1 impact 15 impactrate 0 negative 0 posted 2018-08-29 ratio 9 react 3 reactrate 0 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 2 title What's going to happen in Florida? topic election wordrate 0 words 49 ID 708429749501547 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/708429749501547 audclicks 2 audreach 2 commentsimpress 1 commentsusers 1 engaged 2 impress 41 likeclickusers 2 likeuimpress 36 likeuusers 26 matchedotherclicks 2 oimpress 41 oreach 27 posted "08/29/2018 10:54:44 AM" postotherclicks 2 reach 27 type Link ========== register - inform - think - donate - vote - reform So what are YOU going to do about American politics? https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/28/opinion/trump-midterms-shoot-fifth-avenue.html https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/wp/2018/08/28/trump-rage-googles-himself-and-reveals-a-frightening-truth-about-the-midterms/ https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2018/08/28/giulianis-telling-defense-himself-all-that-matters-is-that-mueller-is-undermined/ https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/27/opinion/trump-democrats-midterms-house-oversight.html Why don't YOU REGISTER to vote INFORM yourself about the issues and candidates THINK about short-term tactics and long-term strategy DONATE money or time or both to worthy issues and candidates VOTE by November 6! to fix the short-term problems SUPPORT REFORMS to fix the long-term problems ===== 2018 tactics to fix the short-term problems For 2018, almost everybody who is concerned about the direction the Trumpists want to go should just vote a straight Democratic ticket. Anti-Trump Republicans have been pretty much eliminated in the primaries. Very few independents and third-party candidates have the slightest chance of winning, so in almost all cases a vote for them is a vote for Trumpism, as is a vote for staying home or going fishing. This is no time to indulge in wishful ideological thinking. Likewise for 2018, it's very appropriate to support Democratic politicians even if you've never donated money or time to political causes before. Money is the mother's milk of politics; nobody gets very far without it. You can donate to specific campaigns or, if you're not sure, consider - https://dccc.org/ Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee http://www.dscc.org/ Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee https://democraticredistricting.com/ National Democratic Redistricting Committee - working right now on state governors and legislatures that control redistricting https://www.fightbackca.com/ Fight Back California - California 7 Project - working to retire seven vulnerable Trumpists - lately expanded to include Devin Nunes among others They would all prefer 100 $5 donations to one $500 donation, and they'll put them to work where they will make the greatest difference. Of course, if you are a racist sexist greedy billionaire, you might think you'll get a better return on your investment at https://www.donaldjtrump.com/ and you might be right in the short term; fortunately you're rich enough to be able to afford to lose all your investment when it suddenly goes south sooner or later. In the present climate, the average Democratic candidate is likely to be a better choice than the average Trumpist candidate. But the Democratic candidate has not always been the best choice in all times and places; sometimes it's been hard to tell the difference between Republican and Democratic candidates. Not this year. You did register to vote for the primaries, didn't you? If not, here's a primer - https://www.usa.gov/register-to-vote ===== Reform Strategy to fix the long-term problems Longer-term there are some important ideas that deserve your support - the right structural changes are far more powerful than electing any one candidate in any one election - http://www.fairvote.org/ Ideologically-oriented voters who would like to vote for an independent or third-party candidate, but not throw their vote away or have it become in effect a vote for Trumpists, should support the necessary structural changes to voting laws: ranked-choice voting and multimember districts. http://www.americanpromise.net/ https://democracy21.org/issues/money-in-politics Voters who think that elections should be decided by people rather than dollars, should support the necessary structural changes to campaign finance laws to make sure that AT LEAST we know who's paying, and better yet to restrict political contributions to registered voters. https://www.nolabels.org/ Voters who would like Congress to make choices other than the extreme left or extreme right, should support the necessary structural changes to Congressional rules that inhibit centrist and bipartisan solutions. https://www.uniteamerica.org/ Voters who would like to choose candidates other than the extreme left or extreme right that party primaries tend to produce, should support the necessary structural changes to voting laws that inhibit centrist, independent and third-party candidates. More at http://www.political-scrapbook.net/democracy.html ===== comments 2 impact 873 impactrate 0 likeimpress 4 negative 0 posted 2018-08-28 ratio 3 react 15 reactrate 0 shares 1 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 8 title register - inform - think - donate - vote - reform topic election wordrate 0 words 582 ID 707768259567696 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/707768259567696 audclicks 8 audreach 6 commentsimpress 2 commentsusers 1 engaged 7 impress 102 likeclickusers 7 likeimpress 4 likeuimpress 81 likeusers 4 likeuusers 48 matchedotherclicks 8 oimpress 102 oreach 54 posted "08/28/2018 10:27:24 AM" postotherclicks 6 reach 54 sharesimpress 1 sharesusers 1 type Link ========== Splitting the Trump Vote https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/economy/republicans-struggle-to-run-with-trump-but-against-his-trade-war/2018/08/26/07208296-998c-11e8-b60b-1c897f17e185_story.html Looks like tariffs are finally going to divide the two main parts of the Trump constituency - == #1) The people that voted for change in their lives and sure got change, but in the wrong direction - http://www.political-scrapbook.net/trump.html#First%20Trump%20Constituency But Trump's not into nuance - either you are 100% for him or you are the deep-state coastal-elitist fake-news enemy. So he loves the faithful that turn out for his campaign rallies - == #2) The people that voted for Trump and love him 100%, no matter what, even if they're worse off - http://www.political-scrapbook.net/trump.html#Second%20Trump%20Constituency One wonders how many will be left in either camp after the current economic recovery ends. It might last through the election, but hardly any economists think it will last until 2020. https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2018/08/27/can-strong-us-economy-survive-until/ The Trumpists have been doing their best to insure that it will be hard landing - https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/24/sunday-review/manafort-cohen-mueller-white-collar-crime.html https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/economy/manafort-cohen-cases-reveal-weaknesses-in-enforcement-of-tax-and-election-laws/2018/08/25/3dace2f8-a79e-11e8-a656-943eefab5daf_story.html In any case, a surprisingly large part of the electorate likes trade - https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/2018/08/27/populist-revolt-against-trade-liberalization-is-over-trump-killed-it/ Indeed, if Trump were replaced by Pence, the market response would probably be positive - https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/2018/08/27/no-trump-doesnt-determine-fate-stock-market-what-does-why-does-it-matter/ ===== impact 120 impactrate 0 likeimpress 3 negative 0 posted 2018-08-27 ratio 7 react 7 reactrate 0 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 4 title Splitting the Trump Vote topic election wordrate 0 words 172 ID 707146399629882 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/707146399629882 audclicks 4 audreach 4 engaged 6 impress 77 likeclickusers 6 likeimpress 3 likeuimpress 74 likeusers 3 likeuusers 49 matchedotherclicks 4 oimpress 77 oreach 50 posted "08/27/2018 06:24:58 AM" postotherclicks 4 reach 50 type Link ========== register - inform - think - donate - vote So what are YOU going to do about American politics? REGISTER to vote INFORM yourself about the issues and candidates THINK about short-term tactics and long-term strategy DONATE money or time or both to worthy issues and candidates VOTE by November 6! to fix the short-term problems SUPPORT REFORMS to fix the long-term problems ===== 2018 tactics to fix the short-term problems For 2018, almost everybody who is concerned about the direction the Trumpists want to go should just vote a straight Democratic ticket. Anti-Trump Republicans have been pretty much eliminated in the primaries. Very few independents and third-party candidates have the slightest chance of winning, so in almost all cases a vote for them is a vote for Trumpism, as is a vote for staying home or going fishing. This is no time to indulge in wishful ideological thinking. Likewise for 2018, it's very appropriate to support Democratic politicians even if you've never donated money or time to political causes before. Money is the mother's milk of politics; nobody gets very far without it. You can donate to specific campaigns or, if you're not sure, consider - https://dccc.org/ Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee http://www.dscc.org/ Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee https://democraticredistricting.com/ National Democratic Redistricting Committee - working right now on state governors and legislatures that control redistricting https://www.fightbackca.com/ Fight Back California - California 7 Project - working to retire seven vulnerable Trumpists - lately expanded to include Devin Nunes among others They would all prefer 100 $5 donations to one $500 donation, and they'll put them to work where they will make the greatest difference. Of course, if you are a racist sexist greedy billionaire, you might think you'll get a better return on your investment at https://www.donaldjtrump.com/ and you might be right in the short term; fortunately you're rich enough to be able to afford to lose all your investment when it suddenly goes south sooner or later. In the present climate, the average Democratic candidate is likely to be a better choice than the average Trumpist candidate. But the Democratic candidate has not always been the best choice in all times and places; sometimes it's been hard to tell the difference between Republican and Democratic candidates. Not this year. You did register to vote for the primaries, didn't you? If not, here's a primer - https://www.usa.gov/register-to-vote ===== Future Strategy to fix the long-term problems Longer-term there are some important ideas that deserve your support - the right structural changes are far more powerful than electing any one candidate in any one election - http://www.fairvote.org/ Ideologically-oriented voters who would like to vote for an independent or third-party candidate, but not throw their vote away or have it become in effect a vote for Trumpists, should support the necessary structural changes to voting laws: ranked-choice voting and multimember districts. http://www.americanpromise.net/ https://democracy21.org/issues/money-in-politics Voters who think that elections should be decided by people rather than dollars, should support the necessary structural changes to campaign finance laws to make sure that AT LEAST we know who's paying, and better yet to restrict political contributions to registered voters. https://www.nolabels.org/ Voters who would like Congress to make choices other than the extreme left or extreme right, should support the necessary structural changes to Congressional rules that inhibit centrist and bipartisan solutions. https://www.uniteamerica.org/ Voters who would like to choose candidates other than the extreme left or extreme right that party primaries tend to produce, should support the necessary structural changes to voting laws that inhibit centrist, independent and third-party candidates. More at http://www.political-scrapbook.net/democracy.html ===== impact 58 impactrate 0 negative 0 posted 2018-08-27 ratio 27 react 1 reactrate 0 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 1 title register - inform - think - donate - vote topic election wordrate 0 words 577 ID 707132602964595 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/707132602964595 audclicks 1 audreach 1 engaged 1 impress 43 likeclickusers 1 likeuimpress 40 likeuusers 26 matchedotherclicks 1 oimpress 43 oreach 27 posted "08/27/2018 05:52:47 AM" postotherclicks 1 reach 27 type Link ========== Extra barriers for female candidates https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/24/us/politics/women-harassment-elections.html ===== impact 16 impactrate 0 likeimpress 12 negative 0 posted 2018-08-24 ratio 4 react 31 reactrate 0 shares 3 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 16 title Extra barriers for female candidates topic election wordrate 0 words 5 ID 705506666460522 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/705506666460522 audclicks 16 audreach 11 engaged 19 impress 213 likeclickusers 14 likeimpress 12 likeuimpress 96 likeusers 10 likeuusers 65 matchedlinkclicks 5 matchedotherclicks 11 oimpress 213 oreach 154 posted "08/24/2018 02:05:14 PM" postlinkclicks 5 postotherclicks 7 reach 154 sharesimpress 3 sharesusers 3 type Link ========== Another target for the California 7 Project https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/congressman-duncan-hunter-wife-charged-with-spending-campaign-money-on-personal-expenses/2018/08/21/4dba040a-a591-11e8-a656-943eefab5daf_story.html It started at 7 and just keeps growing https://www.fightbackca.com/ What is the mysterious force that attracts early Trump supporters to corruption? https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/26/us/duncan-hunter-corruption-scandal.html But the Trumpists aren't worried - https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/as-critics-pounce-on-his-indictment-duncan-hunter-remains-the-likely-victor-in-november-in-a-strongly-republican-house-district/2018/08/22/14520bee-a623-11e8-97ce-cc9042272f07_story.html Their base never minded a little corruption. Or a lot. Corruption at the top empowers corruption all the way down to the base. Hunter punches right back - https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/paloma/daily-202/2018/08/23/daily-202-duncan-hunter-embraces-the-smash-mouth-tactics-trump-learned-from-roy-cohn/ ===== comments 4 hideall 1 impact 323 impactrate 0 likeimpress 16 negative 1 posted 2018-08-22 ratio 3 react 53 reactrate 0 shares 6 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 26 title Another target for the California 7 Project topic election wordrate 0 words 61 ID 702939823383873 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/702939823383873 audclicks 26 audreach 17 commentsimpress 4 commentsusers 3 engaged 28 hideallclicks 1 hideallclicksusers 1 impress 334 likeclickusers 21 likeimpress 16 likeuimpress 178 likeusers 15 likeuusers 99 matchedlinkclicks 2 matchedotherclicks 24 negclicks 1 negusers 1 oimpress 334 oreach 205 posted "08/22/2018 07:26:55 AM" postlinkclicks 2 postotherclicks 16 reach 205 sharesimpress 6 sharesusers 6 type Link ========== 2018 tactics and future strategy * 2018 tactics With the mid-term election less than three months away, it's time to consider how one ought to vote. You did register to vote for the primaries, didn't you? If not, here's a primer - https://www.usa.gov/register-to-vote For 2018, almost everybody who is concerned about the direction the Trumpists want to go should just vote a straight Democratic ticket. Anti-Trump Republicans have been pretty much eliminated in the primaries. Very few independents and third-party candidates have the slightest chance of winning, so in almost all cases a vote for them is a vote for Trumpism, as is a vote for staying home or going fishing. This is no time to indulge in wishful ideological thinking. Likewise for 2018, it's very appropriate to support Democratic politicians even if you've never donated money to political causes before. You can donate to specific campaigns or, if you're not sure, consider - https://dccc.org/ Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee http://www.dscc.org/ Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee https://democraticredistricting.com/ National Democratic Redistricting Committee - working particularly on state governors and legislatures that control redistricting https://www.fightbackca.com/ Fight Back California - California 7 Project - working to retire seven vulnerable Trumpists - lately expanded to include Devin Nunes They would all prefer 100 $5 donations to one $500 donation, and they'll put them to work where they will make the greatest difference. Of course, if you are a racist sexist greedy billionaire, you might think you'll get a better return on your investment at https://www.donaldjtrump.com/ and you might be right in the short term; fortunately you're rich enough to be able to afford to lose all your investment when it suddenly goes south sooner or later. In the present climate, the average Democratic candidate is likely to be a better choice than the average Trumpist candidate. But the Democratic candidate has not always been the best choice in all times and places; sometimes it's been hard to tell the difference between Republican and Democratic candidates. Not this year. * Future Strategy Longer-term there are some important ideas that deserve your support - http://www.fairvote.org/ Ideologically-oriented voters who would like to vote for an independent or third-party candidate, but not throw their vote away or have it become in effect a vote for Trumpists, should support the necessary structural changes to voting laws: ranked-choice voting and multimember districts. http://www.americanpromise.net/ https://democracy21.org/issues/money-in-politics Voters who think that elections should be decided by people rather than dollars, should support the necessary structural changes to campaign finance laws to make sure that AT LEAST we know who's paying, and better yet to restrict political contributions to registered voters. https://www.nolabels.org/ https://www.uniteamerica.org/ Voters who would like to make choices other than extreme left or extreme right, should support the necessary structural changes to voting laws that inhibit centrist, independent and third-party candidates. More at http://www.political-scrapbook.net/democracy.html ===== impact 181 impactrate 0 negative 0 posted 2018-08-16 ratio 8 react 4 reactrate 0 shares 1 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 3 title 2018 tactics and future strategy topic election wordrate 0 words 453 ID 696958633981992 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/696958633981992 audclicks 3 audreach 3 engaged 3 impress 53 likeclickusers 3 likeuimpress 48 likeuusers 32 matchedotherclicks 3 oimpress 53 oreach 34 posted "08/16/2018 09:59:47 PM" postotherclicks 3 reach 34 sharesimpress 1 sharesusers 1 type Link ========== After the midterm elections in November, the whole party is going to ask whether it makes sense, politically, to stick with Trump. Trump knows that moment is coming. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/trump-blames-gov-kasich-for-close-special-election-race-in-ohio/2018/08/13/ffb9a456-9ee0-11e8-83d2-70203b8d7b44_story.html ===== impact 50 impactrate 0 likeimpress 5 negative 0 posted 2018-08-13 ratio 3 react 18 reactrate 0 shares 3 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 10 title After the midterm elections in November, the whole party topic election wordrate 0 words 28 ID 693503874327468 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/693503874327468 audclicks 10 audreach 3 engaged 10 impress 74 likeclickusers 10 likeimpress 5 likeuimpress 65 likeusers 5 likeuusers 49 matchedlinkclicks 1 matchedotherclicks 9 oimpress 74 oreach 58 posted "08/13/2018 07:46:22 PM" postlinkclicks 1 postotherclicks 2 reach 58 sharesimpress 3 sharesusers 3 type Link ========== a woman who happens to have been far better at her job than any man in recent memory https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/13/opinion/nancy-pelosi-midterms-democrats-republicans.html ===== comments 3 impact 47 impactrate 0 likeimpress 13 negative 0 posted 2018-08-13 ratio 3 react 26 reactrate 0 shares 3 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 7 title a woman who happens to have been far better at her job topic election wordrate 0 words 18 ID 693451447666044 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/693451447666044 audclicks 7 audreach 6 commentsimpress 3 commentsusers 2 engaged 11 impress 142 likeclickusers 7 likeimpress 13 likeuimpress 95 likeusers 8 likeuusers 68 matchedlinkclicks 2 matchedotherclicks 5 oimpress 142 oreach 97 posted "08/13/2018 06:23:25 PM" postlinkclicks 2 postotherclicks 5 reach 97 sharesimpress 3 sharesusers 2 type Link ========== Republican women - don't run this year https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/13/us/politics/republican-women-candidates-midterms.html unless you're really into guilt by association - pitch defileth the hand that toucheth it. Not to worry - Trump won't lend a hand unless he thinks you're really hot. https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/12/us/politics/trump-tweets-lisa-page-nellie-ohr.html Then you might prefer he keep his hands to himself. The Republican Party is now the Trump Party. Your worth is measured by (unrequited) fidelity to Trump. Like it or leave it. ===== comments 4 impact 145 impactrate 0 likeimpress 3 negative 0 posted 2018-08-13 ratio 2 react 21 reactrate 0 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 14 title Republican women - don't run this year topic election wordrate 0 words 69 ID 693090527702136 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/693090527702136 audclicks 14 audreach 9 commentsimpress 4 commentsusers 4 engaged 12 impress 77 likeclickusers 12 likeimpress 3 likeuimpress 75 likeusers 3 likeuusers 50 matchedlinkclicks 4 matchedotherclicks 10 oimpress 77 oreach 52 posted "08/13/2018 10:06:35 AM" postlinkclicks 4 postotherclicks 6 reach 52 type Link ========== President Swalwell? https://www.mercurynews.com/2018/08/09/eric-swalwell-iowa-presidential-run/ Certainly a better bet than President Avenatti https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/10/us/politics/michael-avenatti-michelle-obama-trump.html ===== comments 3 impact 46 impactrate 0 likeimpress 19 negative 0 posted 2018-08-12 ratio 2 react 51 reactrate 0 shares 2 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 27 title President Swalwell? topic election wordrate 0 words 9 ID 692092971135225 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/692092971135225 audclicks 27 audreach 18 commentsimpress 3 commentsusers 3 engaged 28 impress 234 likeclickusers 26 likeimpress 19 likeuimpress 186 likeusers 18 likeuusers 110 matchedlinkclicks 9 matchedotherclicks 18 oimpress 234 oreach 131 posted "08/12/2018 12:27:20 PM" postlinkclicks 8 postotherclicks 12 reach 131 sharesimpress 2 sharesusers 2 type Link ========== Wrong answer from the wrong candidate https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/10/us/politics/michael-avenatti-michelle-obama-trump.html Universal adoption of Trumpist tactics serves nobody but Putin. For real lasting change... be the change that you want the world to be. ===== comments 2 impact 46 impactrate 0 likeimpress 4 negative 0 posted 2018-08-11 ratio 4 react 16 reactrate 0 shares 2 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 8 title Wrong answer from the wrong candidate topic election wordrate 0 words 29 ID 690775987933590 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/690775987933590 audclicks 8 audreach 7 commentsimpress 2 commentsusers 1 engaged 9 impress 89 likeclickusers 8 likeimpress 4 likeuimpress 74 likeusers 3 likeuusers 54 matchedlinkclicks 6 matchedotherclicks 2 oimpress 89 oreach 66 posted "08/11/2018 06:49:20 AM" postlinkclicks 6 postotherclicks 2 reach 66 sharesimpress 2 sharesusers 2 type Link ========== Young veterans try to re-invigorate Congress - https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/veterans-in-congress-know-what-it-means-to-put-country-first/2018/07/31/b9dedb84-9505-11e8-a679-b09212fb69c2_story.html https://www.withhonor.org/ https://www.serveamericapac.com/ Serve America PAC seems to be different from Serve America Movement - http://joinsam.org/ Other organizations hoping to overcome partisan divisiveness - https://www.nolabels.org/ https://www.uniteamerica.org/ And hopefully they will all build on what's already started - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Problem_Solvers_Caucus ===== impact 34 impactrate 0 likeimpress 5 negative 0 posted 2018-07-31 ratio 4 react 9 reactrate 0 shares 1 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 3 title Young veterans try to re-invigorate Congress - topic election wordrate 0 words 38 ID 679358519075337 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/679358519075337 audclicks 3 audreach 3 engaged 7 impress 58 likeclickusers 7 likeimpress 5 likeuimpress 52 likeusers 5 likeuusers 38 matchedlinkclicks 2 matchedotherclicks 1 oimpress 58 oreach 44 posted "07/31/2018 06:37:34 PM" postlinkclicks 2 postotherclicks 1 reach 44 sharesimpress 1 sharesusers 1 type Link ========== Constitutional localism https://www.nytimes.com/2018/07/30/opinion/third-party-2020-election-localism.html And here's the opposite - local elections decided by Fox News - https://www.nytimes.com/2018/07/30/us/politics/florida-governor-election.html ===== impact 3 impactrate 0 negative 0 posted 2018-07-30 ratio 23 react 2 reactrate 0 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 2 title Constitutional localism topic election wordrate 0 words 14 ID 678278405850015 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/678278405850015 audclicks 2 audreach 2 engaged 2 impress 74 likeclickusers 2 likeuimpress 70 likeuusers 44 matchedlinkclicks 2 oimpress 74 oreach 46 posted "07/30/2018 06:59:13 PM" postlinkclicks 2 reach 46 type Link ========== Two glimpses of the future - which one will prove true? https://www.nytimes.com/2018/07/29/opinion/columnists/trump-loss-re-election-2020.html https://www.nytimes.com/2018/07/26/opinion/trump-re-election-2020.html Now consider: what happens if the economic recovery ends before the election vs after the election? http://www.political-scrapbook.net/theory.html#cycle ===== impact 22 impactrate 0 likeimpress 3 negative 0 posted 2018-07-29 ratio 6 react 8 reactrate 0 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 5 title Two glimpses of the future - which one will prove true? topic election wordrate 0 words 27 ID 677129515964904 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/677129515964904 audclicks 5 audreach 5 engaged 7 impress 81 likeclickusers 7 likeimpress 3 likeuimpress 80 likeusers 3 likeuusers 50 matchedlinkclicks 1 matchedotherclicks 4 oimpress 81 oreach 51 posted "07/29/2018 05:13:01 PM" postlinkclicks 1 postotherclicks 4 reach 51 type Link ========== Millenials - it's up to you! https://www.nytimes.com/2018/07/26/opinion/sunday/democracy-democrats-voters-disenfranchisment.html Show up and vote, get the dark money out of politics, the politics out of redistricting, get ranked choice voting and multimember districts, remove obstacles to independent and third-party candidates, change laws to support rather than suppress voter registration and voting... in short, support democracy rather than partisanship. http://www.political-scrapbook.net/democracy.html ===== comments 1 impact 297 impactrate 0 likeimpress 23 negative 0 posted 2018-07-27 ratio 2 react 55 reactrate 0 shares 9 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 22 title Millenials - it's up to you! topic election wordrate 0 words 54 ID 674577586220097 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/674577586220097 audclicks 22 audreach 14 commentsimpress 1 commentsusers 1 engaged 29 impress 213 likeclickusers 23 likeimpress 23 likeuimpress 121 likeusers 23 likeuusers 74 matchedlinkclicks 1 matchedotherclicks 21 oimpress 213 oreach 144 posted "07/27/2018 07:25:13 AM" postlinkclicks 1 postotherclicks 13 reach 144 sharesimpress 9 sharesusers 9 type Link ========== Republican Party has become Trump Party If Boehner says it, believe it! https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/onpolitics/2018/05/31/former-speaker-john-boehner-criticizes-republican-party/661544002/ In the future, will all parties claim to be Trumpistas? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peronism ===== comments 6 hide 2 impact 125 impactrate 0 likeimpress 13 negative 2 posted 2018-06-01 ratio 2 react 57 reactrate 0 shares 3 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 33 title Republican Party has become Trump Party topic election wordrate 0 words 22 ID 626385601039296 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/626385601039296 audclicks 33 audreach 17 commentsimpress 6 commentsusers 6 engaged 24 hideclicks 2 hideclicksusers 2 impress 233 likeclickusers 17 likeimpress 13 likeuimpress 115 likeusers 13 likeuusers 73 matchedlinkclicks 7 matchedotherclicks 26 negclicks 2 negusers 2 oimpress 233 oreach 156 posted "06/01/2018 07:31:05 AM" postlinkclicks 7 postotherclicks 15 reach 156 sharesimpress 3 sharesusers 3 type Link ========== "Some things are true even if Trump believes them so Democrats still have to connect with some centrist and conservative voters. but then take them in a constructive direction, in contrast with Trump's destructive direction." https://www.nytimes.com/2018/05/29/opinion/midterms-trump-democrats.html ===== impact 21 impactrate 0 negative 0 posted 2018-05-30 ratio 6 react 6 reactrate 0 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 6 title "Some things are true even if Trump believes them topic election wordrate 0 words 35 ID 625680017776521 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/625680017776521 audclicks 6 audreach 6 engaged 6 impress 63 likeclickusers 6 likeuimpress 58 likeuusers 33 matchedotherclicks 6 oimpress 63 oreach 37 posted "05/30/2018 05:40:34 PM" postotherclicks 6 reach 37 type Link ========== The kind of Republican we need - for a blue November https://www.politico.com/story/2018/05/21/don-blankenship-third-party-constitution-party-600779 Can he get past WV's sore loser law? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sore-loser_law https://www.hbs.edu/competitiveness/Documents/why-competition-in-the-politics-industry-is-failing-america.pdf Preferential voting would avoid some problems with the primary/general election duality: https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/609501779394345 ===== impact 12 impactrate 0 likeimpress 2 negative 0 posted 2018-05-22 ratio 7 react 4 reactrate 0 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 2 title The kind of Republican we need - for a blue November topic election wordrate 0 words 30 ID 621904448154078 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/621904448154078 audclicks 2 audreach 2 engaged 3 impress 55 likeclickusers 3 likeimpress 2 likeuimpress 44 likeusers 2 likeuusers 21 matchedotherclicks 2 oimpress 55 oreach 29 posted "05/22/2018 12:47:27 PM" postotherclicks 2 reach 29 type Link ========== Can Democrats ever address the Trump base? Have Democrats been wasting their time trying to figure out how to objectively improve the lives of the Trump base? Fears of cultural displacement pushed the white working class to Trump; status threat, not economic hardship, explains the 2016 presidential vote. Polarization is driven by a team sport mentality, not by disagreement on issues. So undoing the billionaire tax relief, saving social security and medicare, funding retraining and relocation is just wasted effort as far as these voters are concerned... just deport all the people that look or act different and tariff imports out of existence and they'll be happy, even if they are worse off economically? Perhaps there is a hard core of latent National Socialist Workers Partiers and Klansmen beyond the bunch that showed up at Charlottesville. But they are not a base that Democrats can build on. The Republicans leaders know they need to have them in their coalition, even though they are (hopefully) a minority in that coalition. So which Republican voters in 2016 might be persuadable in 2018? How about: all the women who've noticed that the Republicans don't seem to have a problem with sexual harassment all the persons of color, and immigrants, and non-Christians, and persons of unconventional sexual orientation, who've noticed that the Republicans seem to be much more interested in catering to that white, male, native, conservative Christian, straight base than catering to anybody else all the youth who've noticed that the Republicans seem to be much more interested in protecting their right to shoot up schools than the students' right to survive all the traditional conservatives who have noticed that the Republicans are worse than ever in saying one thing and doing another, and the things that they do are actively undermining the basis of stable American democracy and stable world order, substituting tribalism for principle, and fascism and kleptocracy for the best American political traditions. So in addition to their traditional issues, Democrat candidates need to embrace some additional points of view, get some new people in the big tent, avoid exclusionary ideological litmus tests, and not waste this historic opportunity that Trump has handed them. Ideological Republicans and Democrats alike are skilled at snatching defeat from the jaws of victory. In 2018, let the Republicans have that role. For links to references, please see https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/613892965621893 ===== comments 69 hide 1 impact 10493 impactrate 1 likeimpress 55 negative 2 posted 2018-05-20 ratio 4 react 267 reactrate 0 shares 21 sharesrate 0 spam 1 sumclicks 120 title Can Democrats ever address the Trump base? topic election wordrate 0 words 393 ID 621054708239052 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/621054708239052 audclicks 120 audreach 87 bimpress 1209 blikeimpress 24 blikeusers 18 breach 1078 commentsimpress 69 commentsusers 31 engaged 136 hideclicks 1 hideclicksusers 1 impress 1297 likeclickusers 8 likeimpress 55 likeuimpress 76 likeusers 53 likeuusers 51 matchedlinkclicks 19 matchedotherclicks 101 negclicks 2 negusers 2 oimpress 88 oreach 63 posted "05/20/2018 04:23:29 PM" postlinkclicks 18 postotherclicks 74 reach 1141 sharesimpress 21 spamclicks 1 spamclicksusers 1 type Link budget 20 budgettype Lifetime cadname "Post: ""Can Democrats ever address the Trump base?""" ccleantitle Can Democrats ever address the Trump base? cclicksall 215 cclickslink 16 ccpcall 0.09302326 ccpclink 1.25 cdelivery not_delivering cend 2018-06-30 cimpressions 1210 clicksunique 16 conversionrank - cost 0.17699115044248 cpm 16.52892562 creach 1075 cstart 2018-04-01 ctrall 17.76859504 ctrlink 1.3223140495868 ecomments 23 ecpclink 1.25 ends 2018-06-03 engagedrank - ereact 54 eshares 20 frequency 1.1255813953488 indicator actions:post_engagement qualityrank - results 113 spent 20 ========== Unelectable candidates are a gift to the opposition Unelectable Republican candidates are a gift to the Democrats... and vice versa. When Democrats nominate unelectable candidates in contestable elections, Republicans breathe sighs of relief. https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/paloma/daily-202/2018/05/16/daily-202-the-far-left-is-winning-the-democratic-civil-war/5afb5fe230fb042588799528/ In contestable elections, successful candidates are not going to get to far to the right or left of the median voter in the district. In uncontestable elections, where one party is certain to win, the other party can work toward a better future by nominating whoever can convincingly articulate the platform. Another approach is to avoid primaries altogether with preferential voting. Every member of every party can rank all the candidates by preference, so all candidates have an incentive to seek broad support beyond their own party's ideological base. http://www.fairvote.org/ ===== hide 1 impact 232 impactrate 0 likeimpress 6 negative 1 posted 2018-05-17 ratio 2 react 19 reactrate 0 shares 1 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 11 title Unelectable candidates are a gift to the opposition topic election wordrate 0 words 122 ID 619762145034975 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/619762145034975 audclicks 11 audreach 8 engaged 12 hideclicks 1 hideclicksusers 1 impress 70 likeclickusers 12 likeimpress 6 likeuimpress 65 likeusers 6 likeuusers 35 matchedlinkclicks 2 matchedotherclicks 9 negclicks 1 negusers 1 oimpress 70 oreach 40 posted "05/17/2018 09:55:35 PM" postlinkclicks 2 postotherclicks 8 reach 40 sharesimpress 1 sharesusers 1 type Link ========== What's the Democratic platform for 2018 and 2020? Many would-be presidents have been trying out ideas about future campaign principles: https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/hey-democrats-whats-the-big-idea/2018/05/15/daab0926-5880-11e8-858f-12becb4d6067_story.html Bernie Sanders says it's all about income and wealth inequality, bad and becoming worse, and that seems plausible enough. Gross economic inequality has pervasive consequences, eventually rendering equal economic opportunity unattainable: https://www.nytimes.com/2018/05/18/opinion/wealth-inequality-families-children-elderly.html The Center for American Progress has a new proposed comprehensive platform for jobs and communities: https://www.americanprogress.org/issues/economy/reports/2018/05/14/450856/blueprint-21st-century/ which should benefit everybody who's been left behind in various ways. "There are 435 House contests, and obviously no cookie-cutter candidate or campaign will suit all of them:" https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/democrats-have-it-too-good-to-shoot-themselves-in-the-foot/2018/05/17/a80d1d0c-5a0a-11e8-858f-12becb4d6067_story.html The fly in the ointment is figuring out who's going to pay; it's usually supposed to be "people richer than me:" https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/democrats-are-about-to-have-to-pay-up/2018/05/15/b7638b54-5877-11e8-858f-12becb4d6067_story.html But even in California, social liberals turn out to be fiscal conservatives if it's their taxes going up. The best way to focus everybody's attention on the tradeoffs here is to insure that every expenditure has an immediate tax increase to fund it, and every tax cut requires an immediate program cut to fund it. http://www.one-flat-tax.net/ ===== comments 2 impact 187 impactrate 0 likeimpress 1 negative 0 posted 2018-05-15 ratio 4 react 11 reactrate 0 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 8 title What's the Democratic platform for 2018 and 2020? topic election wordrate 0 words 170 ID 618923815118808 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/618923815118808 audclicks 8 audreach 5 commentsimpress 2 commentsusers 2 engaged 5 impress 79 likeclickusers 5 likeimpress 1 likeuimpress 73 likeusers 1 likeuusers 46 matchedotherclicks 8 oimpress 79 oreach 52 posted "05/15/2018 08:53:28 PM" postotherclicks 5 reach 52 type Link ========== The Most Ideological Candidate WHO CAN WIN E. J.Dionne Jr. has written an interesting piece recalling identical political advice from both Barney Frank and William F. Buckley Jr. - in the primaries, support the most radical candidate who can win in the general election. https://r.com.pk/e-j-dionne-the-principle-behind-anti-trump-pragmatism/ Both were more interested in making laws rather than making ideological points, and to make (or repeal) laws you need to have majorities in legislatures. Both Republican and Democratic strategists have been known to quietly fund the fringe candidates in the other party's primary in order to have a more beatable opponent in the general election. And now we know that the Russian propaganda machinery also has an interest in quietly fanning extreme ideological partisanship. When it's your turn to participate in primary season, do your best to determine which of your party's candidates has the best chance against the best of the other party's. That's not necessarily the same as the one you might prefer in a perfect world. Particularly in a contestable district, a successful candidate should not be too far ahead ideologically of the median voter of the district. Things might be easier if elections were conducted with preferential voting: http://www.political-scrapbook.net/democracy.html#preferential Then as many candidates could run as wanted, and as many parties compete as wanted, without anybody diluting anybody else's chances, and with a higher probability that the final winner represents the broadest possible consensus in the district. What about in districts where it's a foregone conclusion which party is going to win? What should the other party do there? In that case, since no candidate is electable, then the minority party might as well act like the Libertarians and Greens and nominate the most articulate exponent of the minority party's principles. Here the purpose of running is to plant seeds in the mind of the majority voters that might bear fruit in the future. home/oakapple/political/posts ===== comments 3 hideall 1 impact 2974 impactrate 0 likeimpress 19 negative 1 posted 2018-05-15 ratio 9 react 95 reactrate 0 shares 9 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 63 title The Most Ideological Candidate WHO CAN WIN topic election wordrate 0 words 313 ID 618768635134326 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/618768635134326 audclicks 64 audreach 50 bimpress 869 blikeimpress 25 blikeusers 19 breach 816 commentsimpress 3 commentsusers 3 engaged 65 hideallclicks 1 hideallclicksusers 1 impress 983 likeclickusers 6 likeimpress 19 likeuimpress 78 likeusers 19 likeuusers 43 matchedlinkclicks 19 matchedotherclicks 44 negclicks 1 negusers 1 oimpress 114 oreach 73 posted "05/15/2018 11:50:28 AM" postlinkclicks 17 postotherclicks 37 reach 876 sharesimpress 9 sharesusers 9 type Link budget 19 budgettype Lifetime cadname "Post: ""The Most Ideological Candidate WHO CAN WIN""" ccleantitle The Most Ideological Candidate WHO CAN WIN cclicksall 104 cclickslink 18 ccpcall 0.18269231 ccpclink 1.05555556 cdelivery not_delivering cend 2018-06-30 cimpressions 873 clicksunique 18 conversionrank - cost 0.40425531914894 cpm 21.76403207 creach 822 cstart 2018-04-01 ctrall 11.91294387 ctrlink 2.0618556701031 ecomments 2 ecpclink 1.05555556 ends 2018-06-03 engagedrank - ereact 18 eshares 9 frequency 1.0620437956204 indicator actions:post_engagement qualityrank - results 47 spent 19 ========== Which is the dog and which is the tail? Or what is the base, and what is the pinnacle? Blankenship ran third, but... Trumpism will outlast Trump (and Blankenship) https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/the-west-virginia-primary-shows-trumps-election-was-no-aberration/2018/05/07/7caf4856-523a-11e8-9c91-7dab596e8252_story.html Trump ran on disrupting the Obama establishment... Blankenship ran on disrupting the Trump establishment https://www.washingtonpost.com/powerpost/gop-on-edge-as-west-virginia-considers-senate-bid-of-controversial-coal-baron/2018/05/07/ea4d6f1e-5230-11e8-abd8-265bd07a9859_story.html Blankenship was too extreme for Trump https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/trump-urges-west-virginia-gop-voters-to-reject-blankenship-in-favor-of-more-mainstream-gop-hopefuls/2018/05/07/9a3b4d5a-51dd-11e8-abd8-265bd07a9859_story.html But what if he is Trumpier than Trump? https://www.washingtonpost.com/powerpost/gop-primaries-gauge-the-anti-establishment-fervor-trump-helped-unleash/2018/05/07/d0b50338-5216-11e8-abd8-265bd07a9859_story.html What does the Trump base really want? You can't separate money from culture https://www.nytimes.com/2018/05/06/opinion/trump-supporters-economy-racism.html https://www.prri.org/research/white-working-class-attitudes-economy-trade-immigration-election-donald-trump/ http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2018/04/18/1718155115 https://academic.oup.com/poq/article/82/suppl_1/280/4951269?guestAccessKey=ccb478a8-84ee-4dda-ae29-b3ffde16f893 https://theintercept.com/2018/04/03/politics-liberal-democrat-conservative-republican/ Are all Trump voters in 2016 deplorable? http://www.miamiherald.com/opinion/opn-columns-blogs/leonard-pitts-jr/article209844134.html No... just the ones who wish Trump would shoot somebody on Fifth Ave: http://www.political-scrapbook.net/trump.html#First%20Trump%20Constituency Just some of them... http://www.political-scrapbook.net/trump.html#Second%20Trump%20Constituency ===== comments 1 impact 235 impactrate 0 likeimpress 2 negative 0 posted 2018-05-08 ratio 3 react 25 reactrate 0 shares 1 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 21 title Which is the dog and which is the tail? topic election wordrate 0 words 94 ID 615754315435758 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/615754315435758 audclicks 21 audreach 7 commentsimpress 1 commentsusers 1 engaged 7 impress 127 likeclickusers 5 likeimpress 2 likeuimpress 109 likeusers 2 likeuusers 63 matchedlinkclicks 4 matchedotherclicks 17 oimpress 127 oreach 77 posted "05/08/2018 06:20:50 PM" postlinkclicks 4 postotherclicks 4 reach 77 sharesimpress 1 sharesusers 1 type Link ========== Mail-in ballots go out to California voters "The ongoing battles between California and the Trump administration, as well as an outburst of anti- and pro-Trump political activism, could actually boost turnout in the Golden State this year" So responding to Trump with increased turnout is a good thing? https://www.mercurynews.com/2018/05/07/california-mail-in-ballot-june-primary-governor-senate/ "Xavier Becerra was plucked from Congress to lead California's opposition to all things Donald Trump. He'ss done that as state attorney general, with a litany of lawsuits over policies involving immigration, the environment, birth control and health care. His opponents in the June 5 primary say he's so focused on the Republican president that he's falling down on other key areas of the job." So responding to Trump in court is a bad thing? https://apnews.com/398b0ea81bc84239a22c91350b721fab At least Becerra doesn't have a MeToo problem like that other blue-state attorney general. Other candidates are not so clean: https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2018/may/5/metoo-gas-tax-roil-california-primary-legislative-/ And then there's the gas tax increase. How could anybody be for a tax increase? https://www.mercurynews.com/2018/05/02/nearly-400-miles-of-san-jose-road-are-in-bad-shape/ https://www.mercurynews.com/2018/04/30/gas-tax-repeal-heading-for-the-november-ballot-campaign-says/ https://www.mercurynews.com/2018/04/16/california-travis-allen-gas-tax-repeal-ads/ But how could anybody be for traffic jams and potholes? California Republicans are for them: without them, no gas tax increase, and thus no issue to drive their demoralized faithful to the polls. But what's the point when the California Republican faithful attending their state convention couldn't agree on endorsing a single candidate for either governor or US senator? And do what you can to help the California 7 enjoy an early retirement - https://www.ca7project.com/ and Nunes and McCarthy too. ===== negative 0 posted 2018-05-08 rate 1 title Mail-in ballots go out to California voters topic election words 236 ID 615689202108936 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/615689202108936 impress 57 likeuimpress 57 likeuusers 23 oimpress 57 oreach 23 posted "05/08/2018 03:18:43 PM" reach 23 type Link ========== Can Democrats ever address the Trump base? Have Democrats been wasting their time trying to figure out how to objectively improve the lives of the Trump base? Fears of Cultural Displacement Pushed the White Working Class to Trump: https://www.prri.org/research/white-working-class-attitudes-economy-trade-immigration-election-donald-trump/ Status threat, not economic hardship, explains the 2016 presidential vote: http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2018/04/18/1718155115 Fears of Cultural Displacement Pushed the White Working Class to Trump: https://www.prri.org/research/white-working-class-attitudes-economy-trade-immigration-election-donald-trump/ Polarization is driven by a team sport mentality, not by disagreement on issues: https://theintercept.com/2018/04/03/politics-liberal-democrat-conservative-republican/ https://academic.oup.com/poq/article/82/suppl_1/280/4951269?guestAccessKey=ccb478a8-84ee-4dda-ae29-b3ffde16f893 So undoing the billionaire tax relief, saving social security and medicare, funding retraining and relocation is just wasted effort as far as these voters are concerned... just deport all the people that look or act different and tariff imports out of existence and they'll be happy, even if they are worse off economically? Perhaps there is a hard core of latent National Socialist Workers Partiers and Klansmen beyond the bunch that showed up at Charlottesville. But they are not a base that Democrats can build on. The Republicans leaders know they need to have them in their coalition, even though they are (hopefully) a minority in that coalition. So which Republican voters in 2016 might be persuadable in 2018? How about: all the women who've noticed that the Republicans don't seem to have a problem with sexual harassment all the persons of color, and immigrants, and non-Christians, and persons of unconventional sexual orientation, who've noticed that the Republicans seem to be much more interested in catering to that white, male, native, conservative Christian, straight base than catering to anybody else all the youth who've noticed that the Republicans seem to be much more interested in protecting their right to shoot up schools than the students' right to survive all the traditional conservatives who have noticed that the Republicans are worse than ever in saying one thing and doing another, and the things that they do are actively undermining the basis of stable American democracy and stable world order, substituting tribalism for principle, and fascism and kleptocracy for the best American political traditions. So in addition to their traditional issues, Democrat candidates need to embrace some additional points of view, get some new people in the big tent, avoid exclusionary ideological litmus tests, and not waste this historic opportunity that Trump has handed them. Ideological Republicans and Democrats alike are skilled at snatching defeat from the jaws of victory. In 2018, let the Republicans have that role. historic opportunity ===== comments 76 hide 2 hideall 1 impact 14200 impactrate 1 likeimpress 58 negative 3 posted 2018-05-04 ratio 3 react 355 reactrate 0 shares 25 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 193 title Can Democrats ever address the Trump base? topic election wordrate 0 words 400 ID 613892965621893 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/613892965621893 audclicks 193 audreach 144 bimpress 745 breach 756 commentsimpress 76 commentsusers 36 engaged 213 hideallclicks 1 hideallclicksusers 1 hideclicks 2 hideclicksusers 2 impress 1191 likeclickusers 23 likeimpress 58 likeuimpress 128 likeusers 56 likeuusers 65 matchedlinkclicks 28 matchedotherclicks 165 negclicks 3 negusers 3 oimpress 446 oreach 329 posted "05/04/2018 04:37:25 PM" postlinkclicks 25 postotherclicks 125 reach 1066 sharesimpress 25 sharesusers 23 type Link budget 30 budgettype Lifetime cadname "Post: ""Can Democrats ever address the Trump base?""" ccleantitle Can Democrats ever address the Trump base? cclicksall 123 cclickslink 21 ccpcall 0.10195122 ccpclink 0.59714286 cdelivery rejected cend 2018-06-30 cimpressions 749 clicksunique 21 conversionrank - cost 0.59714285714286 cpm 16.7423231 creach 737 cstart 2018-04-01 ctrall 16.42189586 ctrlink 2.803738317757 ecomments 2 ecpclink 0.59714286 ends 2018-06-03 engagedrank - ereact 2 frequency 1.0162822252374 indicator actions:link_click qualityrank - results 21 spent 12.54 ========== Republican candidates move closer to the president The Republican Party is now the Trumpist Party - what should Democrats do? How many candidates can proudly position themselves as Trumpier than Trump? https://www.nytimes.com/2018/02/26/us/don-blankenship-west-virginia-senate.html https://www.nytimes.com/2018/04/22/us/politics/trump-republican-party.html https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2018/03/boycott-the-gop/550907/ It should be an opportunity for Democrats, but even in California issues have to be chosen carefully: https://www.mercurynews.com/2018/04/23/california-cities-are-rebelling-against-state-sanctuary-law-but-how-far-can-they-go/ And the Republicans might do better in November than special elections suggest: https://www.nytimes.com/2018/05/03/opinion/republicans-midterms-special-elections.html What should Democrats be talking about instead? There's some evidence that proposing and debating ideas that would actually improve the economic conditions of Trump supporters is a waste of time: https://theintercept.com/2018/04/03/politics-liberal-democrat-conservative-republican/ But still there are plenty of those ideas in circulation: https://www.nytimes.com/2018/04/13/opinion/sunday/trump-republican-new-deal.html such as https://democracyjournal.org/magazine/44/youre-hired/ https://www.americanprogressaction.org/issues/economy/reports/2018/04/17/169879/working-class-push-progressive-economic-policies/ https://www.americanprogress.org/issues/economy/reports/2017/05/16/432499/toward-marshall-plan-america/ Not all these ideas will be good policy at first, but they have to be debated to get better. Bartels at Vanderbilt reports that a majority of Republicans support an active government role in social welfare - contrary to the Libertarian line of many "establishment" Republicans but in line with Trump's campaign promise not to touch Social Security and Medicare: Could any of this actually happen despite the institutional duopoly resistance to compromise? It would have to happen without Trump's involvement, since he is most dogmatic about his worst ideas and most inept at getting his other ideas through Congress. And since so many Republican legislators running in 2018 seem to define their ideology by whatever Trump is for, they are fully occupied trying to keep up with him instead of solving real problems for their base. If there are any Republicans who want to be identifiable as something more constructive than Trumpists, time is running out for them to come up with a credible Plan B for solving real problems. http://www.political-scrapbook.net/theory.html#conservative ===== comments 5 impact 7699 impactrate 0 likeimpress 6 negative 0 posted 2018-05-02 ratio 9 react 282 reactrate 0 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 271 title Republican candidates move closer to the president topic election wordrate 0 words 273 ID 612769442400912 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/612769442400912 audclicks 278 audreach 234 bimpress 2781 blikeimpress 4 blikeusers 4 breach 2674 commentsimpress 5 commentsusers 4 engaged 237 impress 2919 likeclickusers 14 likeimpress 6 likeuimpress 109 likeusers 6 likeuusers 53 matchedlinkclicks 142 matchedotherclicks 129 oimpress 138 oreach 72 posted "05/02/2018 06:23:10 AM" postlinkclicks 135 postotherclicks 114 reach 2719 type Link budget 34 budgettype Lifetime cadname "Post: ""Republican candidates move closer to the president""" ccleantitle Republican candidates move closer to the president cclicksall 406 cclickslink 137 ccpcall 0.08374384 ccpclink 0.24817518 cdelivery rejected cend 2018-06-30 cimpressions 2784 clicksunique 135 conversionrank - cost 0.24817518248175 cpm 12.21264368 creach 2559 cstart 2018-04-01 ctrall 14.58333333 ctrlink 4.9209770114943 ecomments 2 ecpclink 0.24817518 ends 2018-06-03 engagedrank - epagelikes 1 ereact 2 frequency 1.0879249706917 indicator actions:link_click qualityrank - results 137 spent 34 ========== Democratic Strategy in 2018 Renounce Nancy Pelosi, Ignore Donald Trump - and Win? https://www.nytimes.com/2018/05/12/opinion/mccready-north-carolina-lamb.html How does the national Democratic party and its donors decide who to encourage and who to discourage? One wants to fund plausible winners, but who can say for sure who they are? Everybody has an idea: https://theintercept.com/2018/01/23/dccc-democratic-primaries-congress-progressives/ Better Biden? https://www.nytimes.com/2018/04/27/opinion/to-beat-trump-build-a-better-biden.html Even a Tea Party founder has given up on Trump; what could Democrats do to help? https://www.nytimes.com/2018/04/27/opinion/mick-mulvaney-trump-swamp.html What works in urban California does not work the same way in rural California. Democrats who hope to help retire the California Seven: https://www.ca7project.com/ have to recognize that and not get too far ahead of the median in their district: https://www.mercurynews.com/2018/04/23/california-cities-are-rebelling-against-state-sanctuary-law-but-how-far-can-they-go/ So it's not clear what's going to work best, so it might be best to try lots of things. A problem with that, in California, is that the way primaries work, everybody can run, but only the two highest vote getters go on to the general election. Often this means the general election is between two Democrats or between two Republicans. The idea was to let everybody vote on the two choices - but there's a problem. What if party A has 60% of the vote but 10 candidates, while party B has 40% of the vote but only 2 candidates. The general election will be between party B's candidates, and the 60% of party A is cut out. Hence the effort by national committees to weed out as many primary candidates as possible. But there is another solution - using preferential voting. As many candidates from as many parties as possible can run, and no votes or candidates are wasted: http://www.fairvote.org/ http://www.political-scrapbook.net/democracy.html#preferential ===== comments 5 impact 7957 impactrate 0 likeimpress 2 negative 0 posted 2018-05-01 ratio 8 react 298 reactrate 0 shares 2 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 289 title Democratic Strategy in 2018 topic election wordrate 0 words 267 ID 612484039096119 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/612484039096119 audclicks 296 audreach 228 bimpress 2603 blikeimpress 8 blikeusers 7 breach 2354 commentsimpress 5 commentsusers 5 engaged 233 impress 2727 likeclickusers 2 likeimpress 2 likeuimpress 84 likeusers 2 likeuusers 28 matchedlinkclicks 165 matchedotherclicks 124 oimpress 124 oreach 64 posted "05/01/2018 02:41:46 PM" postlinkclicks 136 postotherclicks 105 reach 2398 sharesimpress 2 sharesusers 2 type Link budget 34 budgettype Lifetime cadname "Post: ""Democratic Strategy in 2018""" ccleantitle Democratic Strategy in 2018 cclicksall 399 cclickslink 153 ccpcall 0.08521303 ccpclink 0.22222222 cdelivery rejected cend 2018-06-30 cimpressions 2604 clicksunique 148 conversionrank - cost 0.22222222222222 cpm 13.05683564 creach 2393 cstart 2018-04-01 ctrall 15.32258065 ctrlink 5.8755760368664 ecomments 4 ecpclink 0.22222222 ends 2018-06-03 engagedrank - epagelikes 2 ereact 2 eshares 2 frequency 1.0881738403677 indicator actions:link_click qualityrank - results 153 spent 34 ========== Republican Strategy in 2018 Republican Congressional leadership is worried that Trump does not appreciate the trouble that the Republicans have gotten into: https://www.nytimes.com/2018/04/28/us/politics/trump-midterm-elections.html He thinks he can bluster his way out of trouble the same way he always has; It doesn't have to be true if you can convince people it could have been true. https://www.nytimes.com/2018/04/28/opinion/sunday/why-trump-supporters-dont-mind-his-lies.html Would the left-behind Americans in the fly-over states really want to compete in the economic world of the coastal elites? Presumably those that would, have already retrained and relocated. Would those who are left in the middle want the congestion and stratospheric cost of living to come to where they live now? http://www.political-scrapbook.net/trump.html#First%20Trump%20Constituency ===== comments 18 impact 4431 impactrate 0 likeimpress 14 negative 0 posted 2018-04-30 ratio 7 react 418 reactrate 0 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 386 title Republican Strategy in 2018 topic election wordrate 0 words 106 ID 612064095804780 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/612064095804780 audclicks 397 audreach 310 bimpress 3582 blikeimpress 4 blikeusers 4 breach 3090 commentsimpress 18 commentsusers 16 engaged 328 impress 3734 likeclickusers 9 likeimpress 14 likeuimpress 101 likeusers 14 likeuusers 48 matchedlinkclicks 323 matchedotherclicks 63 oimpress 152 oreach 90 posted "04/30/2018 05:09:52 PM" postlinkclicks 273 postotherclicks 37 reach 3178 type Link budget 34 budgettype Lifetime cadname "Post: ""Republican Strategy in 2018""" ccleantitle Republican Strategy in 2018 cclicksall 741 cclickslink 312 ccpcall 0.04588394 ccpclink 0.10897436 cdelivery rejected cend 2018-06-30 cimpressions 3585 clicksunique 285 conversionrank - cost 0.10897435897436 cpm 9.48396095 creach 3140 cstart 2018-04-01 ctrall 20.66945607 ctrlink 8.7029288702929 ecomments 11 ecpclink 0.10897436 ends 2018-06-03 engagedrank - epagelikes 1 ereact 10 frequency 1.1417197452229 indicator actions:link_click qualityrank - results 312 spent 34 ========== Is Tribe more important than Ideas? Have Democrats been wasting their time trying to figure out how to objectively improve the lives of the Trump base? https://theintercept.com/2018/04/03/politics-liberal-democrat-conservative-republican/ Here's the full study by Lilliana Mason: https://academic.oup.com/poq/article/82/suppl_1/280/4951269?guestAccessKey=ccb478a8-84ee-4dda-ae29-b3ffde16f893 ABSTRACT The distinction between a person's ideological identity and their issue positions has come more clearly into focus in recent research. Scholars have pointed out a significant difference between identity-based and issue-based ideology in the American electorate. However, the affective and social effects of these separate elements of ideology have not been sufficiently explored. Drawing on a national sample collected by SSI and data from the 2016 ANES, this article finds that the identity-based elements of ideology are capable of driving heightened levels of affective polarization against outgroup ideologues, even at low levels of policy attitude extremity or constraint. These findings demonstrate how Americans can use ideological terms to disparage political opponents without necessarily holding constrained sets of policy attitudes. Unite America reports: Groundbreaking new research suggests that one's political identity matters more than one's issue-based ideology in explaining the deepening divisions of American politics. The University of Maryland's Lilliana Mason found that how strongly one affiliates with a given team - be it liberal or conservative - is more predictive of how they feel about the other team than what they actually believe on any set of issues. (You can read the full study here.) Mason explains the consequences: If policy outcomes are less important than team victory, a policy compromise is a useless concession to the enemy. These findings underscore the importance of our work in creating a movement of Uniters who can put their labels aside and put our country first. https://www.uniteamerica.org/ ===== comments 48 impact 9806 impactrate 1 likeimpress 19 negative 0 posted 2018-04-20 ratio 5 react 354 reactrate 0 shares 6 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 281 title Is Tribe more important than Ideas? topic election wordrate 0 words 277 ID 607609146250275 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/607609146250275 audclicks 281 audreach 213 bimpress 1417 blikeimpress 2 blikeusers 1 breach 1358 commentsimpress 48 commentsusers 25 engaged 228 impress 2008 likeclickusers 20 likeimpress 19 likeuimpress 206 likeusers 19 likeuusers 124 matchedlinkclicks 166 matchedotherclicks 115 oimpress 591 oreach 419 posted "04/20/2018 02:40:49 PM" postlinkclicks 150 postotherclicks 69 reach 1779 sharesimpress 6 sharesusers 6 type Link budget 20 budgettype Lifetime cadname "Post: ""Is Tribe more important than Ideas?""" ccleantitle Is Tribe more important than Ideas? cclicksall 370 cclickslink 145 ccpcall 0.05405405 ccpclink 0.13793103 cdelivery rejected cend 2018-06-30 cimpressions 1417 clicksunique 144 conversionrank - cost 0.13793103448276 cpm 14.11432604 creach 1363 cstart 2018-04-01 ctrall 26.11150318 ctrlink 10.232886379675 ecomments 8 ecpclink 0.13793103 ends 2018-04-30 engagedrank - ereact 2 eshares 1 frequency 1.039618488628 indicator actions:link_click qualityrank - results 145 spent 20 ========== Repeat: Do not act like Republicans in the primaries! At this rate they won't have any more feet to shoot themselves in. It's hard to run for office on two wounded feet. https://www.washingtonpost.com/powerpost/razor-thin-senate-majority-bloody-primary-fights-hamstring-gop/2018/04/19/072b674a-43e4-11e8-8569-26fda6b404c7_story.html E. J.Dionne Jr. wrote an interesting piece recalling identical political advice from both Barney Frank and William F. Buckley Jr. - in the primaries, support the most radical candidate who can win in the general election. https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/against-trump-pragmatism-and-principle-might-be-the-same-thing/2018/03/18/9d9c65a2-2955-11e8-b79d-f3d931db7f68_story.html Both were more interested in making laws rather than making ideological points, and to make (or repeal) laws you need to have majorities in legislatures. Both Republican and Democratic strategists have been known to quietly fund the fringe candidates in the other party's primary in order to have a more beatable opponent in the general election. And now we know that the Russian propaganda machinery also has an interest in quietly fanning extreme ideological partisanship. So when it's your turn to participate in primary season, you do your best to determine which of your party's candidates has the best chance against the best of the other party's. That's not necessarily the same as the one you might prefer in a perfect world. Particularly in a contestable district, a successful candidate should not be too far ahead ideologically of the median voter of the district. What about in districts where it's a foregone conclusion which party is going to win? What should the other party do there? In that case, since no candidate is electable, then the minority party might as well act like the Libertarians and Greens and nominate the most articulate exponent of the minority party's principles. Here the purpose of running is to plant seeds in the mind of the majority voters that might bear fruit in the future. Things might be easier if elections were conducted with preferential voting as advocated by http://www.fairvote.org/ Then as many candidates could run as wanted, and as many parties compete as wanted, without anybody diluting anybody else's chances, and with a higher probability that the final winner represents the broadest possible consensus in the district. http://www.political-scrapbook.net/democracy.html#preferential ===== comments 1 impact 477 impactrate 0 likeimpress 4 negative 0 posted 2018-04-20 ratio 4 react 14 reactrate 0 shares 1 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 8 title Repeat: Do not act like Republicans in the primaries! topic election wordrate 0 words 341 ID 607500139594509 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/607500139594509 audclicks 8 audreach 6 commentsimpress 1 commentsusers 1 engaged 6 impress 122 likeclickusers 6 likeimpress 4 likeuimpress 101 likeusers 4 likeuusers 52 matchedotherclicks 8 oimpress 122 oreach 66 posted "04/20/2018 08:59:27 AM" postotherclicks 6 reach 66 sharesimpress 1 sharesusers 1 type Link ========== "Impeach Trump" might be the wrong battle cry in 2018 https://www.nytimes.com/2018/04/22/opinion/trump-impeachement-america.html According to an NPR/PBS/Marist poll: 47 percent of registered voters would definitely vote against a candidate who wanted to remove Trump from office, while 42 percent would definitely vote for a candidate who would make such a promise. 47 percent of independent voters - whose opinions could be decisive - also say they would vote against candidates favoring impeachment: https://www.npr.org/2018/04/18/603408469/npr-pbs-newshour-marist-poll-pushing-impeachment-would-backfire-on-democrats-in According to Jennifer Rubin: Rather than the "I" word (impeachment), Democrats would be wise to make this about the "A" word (accountability). And accountability begins with transparency and fact-finding. A Haas poll shows that even in California, some Trump policies have significant support: https://www.mercurynews.com/2018/04/18/half-of-californians-support-deportations-muslim-travel-ban-survey-finds/ Both polls note that the electorate seems to be comfortable holding contradictory views of things. Remember most voters think about politics a lot less than you do! ===== comments 36 hide 1 impact 5935 impactrate 0 likeimpress 23 negative 1 posted 2018-04-18 ratio 4 react 427 reactrate 0 shares 9 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 358 title "Impeach Trump" might be the wrong battle cry topic election wordrate 0 words 139 ID 606763296334860 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/606763296334860 audclicks 361 audreach 275 bimpress 1607 blikeimpress 3 blikeusers 3 breach 1558 commentsimpress 36 commentsusers 14 engaged 290 hideclicks 1 hideclicksusers 1 impress 2436 likeclickusers 25 likeimpress 23 likeuimpress 175 likeusers 20 likeuusers 90 matchedlinkclicks 76 matchedotherclicks 282 negclicks 1 negusers 1 oimpress 829 oreach 538 posted "04/18/2018 05:10:43 PM" postlinkclicks 62 postotherclicks 222 reach 2088 sharesimpress 9 sharesusers 5 type Link budget 34 budgettype Lifetime cadname "Post: """"Impeach Trump"" might be the wrong battle cry in 2018""" ccleantitle might be the wrong battle cry in 2018 cclicksall 335 cclickslink 60 ccpcall 0.05435821 ccpclink 0.3035 cdelivery archived cend 2018-06-30 cimpressions 1608 clicksunique 59 conversionrank - cost 0.3035 cpm 11.32462687 creach 1561 cstart 2018-04-01 ctrall 20.83333333 ctrlink 3.7313432835821 ecomments 2 ecpclink 0.3035 ends 2018-06-03 engagedrank - epagelikes 1 ereact 5 eshares 2 frequency 1.0301089045484 indicator actions:link_click qualityrank - results 60 spent 18.21 ========== Don't make it easier for the Republicans to retain control of Congress! Democrats should leave this sort of thing to the Tea Party: https://www.wsj.com/articles/you-wont-believe-the-names-the-left-is-calling-no-labels-1523209037 a Wall Street Journal op-ed written by principals at No Labels: https://www.nolabels.org/ Situations like these cry out for preferential voting: http://www.political-scrapbook.net/democracy.html#preferential and related reforms advocated by FairVote: http://www.fairvote.org/ that would make it more likely that the candidate with the broadest support in the district would win. If you're not a WSJ subscriber, you would not be able to read the op-ed, so here it is: ===== You Won't Believe the Names the Left Is Calling 'No Labels' Our support for a Democratic lawmaker drew obscenities and accusations of bigotry. By Margaret Kimbrell White and Sasha Borowsky April 8, 2018 Ms. White and Ms. Borowsky are, respectively, senior adviser and chief of staff at No Labels. For an object lesson in how venomous American politics has become, look no further than the insults hurled in our direction late last month. We're two millennial women who work at No Labels, a political reform movement founded in 2010 featuring Democrats, Republicans and independents working together to solve America's toughest problems. In March, No Labels organized in support of Rep. Dan Lipinski, a moderate Democrat from Illinois whose primary challenger had been endorsed by a host of liberal interest groups. After Mr. Lipinski narrowly won, the president of Naral Pro-Choice America, Ilyse Hogue, accused No Labels of following President Trump into "bigotry." When our group tweeted that Mr. Lipinski's victory showed "America's political center is finally striking back," Howard Dean, a former chairman of the Democratic National Committee, replied: "This is foolish nonsense." Former Obama speechwriter Jon Favreau complained that Mr. Lipinski had also voted against the Affordable Care Act and opposed same-sex marriage: "To call people who disagree with those positions the far left is a f------ embarrassment." We don't agree with Mr. Lipinski on every issue either. (Hey, Ms. Hogue, turns out we're pro-choice, too.) But Mr. Lipinski still votes with his party 88% of the time. That hardly makes him a turncoat. Moreover, we think there's a bigger problem in Washington than whether Mr. Lipinski passes any given group's political litmus test. Legislators in both parties have to worry too much about primary challenges from ideologues on the far left or far right. That's why Democrats and Republicans are so unwilling to work across the aisle. And that in turn is why Congress is failing to address the biggest problems facing America. Here's a specific example. When the individual insurance market almost imploded last year, the far left (which wants a single-payer system) and the far right (which would be happy enough to watch ObamaCare's exchanges collapse entirely) went straight to their respective ideological corners. They ignored the concerns of the ordinary Americans who stood to lose their medical coverage. Dan Lipinski was one of the few in Congress determined to do something realistic to fix the problem. He worked out an agreement with a handful of his counterparts in the bipartisan Problem Solvers Caucus to help these Americans keep their insurance coverage and provide relief for small businesses. To this day, this is the only bipartisan health-care plan this Congress has proposed. It is the framework for a deal struck in the Senate last October. You may argue that a lawmaker's position on your favorite social issue is more important than his overall approach to governing. We don't agree - but we also won't call you names or dismiss you out of hand. Is asking that our view also be respected too much to ask? When Mr. Lipinski won, did liberals really need to vent their anger on Twitter by calling No Labels foolish, embarrassing bigots? Belittling our group won't convince anyone. Although the two of us don't share Dan Lipinski's views on abortion, his victory improves the chances that Congress may actually get something done for the American people. Many voters, like us, see the value in reaching across the aisle - and we aren't going to be silenced, as the Illinois primary last month illustrates. Call us names, roll your eyes, encourage others to write us off. But understand this: We mean to fight back. We're strong and we're resilient. Like your hero Elizabeth Warren, we will persist. ===== comments 26 hideall 1 impact 28045 impactrate 1 likeimpress 45 negative 1 posted 2018-04-09 ratio 7 react 395 reactrate 0 shares 13 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 310 title Don't make it easier for the Republicans to retain control topic election wordrate 0 words 710 ID 602831703394686 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/602831703394686 audclicks 318 audreach 272 bimpress 3252 blikeimpress 16 blikeusers 14 breach 2971 commentsimpress 26 commentsusers 21 engaged 310 hideallclicks 1 hideallclicksusers 1 impress 3524 likeclickusers 11 likeimpress 45 likeuimpress 138 likeusers 44 likeuusers 59 matchedlinkclicks 252 matchedotherclicks 58 negclicks 1 negusers 1 oimpress 272 oreach 170 posted "04/09/2018 03:43:35 PM" postlinkclicks 223 postotherclicks 51 reach 3103 sharesimpress 13 sharesusers 11 type Link budget 46 budgettype Lifetime cadname "Post: ""Don't make it easier for the Republicans to...""" ccleantitle Don't make it easier for the Republicans to cclicksall 619 cclickslink 246 ccpcall 0.0742826 ccpclink 0.18674 cdelivery rejected cend 2018-06-30 cimpressions 3252 clicksunique 127+111 conversionrank - cost 0.154666 cpm 14.1271 creach 3043 cstart 2018-04-01 ctrall 19.0156 ctrlink 7.56951 ecomments 11 ecpclink 0.372601 ends 2018-06-03 engagedrank - epagelikes 3 ereact 41 eshares 12 frequency 1.06868 indicator actions:post_engagement+actions:link_click qualityrank - results 307 spent 46 ========== Reproductive Rights, #MeToo, and the 2018 primaries There are a large number of conservative religious immigrant women who are appalled by Trumpism's blatant endorsement of sexual abuse and immigrant abuse. Yet the feel obliged - by their own convictions as well as external reinforcement in their community - that the number one issue in this or any election is sanctity of life, so in an election they vote for whoever is loudest in attacking reproductive rights. In a contestable district with lots of conservative women, progressives should think carefully about how they vote in the Democratic primary. The Democratic hopeful most closely aligned with their ideals might have the least chance of prevailing in the general election against a Republican who is loudly and proudly against abortion. A Democratic candidate who is closer to the median of the district on this issue might have a better chance of moving the conversation toward other issues. Single-issue voters and single-issue candidates have been a bane of democracy forever, though eclipsed somewhat in recent years by narrowcasting cable tv and social media, and by dark big money enabled by Citizens United. One can only hope that the daughters of these conservative women will come around to a different point of view on reproductive rights. Restrictions on abortion might not seem so bad, if there were a way to do so that reduced the freedom of rich and poor alike, and the freedom of men and women alike. But nobody's ever thought of a credible way to do that. 50 years ago, if a rich man's daughter became pregnant, he just sent her to Denmark to take care of it. If abortion became illegal again in the USA, you wouldn't have to be quite as rich to go to Canada, but that solution would still be out of reach for some, especially for young poor women. So once again abortion would be illegal and unsafe. Money buys a lot of freedom - for the rich. Gross income inequality implies gross freedom inequality. Debates about abortion vs reproductive rights are ultimately about money, not morality. Most women, if they have the knowledge and the means, would like to limit their family size. So in modern industrial society get them the knowledge and the means and birth rates go down. When our fabulously wealthy society is not doing a very good job educating the wanted poor children we have, who would be interested in having more unwanted poor children? The book The Chalice and the Blade clarifies the roots of the issue. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Chalice_and_the_Blade Unwanted boys, seeking acceptance or belonging, are good recruits for soldiers as cannon fodder, or suicidal terrorists. Unwanted girls, seeking acceptance or belonging, are likely to produce more unwanted boys and girls. So in a patriarchal, hierarchical, or militaristic society, there's no such thing as an unwanted poor child, at least as far as the ruling class is concerned. That's why militaristic dictatorships like bachelor taxes and incentives for childbearing. In addition, every major religious tradition has fanatical sects who believe (at least the men) that it is their sacred duty to "win" by outbreeding the opposition. ===== comments 12 impact 12081 impactrate 1 likeimpress 3 negative 0 posted 2018-04-07 ratio 13 react 231 reactrate 0 shares 2 sharesrate 0 sumclicks 214 title Reproductive Rights, #MeToo, and the 2018 primaries topic election wordrate 0 words 523 ID 601841560160367 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/601841560160367 audclicks 219 audreach 188 bimpress 3162 blikeimpress 17 blikeusers 15 breach 3010 commentsimpress 12 commentsusers 10 engaged 194 impress 3419 likeclickusers 1 likeimpress 3 likeuimpress 115 likeusers 3 likeuusers 51 matchedlinkclicks 25 matchedotherclicks 189 oimpress 257 oreach 176 posted "04/07/2018 11:14:38 AM" postlinkclicks 20 postotherclicks 171 reach 3072 sharesimpress 2 sharesusers 2 type Link budget 46 budgettype Lifetime cadname "Post: ""Reproductive Rights, #MeToo, and the 2018 primaries""" ccleantitle Reproductive Rights, #MeToo, and the 2018 primaries cclicksall 387 cclickslink 31 ccpcall 0.120228 ccpclink 1.59234 cdelivery not_delivering cend 2018-06-30 cimpressions 3163 clicksunique 20+9 conversionrank - cost 1.59234 cpm 14.5423 creach 2981 cstart 2018-04-01 ctrall 12.2335 ctrlink 0.979796 ecomments 9 ecpclink 3.2381 ends 2018-06-03 engagedrank - ereact 2 eshares 1 frequency 1.06105 indicator actions:link_click qualityrank - results 31 spent 46 ========== The Most ... Candidate WHO CAN WIN E. J.Dionne Jr. has written an interesting piece recalling identical political advice from both Barney Frank and William F. Buckley Jr. - in the primaries, support the most radical candidate who can win in the general election. https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/against-trump-pragmatism-and-principle-might-be-the-same-thing/2018/03/18/9d9c65a2-2955-11e8-b79d-f3d931db7f68_story.html Both were more interested in making laws rather than making ideological points, and to make (or repeal) laws you need to have majorities in legislatures. Both Republican and Democratic strategists have been known to quietly fund the fringe candidates in the other party's primary in order to have a more beatable opponent in the general election. And now we know that the Russian propaganda machinery also has an interest in quietly fanning extreme ideological partisanship. So I'd suggest that when it's your turn to participate in primary season, you do your best to determine which of your party's candidates has the best chance against the best of the other party's. That's not necessarily the same as the one you might prefer in a perfect world. Particularly in a contestable district, a successful candidate should not be too far ahead ideologically of the median voter of the district. Things might be easier if elections were conducted with preferential voting: http://www.political-scrapbook.net/democracy.html#preferential Then as many candidates could run as wanted, and as many parties compete as wanted, without anybody diluting anybody else's chances, and with a higher probability that the final winner represents the broadest possible consensus in the district. What about in districts where it's a foregone conclusion which party is going to win? What should the other party do there? In that case, since no candidate is electable, then the minority party might as well act like the Libertarians and Greens and nominate the most articulate exponent of the minority party's principles. Here the purpose of running is to plant seeds in the mind of the majority voters that might bear fruit in the future. ===== likeimpress 9 negative 0 posted 2018-03-30 rate 4 ratio 9 react 159 shares 3 sumclicks 147 title The Most ... Candidate WHO CAN WIN topic election words 317 ID 598379787173211 URL https://www.facebook.com/politicalscrapbooknet/posts/598379787173211 audclicks 147 audreach 128 bimpress 1346 blikeimpress 8 blikeusers 6 breach 1347 engaged 133 impress 1658 likeclickusers 2 likeimpress 9 likeuimpress 74 likeusers 9 likeuusers 10 matchedlinkclicks 45 matchedotherclicks 102 oimpress 312 oreach 194 posted "03/30/2018 04:54:11 PM" postlinkclicks 37 postotherclicks 96 reach 1501 sharesimpress 3 sharesusers 3 type Link budget 20 budgettype Lifetime cadname "Post: ""The Most ... Candidate WHO CAN WIN""" ccleantitle The Most Ideological Candidate WHO CAN WIN cclicksall 181 cclickslink 38 ccpcall 0.11049724 ccpclink 0.52631579 cdelivery inactive cend 2018-06-30 cimpressions 1345 clicksunique 37 conversionrank - cost 0.52631578947368 cpm 14.86988848 creach 1287 cstart 2018-04-01 ctrall 13.45724907 ctrlink 2.8252788104089 ecpclink 0.52631579 ends 2018-04-13 engagedrank - ereact 4 eshares 3 frequency 1.045066045066 indicator actions:link_click qualityrank - results 38 spent 20